Benfica vs Lech Poznan• UEFA Europa League, World

#23.2:0.820:00Today · Estádio da Luz, Lisbon2.0:2.2#32

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.161XBX9.20DAF218.51XBMargin at best2.5%Books10Markets118Rating74 · 26Exp. goals L54.1

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 08:13 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.16	9.00	18.5	2.7%
1xBet	1.16	8.65	18.5	3.2%
Dafabet	1.15	9.20	17.0	3.7%
Pinnacle	1.15	8.87	17.0	4.1%
Marathonbet	1.14	8.50	18.3	5.0%
Bet365	1.14	9.00	15.0	5.5%
Betfair	1.13	8.50	17.0	6.1%
BetVictor	1.11	9.00	18.0	6.8%
William Hill	1.15	7.50	15.0	7.0%
SBO	1.12	7.72	12.5	10.2%
Best of all books	1.16	9.20	18.5	2.5%
Average	1.14	8.59	16.7	5.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BenficaLech Poznan

Last 10#2Table position#323.00Points per game0.3315Form pts · last 5103.2Goals for · last 52.00.8Goals against · last 52.262Attack rating3873Defence rating2775Form rating25100H2H rating080Goals model2074Overall rating26

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 23:30 UTC

Benfica

9W 0D 1L · goals 27:8 · per match 2.7 for, 0.8 against

2 Nov	H	Alverca	1-0	W
29 Oct	H	GIL Vicente	4-1	W
26 Oct	A	Santa Clara	2-1	W
22 Oct	A	Omonia Nicosia	4-1	W
15 Oct	H	Celtic	4-1	W
11 Oct	H	Vitória SC	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	FC Porto	1-3	L
16 Sep	A	AC Milan	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	GIL Vicente	3-1	W
9 Sep	A	Moreirense	4-0	W

Lech Poznan

5W 2D 3L · goals 23:17 · per match 2.3 for, 1.7 against

31 Oct	H	Wisla Krakow	3-1	W
28 Oct	A	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0-1	L
25 Oct	A	Legia Warszawa	2-1	W
22 Oct	H	Sunderland	1-1	D
18 Oct	H	Korona Kielce	6-1	W
15 Oct	H	Bayer Leverkusen	0-4	L
10 Oct	A	Slask Wroclaw	4-1	W
3 Oct	H	Energie Cottbus	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Radomiak Radom	5-1	W
17 Sep	A	Crystal Palace	0-4	L

Head to head

2Benfica wins

0draws

0Lech Poznan wins

2 meetings · goals 8:2 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Benfica

3 Dec 2020UEFA Europa League	UEFA Europa League	Benfica4-0Lech Poznan
22 Oct 2020UEFA Europa League	UEFA Europa League	Lech Poznan2-4Benfica

UEFA Europa League tableUEFA Europa Leagueupdated 4 Nov 19:30 UTC

In the UEFA Europa League table, Benfica sit 2nd with 9 points from 3 games, while Lech Poznan are 32nd with 1 points from 3.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Olympiakos Piraeus	4	3	1	0	4:1	+3	10
2	Benfica	3	3	0	0	10:2	+8	9
3	Bayer Leverkusen	3	3	0	0	8:0	+8	9
4	Bournemouth	3	3	0	0	8:1	+7	9
5	Ferencvarosi TC	3	3	0	0	9:3	+6	9
6	Union St. Gilloise	3	2	1	0	8:1	+7	7
7	Juventus	3	2	1	0	9:3	+6	7
8	Beşiktaş	3	2	1	0	9:5	+4	7
9	Sunderland	3	2	1	0	4:2	+2	7
10	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	6:2	+4	6
11	Omonia Nicosia	3	2	0	1	5:4	+1	6
12	Rennes	4	1	3	0	4:3	+1	6
13	Lyon	3	2	0	1	5:6	-1	6
14	Real Sociedad	3	1	1	1	8:3	+5	4
15	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	8:5	+3	4
16	Sparta Praha	3	1	1	1	5:3	+2	4
17	Levski Sofia	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
18	Dinamo Zagreb	3	1	1	1	3:4	-1	4
19	Sturm Graz	3	1	1	1	1:3	-2	4
20	NEC Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	5:8	-3	4
21	Red Bull Salzburg	3	1	1	1	3:6	-3	4
22	Anderlecht	3	1	0	2	4:3	+1	3
23	1899 Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	5:5	0	3
24	AC Milan	3	1	0	2	4:5	-1	3
25	Celta Vigo	3	1	0	2	3:4	-1	3
26	OFI	3	1	0	2	3:4	-1	3
27	Jagiellonia	3	1	0	2	4:6	-2	3
28	Torreense	3	1	0	2	4:7	-3	3
29	Celje	3	0	1	2	2:7	-5	1
30	Hapoel Beer Sheva	3	0	1	2	1:6	-5	1
31	Lillestrom	3	0	1	2	2:9	-7	1
32	Lech Poznan	3	0	1	2	1:9	-8	1
33	Plzen	3	0	0	3	2:7	-5	0
34	Marseille	3	0	0	3	1:6	-5	0
35	Celtic	3	0	0	3	3:9	-6	0
36	Ararat-Armenia	3	0	0	3	2:11	-9	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg183%1.14X11%8.5926%16.7

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.17 → 1.14 -2.6%X7.08 → 8.59 +21.3%213.3 → 16.7 +24.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.28	3.75	4.8%
Pinnacle	1.27	3.78	5.2%
Betano	1.29	3.60	5.3%
Betfair	1.29	3.50	6.1%
1xBet	1.30	3.38	6.5%
BetVictor	1.25	3.60	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.27	3.30	9.0%
Best of all books	1.30	3.78	3.4%
Average	1.28	3.56	6.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.83	1.95	5.9%
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
Bet365	1.95	1.80	6.8%
Betano	1.87	1.87	7.0%
1xBet	1.93	1.80	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.78	8.0%
BetVictor	1.87	1.83	8.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.95	2.6%
Average	1.90	1.84	7.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Benfica 50%Draw 50%Lech Poznan 0%

The statistical model rates Benfica at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Lech Poznan at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.14 | 8.59 | 16.68, which imply roughly 87.7% for a Benfica win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the UEFA Europa League table: Benfica are 2nd (9 pts, 10-2 goals), Lech Poznan 32nd (1 pts, 1-9).

Over their last five matches, Benfica averaged 3.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Lech Poznan averaged 2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Benfica and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.14	8.59	16.7

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.03	5.65	1.07

Draw no bet

1	2
1.03	11.9

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.90	1.84

1st half

1	X	2
1.44	3.34	10.5

2nd half

1	X	2
1.33	4.06	10.0

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.47	25.7	77.9
HT X	4.25	12.8	31.8
HT 2	19.5	28.2	26.9

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.19	30.0	4.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	17.7
1.5	1.07	7.54
2.5	1.28	3.56
3.5	1.74	2.10
4.5	2.60	1.48
5.5	4.34	1.20
6.5	7.84	1.08
7.5	12.5	1.03
8.5	17.2	1.02
9.5	31.3	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.85
1.75	1.07	6.40
2	1.09	6.08
2.25	1.18	4.24
2.75	1.35	2.97
3	1.40	2.84
3.25	1.57	2.37
3.75	1.89	1.90
4	2.13	1.70
4.25	2.34	1.55
4.75	2.93	1.34
5	3.61	1.24
5.25	3.84	1.20
6	6.50	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-3	2.60	1.47
-2.75	2.22	1.64
-2.5	1.98	1.82
-2.25	1.79	2.02
-2	1.60	2.33
-1.75	1.48	2.58

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-5.5	8.68	1.02
-5	8.18	1.03
-4.5	5.21	1.13
-4.25	4.94	1.14
-4	4.57	1.16
-3.75	3.53	1.25
-3.5	3.04	1.34
-3.25	2.85	1.39
-1.5	1.41	2.82
-1.25	1.28	3.47
-1	1.16	4.65
-0.75	1.19	4.40
-0.5	1.14	5.75
-0.25	1.07	7.03

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.3
1.5	1.11	5.90
2.5	1.34	3.07
3.5	1.85	1.87
4.5	2.66	1.45
5.5	3.60	1.26
6.5	5.50	1.13
7.5	8.00	1.06
8.5	10.8	1.03

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.56	2.35
4	2.28	1.63
5	3.21	1.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	14.0
4.5	1.02	12.5
5.5	1.04	8.82
6.5	1.10	5.61
7.5	1.23	3.71
8.5	1.45	2.55
9.5	1.74	2.00
10.5	2.16	1.62
11.5	2.91	1.35
12.5	3.96	1.20
13.5	5.48	1.11
14.5	7.67	1.06
15.5	10.3	1.02
16.5	11.0	1.02
17.5	12.5	1.01
18.5	14.0	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.05	5.57
7	1.10	4.45
7.75	1.23	3.42
8	1.35	2.78
8.25	1.33	2.88
8.75	1.45	2.47
9	1.52	2.32
9.25	1.62	2.12
9.75	1.82	1.88
10	1.91	1.87
10.25	2.04	1.66
10.75	2.12	1.59
11	2.38	1.50
11.25	2.29	1.49
12	3.00	1.24
13	3.99	1.13
14	5.12	1.06

Next UEFA Europa League matches

5 Nov	Levski Sofia – Jagiellonia
5 Nov	Crystal Palace – 1899 Hoffenheim
5 Nov	Lillestrom – Plzen
5 Nov	NEC Nijmegen – Omonia Nicosia
5 Nov	Real Sociedad – Lyon
5 Nov	Sparta Praha – Bournemouth

All UEFA Europa League fixtures and the table

Latest UEFA Europa League results

4 Nov	Rennes 0-0 Olympiakos Piraeus
22 Oct	Beşiktaş 2-2 Crystal Palace
22 Oct	Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 Sparta Praha
22 Oct	Celtic 1-2 Celta Vigo
22 Oct	Plzen 1-2 Levski Sofia
22 Oct	Jagiellonia 0-3 Anderlecht