Lens vs Sporting CP• UEFA Champions League, World

#163.0:2.00-2FTToday · Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens3.0:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.621XBX3.851XB22.671XBMargin at best1.6%Books10Markets91Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L54.5

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 12:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.62	3.85	2.67	1.6%
Betano	2.60	3.85	2.62	2.6%
Pinnacle	2.60	3.76	2.65	2.8%
Betfair	2.55	3.70	2.63	4.3%
Marathonbet	2.55	3.75	2.60	4.3%
Dafabet	2.55	3.65	2.65	4.3%
Bet365	2.55	3.70	2.60	4.7%
BetVictor	2.50	3.75	2.55	5.9%
SBO	2.50	3.48	2.56	7.8%
William Hill	2.50	3.50	2.50	8.6%
Best of all books	2.62	3.85	2.67	1.6%
Average	2.55	3.70	2.60	4.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LensSporting CP

Last 10#16Table position#11.50Points per game3.0010Form pts · last 5113.0Goals for · last 53.02.0Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5033Defence rating6750Form rating500H2H rating00Goals model044Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 16:00 UTC

Lens

5W 1D 4L · goals 17:14 · per match 1.7 for, 1.4 against

9 Oct	H	Lyon	2-1	W
2 Oct	A	Standard Liege	2-0	W
18 Sep	A	Monaco	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Le Mans	2-2	D
10 Sep	A	Slavia Praha	3-2	W
5 Sep	H	Lorient	0-1	L
29 Aug	A	Strasbourg	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Auxerre	5-2	W
16 Aug	H	Paris Saint Germain	1-0	W
8 Aug	H	Sunderland	0-2	L

Sporting CP

7W 3D 0L · goals 27:11 · per match 2.7 for, 1.1 against

9 Oct	A	SC Braga	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Arouca	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Famalicao	1-1	D
9 Sep	H	Galatasaray	3-1	W
5 Sep	H	Nacional	2-0	W
28 Aug	A	Rio Ave	4-0	W
22 Aug	H	Alverca	3-1	W
14 Aug	H	Vitória SC	3-2	W
8 Aug	A	Estrela	2-2	D
31 Jul	H	Nottingham Forest	4-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Lens and Sporting CP on record.

UEFA Champions League tableUEFA Champions Leagueupdated 13 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the UEFA Champions League table, Lens sit 16th with 3 points from 2 games, while Sporting CP are 1st with 6 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Sporting CP	2	2	0	0	5:1	+4	6
2	Paris Saint Germain	1	1	0	0	6:1	+5	3
3	Bayern München	1	1	0	0	5:0	+5	3
4	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	5:1	+4	3
5	Manchester United	1	1	0	0	4:0	+4	3
6	Como	1	1	0	0	4:1	+3	3
7	VfB Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	3:1	+2	3
8	Manchester City	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
9	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
10	Real Betis	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
11	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
12	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
13	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
14	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
15	AEK Athens FC	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
16	Lens	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
17	Sabah FA	2	1	0	1	2:4	-2	3
18	AS Roma	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
19	Shakhtar Donetsk	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
20	PSV Eindhoven	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
21	Fenerbahçe	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
22	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
23	Lille	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
24	Club Brugge KV	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
25	Inter	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
26	Atletico Madrid	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
27	Napoli	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
28	Lask Linz	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
29	Viking	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
30	Galatasaray	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
31	FC Porto	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
32	Slavia Praha	2	0	0	2	2:5	-3	0
33	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
34	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	1:5	-4	0
35	Slovan Bratislava	1	0	0	1	1:6	-5	0
36	Bodo/Glimt	1	0	0	1	0:5	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.55X26%3.66236%2.64

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.47 → 2.55 +3.2%X3.69 → 3.70 +0.3%22.59 → 2.59 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.64	2.46	1.6%
Pinnacle	1.61	2.43	3.3%
Betano	1.60	2.42	3.8%
SBO	1.57	2.44	4.7%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.39	4.7%
Bet365	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Betfair	1.53	2.38	7.4%
BetVictor	1.54	2.26	9.2%
Best of all books	1.64	2.46	1.6%
Average	1.58	2.39	5.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.50	2.60	5.1%
William Hill	1.53	2.50	5.4%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betano	1.50	2.50	6.7%
1xBet	1.47	2.53	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.49	8.2%
BetVictor	1.44	2.55	8.7%
Best of all books	1.53	2.60	3.8%
Average	1.49	2.52	6.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lens 10%Draw 45%Sporting CP 45%

The statistical model rated Lens at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sporting CP at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.55 | 3.66 | 2.64, which imply roughly 27.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Champions League table: Lens are 16th (3 pts, 3-4 goals), Sporting CP 1st (6 pts, 5-1).

Over their last five matches, Lens averaged 3 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Sporting CP averaged 3 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sporting CP and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Lens

3-4-2-1

Coach: Yannick Cahuzac

Goalkeeper

40R. Risser

Defence

6S. Baidoo
25I. Ganiou
32K. Antonio

Midfield

23Saud Abdulhamid
27M. Cuisance
21A. Haidara
14M. Udol
10F. Thauvin
28J. Kadile

Attack

29F. Ivanović

Substitutes (12)

2R. Aguilar
4N. Äelik
11O. Édouard
16M. Gorgelin
9T. Hazard
31S. Sagnan
22M. Skóraś
38M. Soares
7F. Sotoca
8Y. Titraoui
20J. Todibo
5A. Bulatović

Sporting CP

4-2-3-1

Coach: Rui Borges

Goalkeeper

30Kaique

Defence

22Iván Fresneda
72Eduardo Quaresma
25Gonçalo Inácio
20M. Araújo

Midfield

8João Simões
5Sergi Altimira
10Geny Catamo
77I. Doumbia
19N. Irankunda

Attack

97L. Suárez

Substitutes (12)

18M. Zekri
55Ibrahima Ba
13G. Vagiannidis
1Rui Silva
21Pedro Lima
9Rafael Ferreira Nel
31Luis Guilherme
7F. Ioannidis
58Flávio Gonçalves
73Eduardo Felicíssimo
28J. Derry
4S. Andersen

Match Statistics

LensSporting CP

1.79Expected Goals1.73

482Passes accurate367

11Shots insidebox8

10Shots outsidebox3

5Blocked Shots3

12Free Kicks8

6Shots on Goal5

3Goalkeeper Saves6

10Shots off Goal3

1Offsides0

545Total passes435

21Total Shots11

2Yellow Cards0

6Corner Kicks3

8Fouls12

0Red Cards0

56%Ball Possession44%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.55	3.70	2.60

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.49	1.51	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.85	1.89

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.49	2.52

1st half

1	X	2
2.98	2.38	3.04

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.92	17.1	1.94

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.6
1.5	1.16	4.79
2.5	1.58	2.39
3.5	2.37	1.55
4.5	4.14	1.20
5.5	7.62	1.06
6.5	15.3	1.02
7.5	24.8	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	12.5
1.25	1.08	6.32
1.75	1.19	4.26
2	1.24	3.80
2.25	1.42	2.86
2.75	1.73	2.13
3	1.91	1.88
3.25	2.15	1.67
3.75	2.70	1.41
4	3.33	1.28
4.25	3.58	1.21
4.75	4.80	1.12
5	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.91	1.38
-0.5	2.48	1.54
-0.25	2.18	1.70
0	1.90	1.94
+0.25	1.64	2.24
+0.5	1.51	2.56

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.97	1.02
-2	8.00	1.02
-1.75	5.77	1.10
-1.5	4.63	1.16
-1.25	4.19	1.19
-1	3.87	1.23
+0.75	1.36	3.02
+1	1.22	4.01
+1.25	1.17	4.36
+1.5	1.15	4.80
+1.75	1.09	6.06
+2	1.02	8.30
+2.5	1.02	9.10

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.3
1.5	1.09	6.70
2.5	1.25	3.70
3.5	1.53	2.45
4.5	2.10	1.69
5.5	2.95	1.36
6.5	4.35	1.19
7.5	6.40	1.09
8.5	9.00	1.04
9.5	11.3	1.02

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.26	3.63
4	1.77	2.05
5	2.74	1.43

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	13.5
4.5	1.02	11.9
5.5	1.04	7.97
6.5	1.12	5.05
7.5	1.25	3.40
8.5	1.48	2.44
9.5	1.84	1.90
10.5	2.31	1.54
11.5	3.12	1.30
12.5	4.31	1.16
13.5	6.00	1.08
14.5	7.50	1.04
15.5	11.5	1.02
16.5	11.8	1.02
17.5	13.5	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.04	5.62
7	1.12	4.05
7.75	1.23	3.05
8	1.27	2.85
8.25	1.38	2.60
8.75	1.54	2.25
9	1.62	2.19
9.25	1.75	2.00
9.75	1.94	1.73
10	2.07	1.69
10.25	2.19	1.53
10.75	2.53	1.39
11	2.58	1.38
11.25	3.02	1.28
12	3.32	1.20
13	4.40	1.10
14	5.57	1.05