OddsFilter

Villarreal vs Napoli• UEFA Champions League, World

#222.0:3.03-1FTToday · Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal0.0:1.0#27

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.19DAFX3.761XB23.58PINMargin at best0.2%Books10Markets94Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 16:17 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.153.763.501.7%
Betano2.103.753.552.5%
Pinnacle2.113.683.542.8%
Marathonbet2.123.703.453.2%
Dafabet2.193.753.154.1%
Betfair2.103.603.404.8%
BetVictor2.053.753.305.8%
Bet3652.003.703.406.4%
William Hill2.103.503.257.0%
SBO2.083.493.237.7%
Best of all books2.193.763.550.4%
Average2.103.673.384.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VillarrealNapoli
Last 10#22Table position#270.00Points per game0.006Form pts · last 572.0Goals for · last 50.03.0Goals against · last 51.0100Attack rating025Defence rating750Form rating050H2H rating500Goals model039Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 16:00 UTC

Villarreal

3W 2D 5L · goals 17:17 · per match 1.7 for, 1.7 against

10 OctAReal Madrid0-1L
20 SepHLevante3-1W
17 SepAMalaga3-1W
14 SepHReal Betis1-2L
8 SepABorussia Dortmund2-3L
5 SepHDeportivo La Coruna2-3L
28 AugAAlaves0-1L
23 AugAAtletico Madrid2-2D
16 AugARacing Santander2-2D
8 AugAGalatasaray2-1W

Napoli

5W 2D 3L · goals 19:11 · per match 1.9 for, 1.1 against

10 OctHFrosinone3-0W
20 SepAFiorentina1-1D
13 SepHBologna1-0W
9 SepHArsenal0-1L
5 SepAInter2-3L
30 AugHComo1-2L
22 AugAGenoa2-0W
12 AugHAris Thessalonikis6-2W
8 AugHCelta Vigo1-1D
5 AugHOsasuna2-1W

Head to head

2Villarreal wins
1draws
2Napoli wins

5 meetings · goals 5:7 · last 5: 2W 1D 2L for Villarreal

17 Dec 2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsNapoli2-3Villarreal
25 Feb 2016UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa LeagueNapoli1-1Villarreal
18 Feb 2016UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa LeagueVillarreal1-0Napoli
7 Dec 2011UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueVillarreal0-2Napoli
27 Sep 2011UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueNapoli2-0Villarreal

UEFA Champions League tableUEFA Champions Leagueupdated 13 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the UEFA Champions League table, Villarreal sit 22nd with 0 points from 1 games, while Napoli are 27th with 0 points from 1.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Sporting CP22005:1+46
2Paris Saint Germain11006:1+53
3Bayern München11005:0+53
4Barcelona11005:1+43
5Manchester United11004:0+43
6Como11004:1+33
7VfB Stuttgart11003:1+23
8Manchester City11002:0+23
9Aston Villa11003:2+13
10Real Betis11003:2+13
11Borussia Dortmund11003:2+13
12Liverpool11002:1+13
13Real Madrid11002:1+13
14Arsenal11001:0+13
15AEK Athens FC11001:0+13
16Lens21013:4-13
17Sabah FA21012:4-23
18AS Roma10101:101
19Shakhtar Donetsk10101:101
20PSV Eindhoven10101:101
21Fenerbahçe10101:101
22Villarreal10012:3-10
23Lille10012:3-10
24Club Brugge KV10012:3-10
25Inter10011:2-10
26Atletico Madrid10011:2-10
27Napoli10010:1-10
28Lask Linz10010:1-10
29Viking10011:3-20
30Galatasaray10011:3-20
31FC Porto10010:2-20
32Slavia Praha20022:5-30
33RB Leipzig10011:4-30
34Feyenoord10011:5-40
35Slovan Bratislava10011:6-50
36Bodo/Glimt10010:5-50

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.14X27%3.57229%3.34

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

10 Oct 00:0113 Oct 14:401 2.10X 3.662 3.38
12.22 → 2.10 -5.4%X3.50 → 3.66 +4.6%23.04 → 3.38 +11.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.722.301.6%
Pinnacle1.712.223.5%
Betano1.722.184.0%
SBO1.692.234.0%
Marathonbet1.672.234.7%
Bet3651.672.205.3%
Betfair1.702.155.3%
BetVictor1.632.109.0%
Best of all books1.722.301.6%
Average1.692.204.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.572.405.4%
Betano1.572.307.2%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
Betfair1.532.387.4%
1xBet1.542.357.5%
Marathonbet1.542.328.0%
BetVictor1.532.308.8%
Best of all books1.622.403.4%
Average1.562.327.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Villarreal 35%Draw 35%Napoli 30%

The statistical model rated Villarreal at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Napoli at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.14 | 3.57 | 3.34, which imply roughly 46.7% for a Villarreal win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the UEFA Champions League table: Villarreal are 22nd (0 pts, 2-3 goals), Napoli 27th (0 pts, 0-1).

Over their last five matches, Villarreal averaged 2 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Napoli averaged 0 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Villarreal.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Villarreal

4-4-2

Coach: Iñigo Pérez

Goalkeeper

  • 1Luíz Júnior

Defence

  • 15S. Mouriño
  • 6Pau Navarro
  • 12Renato Veiga
  • 20Carlos Romero

Midfield

  • 14Santi Comesaña
  • 24N. Saliba
  • 18P. Gueye
  • 10Alberto Moleiro

Attack

  • 7Gerard Moreno
  • 9G. Mikautadze
Substitutes (12)
  • 13Rubén Gómez
  • 3A. Freeman
  • 8J. Foyth
  • 27N. El Jmili
  • 5A. Diatta
  • 2Logan Costa
  • 23Sergi Cardona
  • 11Ilias Akhomach
  • 16C. Macia
  • 21T. Oluwaseyi
  • 22Ayoze Pérez
  • 28Joselillo Gaitán

Napoli

3-4-2-1

Coach: M. Allegri

Goalkeeper

  • 32V. Milinković-Savić

Defence

  • 13Amir Rrahmani
  • 16Rafa Marín
  • 5B. Badiashile

Midfield

  • 21M. Politano
  • 6B. Gilmour
  • 8S. McTominay
  • 22G. Di Lorenzo
  • 23Giovane
  • 11K. De Bruyne

Attack

  • 19R. Højlund
Substitutes (8)
  • 37L. Spinazzola
  • 20L. Lucca
  • 1A. Meret
  • 31S. Beukema
  • 14N. Contini
  • 7David Neres
  • 70N. Lang
  • 68S. Lobotka

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.103.673.38

Double chance

1XX212
1.321.751.28

Draw no bet

12
1.532.43

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.562.32

1st half

1X2
2.602.313.73

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7015.12.24

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0312.5
1.51.204.38
2.51.692.20
3.52.661.46
4.54.831.16
5.59.131.04
6.517.21.02
7.533.01.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1–11.7
1.251.106.17
1.751.243.88
21.313.40
2.251.502.61
2.751.851.99
32.101.73
3.252.331.58
3.753.051.34
43.721.24
4.254.291.16
4.755.751.07
58.201.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.951.38
-0.752.371.57
-0.52.051.79
-0.251.802.04
01.542.51
+0.251.402.88
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.513.01.01
-2.57.731.04
-2.257.001.10
-26.801.07
-1.754.641.16
-1.53.661.23
-1.253.351.30
+0.51.333.33
+0.751.214.18
+11.116.13
+1.251.096.62
+1.51.086.93
+1.751.019.50
+2.51.0212.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.086.80
2.51.253.70
3.51.532.46
4.51.971.77
5.53.011.36
6.54.351.19
7.56.401.09
8.59.001.04
9.511.31.02
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
31.253.73
41.772.05
52.681.44

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0113.0
4.51.0211.8
5.51.047.38
6.51.124.99
7.51.273.28
8.51.512.38
9.51.901.86
10.52.401.50
11.53.141.28
12.54.381.15
13.56.041.08
14.57.631.04
15.511.61.02
16.512.01.02
17.514.01.01
17 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.055.35
71.153.79
7.751.243.26
81.332.77
8.251.352.70
8.751.502.33
91.702.05
9.251.722.05
9.751.941.81
102.211.61
10.252.131.56
10.752.471.41
112.781.33
11.252.791.28
123.591.17
134.721.08
145.621.04