AS Roma vs Real Madrid• UEFA Champions League, World

#181.0:1.019:00Tomorrow · Stadio Olimpico, Rome2.0:1.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.861XBX4.161XB21.95BFRMargin at best1.2%Books10Markets99Rating29 · 71Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 16:17 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.86	4.16	1.94	1.5%
Marathonbet	3.80	4.10	1.91	3.1%
Pinnacle	3.65	4.03	1.95	3.5%
Betfair	3.75	3.90	1.95	3.6%
Dafabet	3.60	4.10	1.93	4.0%
Betano	3.70	3.90	1.91	5.0%
Bet365	3.60	4.00	1.91	5.1%
BetVictor	3.60	3.90	1.93	5.2%
William Hill	3.50	3.80	1.85	8.9%
SBO	3.11	3.57	1.89	13.1%
Best of all books	3.86	4.16	1.95	1.2%
Average	3.62	3.95	1.92	5.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AS RomaReal Madrid

Last 10#18Table position#131.00Points per game3.009Form pts · last 5121.0Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 51.033Attack rating6750Defence rating5025Form rating750H2H rating1000Goals model029Overall rating71

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 21:10 UTC

AS Roma

5W 4D 1L · goals 21:10 · per match 2.1 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	A	Como	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Inter	2-2	D
14 Sep	A	Torino	2-0	W
10 Sep	A	Fenerbahçe	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Atalanta	2-1	W
31 Aug	A	Lecce	4-0	W
24 Aug	H	Fiorentina	4-0	W
15 Aug	A	Borussia Dortmund	2-2	D
8 Aug	A	Brighton	0-3	L
4 Aug	A	Newport County	4-1	W

Real Madrid

8W 0D 2L · goals 24:9 · per match 2.4 for, 0.9 against

10 Oct	H	Villarreal	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Atletico Madrid	1-2	L
15 Sep	A	Elche	3-2	W
12 Sep	H	Rayo Vallecano	4-1	W
8 Sep	H	Inter	2-1	W
4 Sep	A	Real Betis	0-1	L
30 Aug	H	Malaga	4-0	W
26 Aug	H	Real Sociedad	4-1	W
22 Aug	A	Espanyol	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	FC Schalke 04	3-0	W

Head to head

0AS Roma wins

0draws

5Real Madrid wins

5 meetings · goals 1:11 · last 5: 0W 0D 5L for AS Roma

27 Nov 2018UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	AS Roma0-2Real Madrid
19 Sep 2018UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	Real Madrid3-0AS Roma
8 Aug 2018International Champions Cup	International Champions Cup	Real Madrid2-1AS Roma
8 Mar 2016UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	Real Madrid2-0AS Roma
17 Feb 2016UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	AS Roma0-2Real Madrid

UEFA Champions League tableUEFA Champions Leagueupdated 13 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the UEFA Champions League table, AS Roma sit 18th with 1 points from 1 games, while Real Madrid are 13th with 3 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Sporting CP	2	2	0	0	5:1	+4	6
2	Paris Saint Germain	1	1	0	0	6:1	+5	3
3	Bayern München	1	1	0	0	5:0	+5	3
4	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	5:1	+4	3
5	Manchester United	1	1	0	0	4:0	+4	3
6	Como	1	1	0	0	4:1	+3	3
7	VfB Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	3:1	+2	3
8	Manchester City	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
9	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
10	Real Betis	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
11	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
12	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
13	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
14	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
15	AEK Athens FC	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
16	Lens	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
17	Sabah FA	2	1	0	1	2:4	-2	3
18	AS Roma	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
19	Shakhtar Donetsk	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
20	PSV Eindhoven	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
21	Fenerbahçe	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
22	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
23	Lille	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
24	Club Brugge KV	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
25	Inter	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
26	Atletico Madrid	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
27	Napoli	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
28	Lask Linz	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
29	Viking	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
30	Galatasaray	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
31	FC Porto	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
32	Slavia Praha	2	0	0	2	2:5	-3	0
33	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
34	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	1:5	-4	0
35	Slovan Bratislava	1	0	0	1	1:6	-5	0
36	Bodo/Glimt	1	0	0	1	0:5	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.61X24%3.96250%1.91

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.67 → 3.61 -1.6%X3.95 → 3.96 +0.3%21.87 → 1.91 +2.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.44	2.87	4.3%
Pinnacle	1.45	2.82	4.4%
Bet365	1.44	2.75	5.8%
Betfair	1.40	2.80	7.1%
1xBet	1.39	2.81	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.81	7.5%
BetVictor	1.42	2.59	9.0%
Best of all books	1.45	2.87	3.8%
Average	1.42	2.78	6.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.36	3.10	5.8%
William Hill	1.40	2.90	5.9%
Betano	1.40	2.82	6.9%
1xBet	1.39	2.81	7.5%
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.76	8.2%
BetVictor	1.36	2.88	8.3%
Best of all books	1.40	3.10	3.7%
Average	1.39	2.86	7.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AS Roma 10%Draw 45%Real Madrid 45%

The statistical model rates AS Roma at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Real Madrid at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.61 | 3.96 | 1.91, which imply roughly 25.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Champions League table: AS Roma are 18th (1 pts, 1-1 goals), Real Madrid 13th (3 pts, 2-1).

Over their last five matches, AS Roma averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Real Madrid averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Real Madrid.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.62	3.95	1.92

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.88	1.28	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
2.65	1.43

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.39	2.86

1st half

1	X	2
3.70	2.50	2.38

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.27	21.5	1.65

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	18.3
1.5	1.10	5.97
2.5	1.42	2.78
3.5	2.05	1.79
4.5	3.30	1.31
5.5	5.75	1.11
6.5	10.7	1.04
7.5	18.8	1.01
8.5	41.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	16.0
1.75	1.11	5.32
2	1.13	4.95
2.25	1.29	3.39
2.75	1.51	2.50
3	1.62	2.28
3.25	1.86	1.98
3.75	2.26	1.61
4	2.68	1.46
4.25	2.91	1.38
4.75	3.63	1.23
5	4.75	1.14
5.25	4.98	1.12
6	8.40	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.74	1.45
+0.25	2.18	1.66
+0.5	1.92	1.91
+0.75	1.73	2.13
+1	1.52	2.54
+1.25	1.41	2.83

16 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	12.0	1.02
-2	12.0	1.01
-1.5	6.90	1.07
-1.25	6.41	1.08
-1	6.00	1.09
-0.75	4.28	1.18
-0.5	3.47	1.29
-0.25	3.20	1.34
+1.5	1.34	3.15
+1.75	1.25	3.63
+2	1.15	4.97
+2.25	1.13	5.24
+2.5	1.11	5.63
+2.75	1.08	6.30
+3	1.01	8.90
+3.5	1.03	10.6

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.09	6.50
2.5	1.27	3.55
3.5	1.57	2.34
4.5	2.04	1.73
5.5	3.10	1.34
6.5	4.60	1.17
7.5	6.70	1.09
8.5	9.25	1.04
9.5	11.5	1.02

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.27	3.52
4	1.83	1.97
5	2.76	1.41

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	14.0
4.5	1.02	14.0
5.5	1.03	8.62
6.5	1.10	5.26
7.5	1.22	3.60
8.5	1.44	2.56
9.5	1.76	1.98
10.5	2.23	1.58
11.5	2.91	1.34
12.5	3.91	1.19
13.5	5.62	1.09
14.5	6.97	1.06
15.5	10.4	1.02
16.5	11.5	1.02
17.5	13.0	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.11	4.29
7.75	1.20	3.24
8	1.24	3.02
8.25	1.34	2.76
8.75	1.47	2.32
9	1.55	2.26
9.25	1.66	2.04
9.75	1.90	1.84
10	2.00	1.79
10.25	2.14	1.60
10.75	2.42	1.44
11	2.44	1.43
11.25	2.81	1.32
12	3.12	1.22
13	4.15	1.12
14	5.30	1.05