Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain• UEFA Champions League, World

#92.0:0.019:00Tomorrow · Etihad Stadium, Manchester6.0:1.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.241XBX4.13PIN23.071XBMargin at best1.4%Books10Markets97Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L54.5

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 20:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.23	4.11	3.08	1.6%
Betano	2.22	4.05	3.05	2.5%
Marathonbet	2.20	4.05	3.04	3.0%
Pinnacle	2.16	4.12	3.05	3.4%
Dafabet	2.21	3.95	3.00	3.9%
Bet365	2.15	3.90	3.00	5.5%
BetVictor	2.15	3.90	3.00	5.5%
Betfair	2.10	4.00	3.00	6.0%
William Hill	2.10	3.75	2.88	9.0%
SBO	2.11	3.42	2.75	13.0%
Best of all books	2.23	4.12	3.08	1.6%
Average	2.16	3.92	2.98	5.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Manchester CityParis Saint Germain

Last 10#9Table position#53.00Points per game3.0015Form pts · last 5122.0Goals for · last 56.00.0Goals against · last 51.025Attack rating75100Defence rating050Form rating5060H2H rating400Goals model046Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 21:10 UTC

Manchester City

9W 0D 1L · goals 26:9 · per match 2.6 for, 0.9 against

11 Oct	A	Liverpool	3-0	W
20 Sep	H	Sunderland	5-3	W
17 Sep	H	Norwich	5-0	W
13 Sep	A	Manchester United	1-0	W
8 Sep	A	FC Porto	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Coventry	1-0	W
28 Aug	A	Crystal Palace	4-1	W
23 Aug	H	Bournemouth	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Arsenal	0-3	L
9 Aug	H	Atletico Madrid	3-1	W

Paris Saint Germain

5W 3D 2L · goals 20:12 · per match 2.0 for, 1.2 against

10 Oct	H	Le Mans	3-1	W
20 Sep	A	Marseille	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Stade Brestois 29	1-0	W
9 Sep	H	Slovan Bratislava	6-1	W
4 Sep	H	Monaco	1-2	L
28 Aug	A	Lille	2-2	D
23 Aug	A	Rennes	2-2	D
16 Aug	A	Lens	0-1	L
12 Aug	H	Aston Villa	2-1	W
8 Aug	H	Manchester United	1-1	D

Head to head

4Manchester City wins

1draws

2Paris Saint Germain wins

7 meetings · goals 11:10 · last 7: 4W 1D 2L for Manchester City

22 Jan 2025UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	Paris Saint Germain4-2Manchester City
24 Nov 2021UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	Manchester City2-1Paris Saint Germain
28 Sep 2021UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	Paris Saint Germain2-0Manchester City
4 May 2021UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	Manchester City2-0Paris Saint Germain
28 Apr 2021UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	Paris Saint Germain1-2Manchester City
12 Apr 2016UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	Manchester City1-0Paris Saint Germain
6 Apr 2016UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	Paris Saint Germain2-2Manchester City

UEFA Champions League tableUEFA Champions Leagueupdated 13 Oct 22:50 UTC

In the UEFA Champions League table, Manchester City sit 9th with 3 points from 1 games, while Paris Saint Germain are 5th with 3 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	9:2	+7	6
2	Sporting CP	2	2	0	0	5:1	+4	6
3	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	4:0	+4	6
4	Bayern München	2	1	1	0	8:3	+5	4
5	Paris Saint Germain	1	1	0	0	6:1	+5	3
6	Como	1	1	0	0	4:1	+3	3
7	Manchester United	2	1	0	1	4:2	+2	3
8	VfB Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	3:1	+2	3
9	Manchester City	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
10	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	5:4	+1	3
11	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
12	Real Betis	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
13	Atletico Madrid	2	1	0	1	3:2	+1	3
14	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
15	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
16	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
17	AEK Athens FC	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
18	Club Brugge KV	2	1	0	1	6:6	0	3
19	Lens	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
20	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	2:4	-2	3
21	Sabah FA	2	1	0	1	2:4	-2	3
22	AS Roma	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
23	Shakhtar Donetsk	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
24	Fenerbahçe	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
25	PSV Eindhoven	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
26	Viking	2	0	1	1	4:6	-2	1
27	Lask Linz	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
28	Inter	2	0	0	2	4:6	-2	0
29	FC Porto	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
30	Slavia Praha	2	0	0	2	2:5	-3	0
31	Napoli	2	0	0	2	1:4	-3	0
32	Lille	2	0	0	2	2:6	-4	0
33	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	1:5	-4	0
34	Galatasaray	2	0	0	2	2:7	-5	0
35	Slovan Bratislava	1	0	0	1	1:6	-5	0
36	Bodo/Glimt	1	0	0	1	0:5	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.16X24%3.93232%2.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.27 → 2.16 -4.8%X3.85 → 3.93 +2.1%22.77 → 2.97 +7.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.47	2.77	4.1%
Betano	1.45	2.82	4.4%
Bet365	1.44	2.75	5.8%
Betfair	1.40	2.80	7.1%
1xBet	1.39	2.73	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.73	8.6%
BetVictor	1.42	2.59	9.0%
Best of all books	1.47	2.82	3.5%
Average	1.42	2.74	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.44	2.80	5.2%
William Hill	1.40	2.90	5.9%
Betano	1.40	2.82	6.9%
1xBet	1.37	2.89	7.6%
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.37	2.84	8.2%
BetVictor	1.36	2.88	8.3%
Best of all books	1.44	2.90	3.9%
Average	1.39	2.84	7.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Manchester City 45%Draw 45%Paris Saint Germain 10%

The statistical model rates Manchester City at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Paris Saint Germain at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.16 | 3.93 | 2.97, which imply roughly 46.3% for a Manchester City win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Champions League table: Manchester City are 9th (3 pts, 2-0 goals), Paris Saint Germain 5th (3 pts, 6-1).

Over their last five matches, Manchester City averaged 2 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Paris Saint Germain averaged 6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Manchester City or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.16	3.93	2.99

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.38	1.69	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.62	2.22

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.39	2.84

1st half

1	X	2
2.58	2.50	3.29

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.75	22.0	2.05

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	18.7
1.5	1.10	5.90
2.5	1.42	2.74
3.5	2.10	1.75
4.5	3.38	1.30
5.5	6.12	1.10
6.5	11.9	1.03
7.5	20.2	1.01
8.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	16.0
1.75	1.10	5.42
2	1.12	4.95
2.25	1.29	3.33
2.75	1.51	2.46
3	1.65	2.21
3.25	1.89	1.94
3.75	2.33	1.57
4	2.79	1.42
4.25	3.05	1.34
4.75	4.04	1.18
5	5.35	1.10
5.25	5.64	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.43	1.52
-0.5	2.12	1.72
-0.25	1.89	1.95
0	1.64	2.28
+0.25	1.48	2.57
+0.5	1.40	2.94

16 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	13.3	1.03
-3	13.5	1.05
-2.5	7.10	1.05
-2.25	7.00	1.10
-2	6.60	1.07
-1.75	4.64	1.16
-1.5	3.66	1.24
-1.25	3.40	1.29
-1	3.04	1.36
+0.75	1.27	3.56
+1	1.16	4.83
+1.25	1.13	5.35
+1.5	1.12	5.66
+1.75	1.06	7.60
+2	1.02	10.2
+2.5	1.02	11.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.0
1.5	1.15	5.00
2.5	1.44	2.68
3.5	1.97	1.79
4.5	2.75	1.42
5.5	4.15	1.21
6.5	6.30	1.10
7.5	9.00	1.04
8.5	11.5	1.02

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.18	4.47
3	1.75	2.09
4	2.88	1.38

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	13.0
4.5	1.02	10.6
5.5	1.06	6.78
6.5	1.14	4.51
7.5	1.31	3.03
8.5	1.58	2.23
9.5	1.98	1.78
10.5	2.59	1.43
11.5	3.46	1.24
12.5	4.77	1.13
13.5	6.65	1.06
14.5	9.75	1.03
15.5	13.9	1.02
16.5	12.5	1.01
17.5	14.0	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.06	5.25
7	1.15	3.70
7.75	1.30	2.91
8	1.39	2.71
8.25	1.43	2.43
8.75	1.61	2.12
9	1.73	2.02
9.25	1.86	1.88
9.75	2.13	1.66
10	2.24	1.58
10.25	2.38	1.45
10.75	2.75	1.33
11	2.85	1.31
11.25	3.19	1.22
12	3.67	1.16
13	4.82	1.08
14	5.55	1.05