Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC• UEFA Champions League, World

#231.0:1.019:00Tomorrow · Stamford Bridge, London1.7:0.0#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.731XBX3.60BFR22.761XBMargin at best0.6%Books10Markets89Rating15 · 86Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 20:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.73	3.47	2.76	1.7%
Pinnacle	2.74	3.42	2.66	3.3%
Dafabet	2.65	3.50	2.65	4.0%
Marathonbet	2.66	3.38	2.69	4.4%
Betfair	2.70	3.40	2.63	4.5%
BetVictor	2.63	3.50	2.60	5.1%
Bet365	2.62	3.50	2.60	5.2%
Betano	2.65	3.40	2.62	5.3%
William Hill	2.50	3.20	2.60	9.7%
SBO	2.49	3.11	2.46	13.0%
Best of all books	2.74	3.50	2.76	1.3%
Average	2.64	3.39	2.63	5.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Shakhtar DonetskAEK Athens FC

Last 10#23Table position#171.00Points per game3.0015Form pts · last 5131.0Goals for · last 51.71.0Goals against · last 50.017Attack rating830Defence rating10013Form rating880H2H rating1000Goals model015Overall rating86

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 19:20 UTC

Shakhtar Donetsk

8W 1D 1L · goals 20:4 · per match 2.0 for, 0.4 against

9 Oct	A	Veres Rivne	3-0	W
2 Oct	H	Kryvbas KR	3-0	W
20 Sep	H	LNZ Cherkasy	3-0	W
17 Sep	A	Vilkhivtsi	3-0	W
14 Sep	H	Chornomorets	2-0	W
10 Sep	A	PSV Eindhoven	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Karpaty	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	Polessya	0-2	L
16 Aug	A	FC Kharkiv	1-0	W
9 Aug	A	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	2-0	W

AEK Athens FC

8W 2D 0L · goals 31:4 · per match 3.1 for, 0.4 against

10 Oct	H	OFI	3-0	W
20 Sep	A	Volos NFC	2-1	W
17 Sep	H	Panserraikos	8-1	W
13 Sep	A	Asteras Tripolis	1-1	D
8 Sep	H	Lask Linz	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Aris Thessalonikis	5-0	W
2 Sep	A	Nestos Chrisoupolis	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Kifisia	1-1	D
26 Aug	H	Levski Sofia	4-0	W
22 Aug	H	Iraklis 1908	4-0	W

Head to head

0Shakhtar Donetsk wins

0draws

1AEK Athens FC wins

1 meeting · goals 0:5 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Shakhtar Donetsk

13 Jul 2023Friendlies Clubs

Friendlies Clubs

AEK Athens FC5-0Shakhtar Donetsk

UEFA Champions League tableUEFA Champions Leagueupdated 13 Oct 22:50 UTC

In the UEFA Champions League table, Shakhtar Donetsk sit 23rd with 1 points from 1 games, while AEK Athens FC are 17th with 3 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	9:2	+7	6
2	Sporting CP	2	2	0	0	5:1	+4	6
3	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	4:0	+4	6
4	Bayern München	2	1	1	0	8:3	+5	4
5	Paris Saint Germain	1	1	0	0	6:1	+5	3
6	Como	1	1	0	0	4:1	+3	3
7	Manchester United	2	1	0	1	4:2	+2	3
8	VfB Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	3:1	+2	3
9	Manchester City	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
10	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	5:4	+1	3
11	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
12	Real Betis	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
13	Atletico Madrid	2	1	0	1	3:2	+1	3
14	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
15	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
16	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
17	AEK Athens FC	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
18	Club Brugge KV	2	1	0	1	6:6	0	3
19	Lens	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
20	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	2:4	-2	3
21	Sabah FA	2	1	0	1	2:4	-2	3
22	AS Roma	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
23	Shakhtar Donetsk	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
24	Fenerbahçe	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
25	PSV Eindhoven	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
26	Viking	2	0	1	1	4:6	-2	1
27	Lask Linz	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
28	Inter	2	0	0	2	4:6	-2	0
29	FC Porto	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
30	Slavia Praha	2	0	0	2	2:5	-3	0
31	Napoli	2	0	0	2	1:4	-3	0
32	Lille	2	0	0	2	2:6	-4	0
33	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	1:5	-4	0
34	Galatasaray	2	0	0	2	2:7	-5	0
35	Slovan Bratislava	1	0	0	1	1:6	-5	0
36	Bodo/Glimt	1	0	0	1	0:5	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.63X28%3.40236%2.64

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.63 → 2.63 0.0%X3.44 → 3.40 -1.2%22.58 → 2.64 +2.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.95	1.99	1.5%
Pinnacle	1.88	2.01	2.9%
SBO	1.89	1.97	3.7%
Betano	1.93	1.91	4.2%
Bet365	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.93	4.7%
Betfair	1.83	1.91	7.0%
BetVictor	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Best of all books	1.95	2.01	1.0%
Average	1.89	1.94	4.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.20	5.3%
William Hill	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Betano	1.70	2.07	7.1%
1xBet	1.66	2.12	7.4%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.09	8.1%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Best of all books	1.70	2.20	4.3%
Average	1.67	2.13	7.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Shakhtar Donetsk 0%Draw 50%AEK Athens FC 50%

The statistical model rates Shakhtar Donetsk at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and AEK Athens FC at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.64, which imply roughly 29.4% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the UEFA Champions League table: Shakhtar Donetsk are 23rd (1 pts, 1-1 goals), AEK Athens FC 17th (3 pts, 1-0).

Over their last five matches, Shakhtar Donetsk averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; AEK Athens FC averaged 1.7 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or AEK Athens FC and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.64	3.39	2.63

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.48	1.47	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.87	1.86

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.13

1st half

1	X	2
3.18	2.18	3.15

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.97	11.4	1.98

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.6
1.5	1.27	3.61
2.5	1.89	1.94
3.5	3.12	1.34
4.5	6.20	1.09
5.5	12.3	1.03
6.5	22.5	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	9.32
1	1.01	8.80
1.25	1.13	4.91
1.75	1.32	3.17
2	1.42	2.79
2.25	1.64	2.26
2.75	2.10	1.74
3	2.48	1.51
3.25	2.74	1.41
3.75	3.73	1.21
4	5.15	1.10
4.25	5.50	1.08
4.75	8.15	1.04
5	10.5	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.61	1.49
-0.25	2.26	1.65
0	1.93	1.91
+0.25	1.64	2.22
+0.5	1.50	2.56
+0.75	1.33	3.13

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	11.0	1.02
-2	10.5	1.02
-1.75	7.04	1.07
-1.5	5.40	1.13
-1.25	4.79	1.15
-1	4.42	1.19
-0.75	3.15	1.33
+1	1.19	4.37
+1.25	1.15	4.76
+1.5	1.12	5.39
+1.75	1.06	7.37
+2	1.02	10.5
+2.5	1.02	11.3

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.3
1.5	1.10	6.20
2.5	1.29	3.40
3.5	1.62	2.21
4.5	2.16	1.65
5.5	3.25	1.31
6.5	4.85	1.16
7.5	7.10	1.08
8.5	9.75	1.03

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.30	3.33
4	1.86	1.94
5	2.89	1.38

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	12.5
4.5	1.02	10.6
5.5	1.07	6.29
6.5	1.18	4.03
7.5	1.36	2.80
8.5	1.68	2.07
9.5	2.13	1.65
10.5	2.82	1.37
11.5	3.78	1.20
12.5	5.44	1.10
13.5	7.46	1.04
14.5	11.2	1.02
15.5	11.5	1.02
16.5	13.0	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.08	4.80
7	1.20	3.35
7.75	1.38	2.62
8	1.47	2.46
8.25	1.55	2.23
8.75	1.78	1.97
9	1.88	1.91
9.25	1.98	1.71
9.75	2.26	1.50
10	2.44	1.48
10.25	2.63	1.37
10.75	3.04	1.24
11	3.05	1.24
11.25	3.64	1.16
12	4.10	1.12
13	5.30	1.06