Vissel Kobe vs 
Sagan Tosu• Emperor Cup, Japan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 22 Sep 12:32 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.48 | 4.21 | 6.15 | 7.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.48 | 4.15 | 6.13 | 8.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.47 | 4.15 | 6.05 | 8.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.20 | 6.00 | 9.4% |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.00 | 5.60 | 10.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.45 | 4.00 | 5.75 | 11.4% |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.00 | 11.9% |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 3.80 | 5.80 | 13.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.48 | 4.21 | 6.15 | 7.6% |
| Average | 1.45 | 4.09 | 5.93 | 10.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 19:01 UTC
Vissel Kobe
8W 1D 1L · goals 16:7 · per match 1.6 for, 0.7 against
| 23 Sep | H | Sagan Tosu | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Gamba Osaka | 1-0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Port FC | 2-1 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | Kashima | 2-1 | W |
| 6 Sep | H | V-varen Nagasaki | 3-1 | W |
| 2 Sep | A | Tokyo Verdy | 2-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Cerezo Osaka | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Aug | H | Veroskronos Tsuno | 2-1 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Yokohama F. Marinos | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | FC Tokyo | 2-2 | D |
Sagan Tosu
4W 1D 5L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against
| 4 Oct | A | Blaublitz Akita | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Tokyo Verdy | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Montedio Yamagata | 0-2 | L |
| 23 Sep | A | Vissel Kobe | 0-1 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Iwaki | 1-3 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Imabari | 0-1 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 2-0 | W |
| 2 Sep | A | Nara Club | 2-1 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | Yokohama FC | 2-2 | D |
| 26 Aug | H | Kataller Toyama | 4-0 | W |
Head to head
29 meetings · goals 46:26 · last 10: 8W 2D 0L for Vissel Kobe
| 25 Aug 2024J1 League | J1 League | Vissel Kobe2-0Sagan Tosu |
| 3 Apr 2024J1 League | J1 League | Sagan Tosu0-0Vissel Kobe |
| 16 Jul 2023J1 League | J1 League | Vissel Kobe2-1Sagan Tosu |
| 18 Mar 2023J1 League | J1 League | Sagan Tosu0-1Vissel Kobe |
| 2 Jul 2022J1 League | J1 League | Sagan Tosu0-2Vissel Kobe |
| 14 May 2022J1 League | J1 League | Vissel Kobe4-0Sagan Tosu |
| 4 Dec 2021J1 League | J1 League | Sagan Tosu0-2Vissel Kobe |
| 30 May 2021J1 League | J1 League | Vissel Kobe1-1Sagan Tosu |
| 23 Sep 2020J1 League | J1 League | Vissel Kobe4-3Sagan Tosu |
| 8 Jul 2020J1 League | J1 League | Sagan Tosu0-1Vissel Kobe |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 5.6% |
| Pinnacle | 1.80 | 1.99 | 5.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.77 | 1.97 | 7.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 1.97 | 7.3% |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 2.00 | 7.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.76 | 1.92 | 8.9% |
| Betano | 1.75 | 1.90 | 9.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.80 | 2.00 | 5.6% |
| Average | 1.77 | 1.96 | 7.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 1.80 | 6.8% |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 1.83 | 7.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 1.83 | 8.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 1.83 | 8.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 1.81 | 8.7% |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 1.80 | 9.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.95 | 1.83 | 5.9% |
| Average | 1.89 | 1.82 | 8.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Vissel Kobe at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Sagan Tosu at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.48 | 3.89 | 5.89, which imply roughly 67.6% for a Vissel Kobe win versus the model's 35%.
Over their last five matches, Vissel Kobe averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Sagan Tosu averaged 4 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Vissel Kobe or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.46 | 4.09 | 5.94 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | 2.49 | 1.18 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.16 | 4.56 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.89 | 1.82 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.97 | 2.33 | 6.01 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | 13.3 | 3.18 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 10.9 |
| 1.5 | 1.23 | 3.75 |
| 2.5 | 1.77 | 1.96 |
| 3.5 | 2.92 | 1.35 |
| 4.5 | 5.56 | 1.11 |
| 5.5 | 10.9 | 1.04 |
| 6.5 | 23.0 | 1.01 |
| 7.5 | 51.0 | – |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.01 | 8.70 |
| 1 | – | 9.20 |
| 1.25 | 1.10 | 5.00 |
| 1.75 | 1.26 | 3.20 |
| 2 | 1.36 | 2.83 |
| 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| 2.75 | 1.97 | 1.75 |
| 3 | 2.30 | 1.53 |
| 3.25 | 2.54 | 1.42 |
| 3.75 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| 4 | 4.65 | 1.12 |
| 4.25 | 4.95 | 1.11 |
| 4.75 | 6.90 | 1.05 |
| 5 | 9.00 | 1.02 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 2.75 | 1.38 |
| -1.5 | 2.36 | 1.50 |
| -1.25 | 2.07 | 1.69 |
| -1 | 1.79 | 1.93 |
| -0.75 | 1.57 | 2.21 |
| -0.5 | 1.46 | 2.57 |
13 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.75 | 8.78 | 1.01 |
| -3.5 | 8.80 | 1.01 |
| -3.25 | 7.30 | 1.03 |
| -3 | 8.10 | 1.02 |
| -2.75 | 5.55 | 1.08 |
| -2.5 | 4.33 | 1.14 |
| -2.25 | 3.96 | 1.17 |
| -2 | 3.70 | 1.22 |
| -0.25 | 1.30 | 3.13 |
| 0 | 1.14 | 4.66 |
| +0.25 | 1.10 | 5.05 |
| +0.75 | 1.03 | 7.90 |
| +1 | 1.01 | 10.0 |