RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven• UEFA Champions League, World

#331.0:4.01-0FTToday · Leipzig Red Bull Arena, Leipzig1.0:1.0#20

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.611XBX5.11PIN25.09PINMargin at best1.3%Books10Markets104Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 16:17 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.61	5.08	5.03	1.7%
Betano	1.60	5.10	5.00	2.1%
Pinnacle	1.55	5.11	5.09	3.7%
Dafabet	1.57	5.00	4.90	4.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	4.95	4.90	4.3%
Betfair	1.55	5.00	5.00	4.5%
BetVictor	1.53	5.00	5.00	5.4%
Bet365	1.55	5.00	4.75	5.6%
William Hill	1.57	4.60	4.60	7.2%
SBO	1.58	4.56	4.41	7.9%
Best of all books	1.61	5.11	5.09	1.3%
Average	1.57	4.94	4.87	4.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RB LeipzigPSV Eindhoven

Last 10#33Table position#200.00Points per game1.006Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 51.04.0Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5020Defence rating800Form rating1000H2H rating00Goals model035Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 16:00 UTC

RB Leipzig

5W 0D 5L · goals 27:14 · per match 2.7 for, 1.4 against

10 Oct	H	Eintracht Frankfurt	6-0	W
20 Sep	A	Bayer Leverkusen	0-2	L
13 Sep	H	Hamburger SV	5-0	W
10 Sep	A	Como	1-4	L
5 Sep	A	Werder Bremen	1-3	L
29 Aug	H	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3-0	W
22 Aug	A	Eintracht Trier	6-0	W
15 Aug	A	Bayern München	1-3	L
8 Aug	A	Leeds	0-2	L
1 Aug	H	Verl	4-0	W

PSV Eindhoven

6W 2D 2L · goals 27:15 · per match 2.7 for, 1.5 against

9 Oct	H	Heerenveen	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Twente	2-3	L
13 Sep	H	Sparta Rotterdam	4-1	W
10 Sep	H	Shakhtar Donetsk	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Ajax	3-1	W
30 Aug	A	Utrecht	6-1	W
23 Aug	H	Groningen	5-1	W
15 Aug	A	Excelsior	2-1	W
8 Aug	H	Fortuna Sittard	2-2	D
2 Aug	H	AZ Alkmaar	0-4	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between RB Leipzig and PSV Eindhoven on record.

UEFA Champions League tableUEFA Champions Leagueupdated 13 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the UEFA Champions League table, RB Leipzig sit 33rd with 0 points from 1 games, while PSV Eindhoven are 20th with 1 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Sporting CP	2	2	0	0	5:1	+4	6
2	Paris Saint Germain	1	1	0	0	6:1	+5	3
3	Bayern München	1	1	0	0	5:0	+5	3
4	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	5:1	+4	3
5	Manchester United	1	1	0	0	4:0	+4	3
6	Como	1	1	0	0	4:1	+3	3
7	VfB Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	3:1	+2	3
8	Manchester City	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
9	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
10	Real Betis	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
11	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
12	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
13	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
14	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
15	AEK Athens FC	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
16	Lens	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
17	Sabah FA	2	1	0	1	2:4	-2	3
18	AS Roma	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
19	Shakhtar Donetsk	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
20	PSV Eindhoven	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
21	Fenerbahçe	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
22	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
23	Lille	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
24	Club Brugge KV	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
25	Inter	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
26	Atletico Madrid	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
27	Napoli	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
28	Lask Linz	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
29	Viking	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
30	Galatasaray	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
31	FC Porto	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
32	Slavia Praha	2	0	0	2	2:5	-3	0
33	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
34	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	1:5	-4	0
35	Slovan Bratislava	1	0	0	1	1:6	-5	0
36	Bodo/Glimt	1	0	0	1	0:5	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.53X19%5.07219%5.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.00 → 1.57 -21.5%X3.99 → 4.94 +23.8%23.20 → 4.87 +52.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.31	3.59	4.2%
Betano	1.29	3.65	4.9%
Bet365	1.25	4.00	5.0%
Betfair	1.25	4.00	5.0%
BetVictor	1.22	3.90	7.6%
1xBet	1.22	3.72	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.22	3.72	8.8%
Best of all books	1.31	4.00	1.3%
Average	1.25	3.80	6.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.35	3.20	5.3%
Bet365	1.33	3.25	6.0%
Betano	1.37	2.95	6.9%
Betfair	1.30	3.30	7.2%
1xBet	1.32	3.15	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.32	3.10	8.0%
BetVictor	1.29	3.25	8.3%
Best of all books	1.37	3.30	3.3%
Average	1.33	3.17	7.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

RB Leipzig 10%Draw 45%PSV Eindhoven 45%

The statistical model rated RB Leipzig at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and PSV Eindhoven at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.53 | 5.07 | 5.07, which imply roughly 19.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Champions League table: RB Leipzig are 33rd (0 pts, 1-4 goals), PSV Eindhoven 20th (1 pts, 1-1).

Over their last five matches, RB Leipzig averaged 1 goals scored and 4 conceded per game; PSV Eindhoven averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or PSV Eindhoven.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Demichelis

Goalkeeper

26M. Vandevoordt

Defence

17R. Baku
4W. Orbán
23C. Lukeba
22D. Raum

Midfield

21N. El Aynaoui
6E. Banzuzi
10B. Gruda
28C. Nkunku
7A. Nusa

Attack

40Rômulo

Substitutes (11)

11J. Bakayoko
3M. Estève
35Max Finkgräfe
27T. Gomis
39B. Henrichs
16L. Klostermann
2A. Koné
30A. MaksimoviÄ
1Ø. Nyland
20R. Reitz
13N. Seiwald

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1

Coach: P. Bosz

Goalkeeper

32M. Kovář

Defence

8S. Dest
2L. Geertruida
4A. Obispo
18F. Kostić

Midfield

24K. Sano
17Mauro Júnior
5I. Perišić
20G. Til
7R. van Bommel

Attack

21S. Mijnans

Substitutes (11)

51T. Smolenaars
35A. Santos
1N. Olij
27D. Man
3Yarek Gasiorowski
6R. Flamingo
31N. Fernandez
42S. Cornecion
23M. Hansen
37A. Bouhamdi
19E. Bajraktarevic

Match Statistics

RB LeipzigPSV Eindhoven

2.19Expected Goals1.46

279Passes accurate368

15Shots insidebox8

4Shots outsidebox3

5Blocked Shots2

12Free Kicks12

6Shots on Goal5

5Goalkeeper Saves6

8Shots off Goal4

336Total passes440

19Total Shots11

1Yellow Cards2

5Corner Kicks12

0Offsides5

13Fouls12

0Red Cards0

43%Ball Possession57%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.57	4.94	4.87

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	2.42	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.70

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.33	3.17

1st half

1	X	2
1.95	2.89	4.44

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.49	37.5	2.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	26.2
1.5	1.05	8.62
2.5	1.25	3.80
3.5	1.67	2.24
4.5	2.41	1.54
5.5	3.97	1.22
6.5	6.90	1.10
7.5	12.4	1.03
8.5	19.8	1.01
9.5	41.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	23.0
1.75	1.03	7.68
2	1.04	7.20
2.25	1.13	4.81
2.75	1.29	3.42
3	1.35	3.11
3.25	1.52	2.55
3.75	1.80	2.03
4	2.00	1.80
4.25	2.21	1.63
4.75	2.72	1.41
5	3.25	1.29
5.25	3.58	1.21
6	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.63	1.48
-1.5	2.28	1.62
-1.25	2.07	1.75
-1	1.85	1.99
-0.75	1.65	2.21
-0.5	1.55	2.47

17 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	6.67	1.05
-3.25	6.40	1.12
-3	6.20	1.08
-2.75	4.59	1.15
-2.5	3.73	1.22
-2.25	3.44	1.27
-2	3.16	1.32
-0.25	1.42	2.81
0	1.24	3.79
+0.25	1.22	3.92
+0.5	1.24	3.93
+0.75	1.11	5.66
+1	1.05	7.73
+1.25	1.07	6.56
+1.5	1.04	8.23
+2	1.01	11.5
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.5
1.5	1.10	6.40
2.5	1.28	3.45
3.5	1.63	2.20
4.5	2.33	1.58
5.5	3.25	1.31
6.5	4.90	1.15
7.5	7.20	1.07
8.5	9.75	1.03
9.5	11.3	1.02

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.35	3.06
4	1.96	1.85
5	3.21	1.33

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	14.0
4.5	1.02	14.3
5.5	1.04	9.25
6.5	1.08	5.84
7.5	1.19	3.88
8.5	1.38	2.75
9.5	1.66	2.10
10.5	2.11	1.67
11.5	2.73	1.39
12.5	3.64	1.21
13.5	5.00	1.12
14.5	6.88	1.06
15.5	10.1	1.02
16.5	11.3	1.02
17.5	12.5	1.01
18.5	14.0	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.09	4.59
8	1.21	3.25
8.75	1.38	2.58
9	1.47	2.46
9.25	1.54	2.25
9.75	1.76	2.01
10	1.89	1.91
10.25	1.94	1.73
10.75	2.17	1.54
11	2.37	1.51
11.25	2.52	1.40
11.75	2.87	1.27
12	2.90	1.26
12.25	3.39	1.18
13	3.85	1.14
14	4.97	1.07