Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia• UEFA Europa League, World

#212.0:1.019:00Today · Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Bialystok1.0:1.7#33

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.45BTNX5.07PIN27.701XBMargin at best1.7%Books10Markets96Rating69 · 31Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 12:25 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.45	4.90	7.50	2.7%
1xBet	1.42	5.07	7.70	3.1%
Pinnacle	1.41	5.12	7.36	4.0%
Dafabet	1.42	5.00	7.20	4.3%
Marathonbet	1.40	5.00	7.60	4.6%
Bet365	1.40	4.75	7.50	5.8%
William Hill	1.40	4.60	7.00	7.5%
BetVictor	1.36	4.80	7.50	7.7%
Betfair	1.36	4.75	7.50	7.9%
SBO	1.38	4.60	6.86	8.8%
Best of all books	1.45	5.12	7.70	1.5%
Average	1.40	4.86	7.37	5.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

JagielloniaArarat-Armenia

Last 10#21Table position#330.00Points per game0.003Form pts · last 5102.0Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 51.777Attack rating2350Defence rating5071Form rating290H2H rating079Goals model2169Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 15 Oct 13:40 UTC

Jagiellonia

4W 0D 6L · goals 19:18 · per match 1.9 for, 1.8 against

10 Oct	H	Gornik Zabrze	1-3	L
3 Oct	H	Polonia Warszawa	1-2	L
29 Sep	H	Suduva Marijampole	5-0	W
20 Sep	H	Legia Warszawa	1-3	L
16 Sep	A	Olympiakos Piraeus	1-2	L
11 Sep	A	Wisla Krakow	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	Slask Wroclaw	2-1	W
3 Sep	A	Lech Poznan	1-2	L
30 Aug	A	Raków Częstochowa	5-2	W
27 Aug	A	FC Iberia 1999	2-1	W

Ararat-Armenia

5W 3D 2L · goals 17:10 · per match 1.7 for, 1.0 against

10 Oct	H	Alashkert	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Ararat	4-0	W
20 Sep	A	Shirak	3-1	W
16 Sep	H	Sparta Praha	1-4	L
11 Sep	H	Syunik	3-0	W
5 Sep	A	Ararat	1-0	W
31 Aug	A	Pyunik Yerevan	1-2	L
27 Aug	H	Universitatea Craiova	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Sardarapat	1-1	D
20 Aug	A	Universitatea Craiova	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Jagiellonia and Ararat-Armenia on record.

UEFA Europa League tableUEFA Europa Leagueupdated 15 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the UEFA Europa League table, Jagiellonia sit 21st with 0 points from 1 games, while Ararat-Armenia are 33rd with 0 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	1	1	0	0	5:0	+5	3
2	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	4:0	+4	3
3	Sparta Praha	1	1	0	0	4:1	+3	3
4	Beşiktaş	1	1	0	0	4:1	+3	3
5	Union St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	3:0	+3	3
6	Ferencvarosi TC	1	1	0	0	3:1	+2	3
7	Benfica	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
8	Bayer Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
9	OFI	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
10	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
11	Lyon	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
12	Torreense	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
13	Olympiakos Piraeus	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
14	Red Bull Salzburg	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
15	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
16	Omonia Nicosia	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
17	Sturm Graz	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
18	Rennes	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
19	Dinamo Zagreb	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
20	Hapoel Beer Sheva	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
21	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
22	Real Sociedad	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
23	Anderlecht	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
24	Lillestrom	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
25	Celta Vigo	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
26	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
27	Levski Sofia	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
28	Celtic	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
29	1899 Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
30	AC Milan	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
31	Celje	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
32	Marseille	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
33	Ararat-Armenia	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
34	Plzen	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0
35	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0
36	NEC Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	0:5	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg168%1.40X19%4.86213%7.38

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.40 → 1.40 0.0%X4.73 → 4.86 +2.7%27.09 → 7.38 +4.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.66	2.33	3.2%
Betano	1.65	2.32	3.7%
Pinnacle	1.60	2.42	3.8%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.29	5.0%
Bet365	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Betfair	1.57	2.38	5.7%
BetVictor	1.57	2.21	8.9%
Best of all books	1.66	2.42	1.6%
Average	1.61	2.33	5.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Bet365	1.80	1.95	6.8%
William Hill	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Betano	1.80	1.93	7.4%
1xBet	1.82	1.90	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.88	8.1%
BetVictor	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Best of all books	1.82	2.00	4.9%
Average	1.79	1.94	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jagiellonia 45%Draw 45%Ararat-Armenia 10%

The statistical model rates Jagiellonia at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Ararat-Armenia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.40 | 4.86 | 7.38, which imply roughly 71.4% for a Jagiellonia win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Europa League table: Jagiellonia are 21st (0 pts, 1-2 goals), Ararat-Armenia 33rd (0 pts, 1-4).

Over their last five matches, Jagiellonia averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Ararat-Armenia averaged 1 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Jagiellonia or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.40	4.86	7.37

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.89	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.13	5.46

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.79	1.94

1st half

1	X	2
1.85	2.53	6.48

2nd half

1	X	2
1.69	2.91	6.14

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.98	17.7	55.4
HT X	4.27	7.36	14.9
HT 2	21.1	18.9	12.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.37	16.3	3.32

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.4
1.5	1.17	4.74
2.5	1.61	2.33
3.5	2.49	1.51
4.5	4.45	1.19
5.5	8.47	1.05
6.5	16.0	1.02
7.5	29.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	12.5
1.25	1.07	6.42
1.75	1.19	4.11
2	1.25	3.60
2.25	1.45	2.69
2.75	1.76	2.07
3	1.98	1.81
3.25	2.22	1.62
3.75	2.83	1.35
4	3.74	1.20
4.25	4.10	1.16
4.75	5.55	1.08
5	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.43	1.55
-1.5	2.12	1.72
-1.25	1.86	1.93
-1	1.62	2.27
-0.75	1.46	2.60
-0.5	1.40	2.94

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.30	1.04
-3.25	6.80	1.06
-3	6.40	1.08
-2.75	4.51	1.16
-2.5	3.62	1.24
-2.25	3.34	1.31
-2	3.01	1.37
-0.25	1.24	3.74
0	1.11	5.57
+0.25	1.12	6.40
+0.5	1.10	7.00
+1.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.04	9.25
2.5	1.13	5.30
3.5	1.33	3.16
4.5	1.82	1.94
5.5	2.35	1.55
6.5	3.10	1.34
7.5	4.45	1.18
8.5	6.40	1.10
9.5	8.75	1.05

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
4	1.47	2.61
5	2.03	1.77
6	3.04	1.33

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	12.5
4.5	1.02	12.0
5.5	1.05	7.32
6.5	1.14	4.72
7.5	1.31	3.15
8.5	1.58	2.26
9.5	2.00	1.76
10.5	2.65	1.44
11.5	3.66	1.23
12.5	5.23	1.12
13.5	7.44	1.06
14.5	10.3	1.02
15.5	15.0	1.02
16.5	12.5	1.01
17.5	15.0	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.31	2.92
8.25	1.46	2.51
8.75	1.61	2.15
9	1.72	2.11
9.25	1.84	1.88
9.75	2.08	1.67
10	2.13	1.67
10.25	2.40	1.51
10.75	2.75	1.36
11	2.76	1.37
11.25	3.28	1.29