Shimizu S-pulse vs 
V-varen Nagasaki• Emperor Cup, Japan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 6 Oct 12:40 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.20 | 3.18 | 3.25 | 7.7% |
| 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.22 | 7.8% |
| Marathonbet | 2.18 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 8.4% |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.13 | 9.2% |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 11.0% |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.25 | 2.88 | 12.0% |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 2.90 | 3.10 | 13.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 7.0% |
| Average | 2.18 | 3.15 | 3.11 | 9.8% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 08:31 UTC
Shimizu S-pulse
5W 1D 4L · goals 10:9 · per match 1.0 for, 0.9 against
| 29 Sep | A | Kanazawa | 2-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | JEF United Chiba | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Avispa Fukuoka | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Kawasaki Frontale | 1-3 | L |
| 2 Sep | H | FC Tokyo | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Kashiwa Reysol | 0-1 | L |
| 26 Aug | H | Osaka | 2-1 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Cerezo Osaka | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | Yokohama F. Marinos | 0-1 | L |
| 8 Aug | A | Nagoya Grampus | 1-0 | W |
V-varen Nagasaki
3W 2D 5L · goals 12:18 · per match 1.2 for, 1.8 against
| 29 Sep | A | Gainare Tottori | 0-2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Cerezo Osaka | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Nagoya Grampus | 2-0 | W |
| 9 Sep | A | Kochi United | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Vissel Kobe | 1-3 | L |
| 2 Sep | H | Gamba Osaka | 2-2 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | FC Tokyo | 0-3 | L |
| 26 Aug | H | Ehime FC | 3-2 | W |
| 21 Aug | A | Kashiwa Reysol | 2-4 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | Fagiano Okayama | 0-1 | L |
Head to head
10 meetings · goals 19:15 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Shimizu S-pulse
| 29 Apr 2026J1 League | J1 League | Shimizu S-pulse1-2V-varen Nagasaki |
| 5 Apr 2026J1 League | J1 League | V-varen Nagasaki0-3Shimizu S-pulse |
| 7 Sep 2024J2 League | J2 League | Shimizu S-pulse1-1V-varen Nagasaki |
| 10 Mar 2024J2 League | J2 League | V-varen Nagasaki4-1Shimizu S-pulse |
| 1 Jul 2023J2 League | J2 League | Shimizu S-pulse3-2V-varen Nagasaki |
| 4 Mar 2023J2 League | J2 League | V-varen Nagasaki1-1Shimizu S-pulse |
| 1 Dec 2018J1 League | J1 League | V-varen Nagasaki4-4Shimizu S-pulse |
| 11 Apr 2018J1 League | J1 League | Shimizu S-pulse0-1V-varen Nagasaki |
| 11 Aug 2016J2 League | J2 League | Shimizu S-pulse2-0V-varen Nagasaki |
| 6 Mar 2016J2 League | J2 League | V-varen Nagasaki0-3Shimizu S-pulse |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 6.4% |
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 1.69 | 7.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.08 | 1.69 | 7.2% |
| Pinnacle | 2.07 | 1.69 | 7.5% |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 1.65 | 8.2% |
| BetVictor | 2.02 | 1.68 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.10 | 1.70 | 6.4% |
| Average | 2.07 | 1.68 | 7.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 4.7% |
| Betfair | 1.87 | 1.87 | 7.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 1.87 | 8.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 1.88 | 8.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.82 | 1.86 | 8.7% |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 1.85 | 9.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.91 | 1.91 | 4.7% |
| Average | 1.84 | 1.87 | 7.7% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Shimizu S-pulse at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and V-varen Nagasaki at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.15 | 3.19 | 3.10, which imply roughly 46.5% for a Shimizu S-pulse win versus the model's 35%.
Over their last five matches, Shimizu S-pulse averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; V-varen Nagasaki averaged 3 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Shimizu S-pulse or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.18 | 3.15 | 3.11 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.30 | 1.58 | 1.32 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.62 | 2.17 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.84 | 1.87 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.85 | 2.05 | 3.82 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.82 | 8.00 | 2.30 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 8.40 |
| 1.5 | 1.33 | 3.00 |
| 2.5 | 2.07 | 1.68 |
| 3.5 | 3.74 | 1.23 |
| 4.5 | 7.64 | 1.06 |
| 5.5 | 17.2 | 1.01 |
| 6.5 | 41.0 | – |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.03 | 7.40 |
| 1 | 1.05 | 6.70 |
| 1.25 | 1.18 | 3.90 |
| 1.75 | 1.41 | 2.61 |
| 2 | 1.54 | 2.25 |
| 2.25 | 1.81 | 1.89 |
| 2.75 | 2.34 | 1.51 |
| 3 | 2.89 | 1.32 |
| 3.25 | 3.20 | 1.26 |
| 3.75 | 4.55 | 1.13 |
| 4 | 6.40 | 1.05 |
| 4.25 | 6.75 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 2.54 | 1.43 |
| -0.5 | 2.16 | 1.62 |
| -0.25 | 1.87 | 1.84 |
| 0 | 1.56 | 2.28 |
| +0.25 | 1.39 | 2.67 |
| +0.5 | 1.31 | 3.22 |
9 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 8.50 | 1.01 |
| -1.75 | 5.51 | 1.08 |
| -1.5 | 4.25 | 1.15 |
| -1.25 | 3.84 | 1.20 |
| -1 | 3.38 | 1.25 |
| +0.75 | 1.19 | 3.96 |
| +1 | 1.07 | 5.95 |
| +1.25 | 1.05 | 6.45 |
| +1.5 | 1.04 | 6.95 |