Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille• UEFA Europa League, World

#32.7:0.020:00Today · BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen0.3:2.0#34

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.36BTNX6.20DAF29.20MARMargin at best0.5%Books10Markets110Rating78 · 22Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 08:13 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.36	6.00	8.25	2.3%
1xBet	1.32	6.05	9.20	3.2%
Marathonbet	1.32	6.05	9.20	3.2%
Pinnacle	1.32	6.18	8.80	3.3%
Dafabet	1.32	6.20	8.40	3.8%
Betfair	1.29	6.00	8.50	6.0%
BetVictor	1.29	5.75	9.00	6.0%
Bet365	1.30	6.00	8.00	6.1%
William Hill	1.30	5.00	8.00	9.4%
SBO	1.28	5.42	7.24	10.4%
Best of all books	1.36	6.20	9.20	0.5%
Average	1.31	5.87	8.46	5.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Bayer LeverkusenMarseille

Last 10#3Table position#343.00Points per game0.009Form pts · last 592.7Goals for · last 50.30.0Goals against · last 52.089Attack rating11100Defence rating0100Form rating0100H2H rating0100Goals model078Overall rating22

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:03 UTC

Bayer Leverkusen

7W 1D 2L · goals 25:15 · per match 2.5 for, 1.5 against

31 Oct	H	VfB Stuttgart	2-4	L
28 Oct	H	1. FC Nürnberg	5-2	W
25 Oct	A	1899 Hoffenheim	0-3	L
22 Oct	A	OFI	2-0	W
18 Oct	H	SC Freiburg	2-1	W
15 Oct	A	Lech Poznan	4-0	W
10 Oct	A	FSV Mainz 05	4-3	W
20 Sep	H	RB Leipzig	2-0	W
16 Sep	H	Celje	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	FC Augsburg	2-2	D

Marseille

4W 0D 6L · goals 17:17 · per match 1.7 for, 1.7 against

1 Nov	H	Toulouse	2-0	W
25 Oct	H	Le Havre	4-3	W
22 Oct	A	Sturm Graz	0-1	L
18 Oct	A	Angers	5-2	W
15 Oct	H	Olympiakos Piraeus	0-1	L
11 Oct	A	Estac Troyes	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	Paris Saint Germain	1-2	L
17 Sep	A	Beşiktaş	1-4	L
11 Sep	A	Rennes	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Paris FC	2-3	L

Head to head

1Bayer Leverkusen wins

0draws

0Marseille wins

1 meeting · goals 2:1 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Bayer Leverkusen

2 Aug 2023Friendlies Clubs

Friendlies Clubs

Marseille1-2Bayer Leverkusen

UEFA Europa League tableUEFA Europa Leagueupdated 4 Nov 19:30 UTC

In the UEFA Europa League table, Bayer Leverkusen sit 3rd with 9 points from 3 games, while Marseille are 34th with 0 points from 3.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Olympiakos Piraeus	4	3	1	0	4:1	+3	10
2	Benfica	3	3	0	0	10:2	+8	9
3	Bayer Leverkusen	3	3	0	0	8:0	+8	9
4	Bournemouth	3	3	0	0	8:1	+7	9
5	Ferencvarosi TC	3	3	0	0	9:3	+6	9
6	Union St. Gilloise	3	2	1	0	8:1	+7	7
7	Juventus	3	2	1	0	9:3	+6	7
8	Beşiktaş	3	2	1	0	9:5	+4	7
9	Sunderland	3	2	1	0	4:2	+2	7
10	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	6:2	+4	6
11	Omonia Nicosia	3	2	0	1	5:4	+1	6
12	Rennes	4	1	3	0	4:3	+1	6
13	Lyon	3	2	0	1	5:6	-1	6
14	Real Sociedad	3	1	1	1	8:3	+5	4
15	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	8:5	+3	4
16	Sparta Praha	3	1	1	1	5:3	+2	4
17	Levski Sofia	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
18	Dinamo Zagreb	3	1	1	1	3:4	-1	4
19	Sturm Graz	3	1	1	1	1:3	-2	4
20	NEC Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	5:8	-3	4
21	Red Bull Salzburg	3	1	1	1	3:6	-3	4
22	Anderlecht	3	1	0	2	4:3	+1	3
23	1899 Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	5:5	0	3
24	AC Milan	3	1	0	2	4:5	-1	3
25	Celta Vigo	3	1	0	2	3:4	-1	3
26	OFI	3	1	0	2	3:4	-1	3
27	Jagiellonia	3	1	0	2	4:6	-2	3
28	Torreense	3	1	0	2	4:7	-3	3
29	Celje	3	0	1	2	2:7	-5	1
30	Hapoel Beer Sheva	3	0	1	2	1:6	-5	1
31	Lillestrom	3	0	1	2	2:9	-7	1
32	Lech Poznan	3	0	1	2	1:9	-8	1
33	Plzen	3	0	0	3	2:7	-5	0
34	Marseille	3	0	0	3	1:6	-5	0
35	Celtic	3	0	0	3	3:9	-6	0
36	Ararat-Armenia	3	0	0	3	2:11	-9	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg173%1.31X16%5.87211%8.46

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.42 → 1.31 -7.7%X4.84 → 5.87 +21.3%26.39 → 8.46 +32.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.40	3.00	4.8%
Pinnacle	1.38	3.09	4.8%
Betano	1.40	2.95	5.3%
Betfair	1.40	2.88	6.2%
1xBet	1.38	2.96	6.2%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.92	7.8%
BetVictor	1.36	2.90	8.0%
Best of all books	1.40	3.09	3.8%
Average	1.38	2.96	6.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.10	5.4%
William Hill	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Betano	1.67	2.12	7.1%
1xBet	1.66	2.12	7.4%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.09	8.1%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Best of all books	1.73	2.20	3.3%
Average	1.67	2.13	7.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bayer Leverkusen 50%Draw 50%Marseille 0%

The statistical model rates Bayer Leverkusen at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Marseille at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.31 | 5.87 | 8.46, which imply roughly 76.3% for a Bayer Leverkusen win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the UEFA Europa League table: Bayer Leverkusen are 3rd (9 pts, 8-0 goals), Marseille 34th (0 pts, 1-6).

Over their last five matches, Bayer Leverkusen averaged 2.7 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Marseille averaged 0.3 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Bayer Leverkusen.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.31	5.87	8.46

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	3.45	1.12

Draw no bet

1	2
1.10	6.18

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.13

1st half

1	X	2
1.68	2.85	6.81

2nd half

1	X	2
1.58	3.27	6.20

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.79	18.7	53.6
HT X	4.40	9.36	17.5
HT 2	18.4	19.8	13.8

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.33	25.0	3.29

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.5
1.5	1.10	6.31
2.5	1.38	2.96
3.5	1.99	1.83
4.5	3.21	1.34
5.5	5.59	1.13
6.5	9.93	1.05
7.5	14.9	1.02
8.5	26.3	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.85
1.75	1.10	5.57
2	1.13	5.24
2.25	1.25	3.65
2.75	1.46	2.63
3	1.57	2.38
3.25	1.78	2.05
3.75	2.19	1.66
4	2.58	1.49
4.25	2.78	1.40
4.75	3.56	1.25
5	4.70	1.16
5.25	4.92	1.13
6	8.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.56	1.48
-2	2.32	1.60
-1.75	2.02	1.81
-1.5	1.80	2.03
-1.25	1.61	2.29
-1	1.42	2.80

16 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	8.57	1.02
-4	7.98	1.03
-3.75	6.40	1.12
-3.5	4.88	1.15
-3.25	4.48	1.16
-3	4.24	1.19
-2.75	3.39	1.30
-2.5	2.87	1.40
-0.75	1.33	3.14
-0.5	1.34	3.24
-0.25	1.21	4.27
0	1.09	6.40
+0.25	1.11	6.04
+0.5	1.10	6.80
+0.75	1.01	10.6
+1.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.8
1.5	1.09	6.50
2.5	1.27	3.55
3.5	1.63	2.20
4.5	2.33	1.57
5.5	3.20	1.32
6.5	4.80	1.16
7.5	7.00	1.08
8.5	9.50	1.04

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.36	2.95
4	1.95	1.84
5	3.27	1.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	12.5
4.5	1.02	11.4
5.5	1.05	7.57
6.5	1.13	4.84
7.5	1.29	3.19
8.5	1.54	2.33
9.5	1.94	1.80
10.5	2.46	1.49
11.5	3.39	1.27
12.5	4.78	1.14
13.5	6.70	1.07
14.5	9.50	1.03
15.5	12.0	1.02
16.5	12.5	1.01
17.5	15.0	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.05	5.40
7	1.14	3.85
7.75	1.27	3.14
8	1.32	2.82
8.25	1.39	2.63
8.75	1.53	2.27
9	1.74	2.06
9.25	1.74	1.98
9.75	1.94	1.73
10	2.12	1.67
10.25	2.22	1.54
10.75	2.55	1.41
11	2.73	1.34
11.25	2.97	1.30
12	3.52	1.17
13	4.64	1.09
14	5.65	1.04

Next UEFA Europa League matches

5 Nov	Levski Sofia – Jagiellonia
5 Nov	Crystal Palace – 1899 Hoffenheim
5 Nov	Lillestrom – Plzen
5 Nov	NEC Nijmegen – Omonia Nicosia
5 Nov	Real Sociedad – Lyon
5 Nov	Sparta Praha – Bournemouth

All UEFA Europa League fixtures and the table

Latest UEFA Europa League results

4 Nov	Rennes 0-0 Olympiakos Piraeus
22 Oct	Beşiktaş 2-2 Crystal Palace
22 Oct	Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 Sparta Praha
22 Oct	Celtic 1-2 Celta Vigo
22 Oct	Plzen 1-2 Levski Sofia
22 Oct	Jagiellonia 0-3 Anderlecht