Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki• Emperor Cup, Japan

4.0:1.04-0FTToday · Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima2.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.25PINX6.14PIN210.5BFRMargin at best5.8%Books7Markets60Rating59 · 42Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Oct 12:40 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.27	5.30	9.65	8.0%
Pinnacle	1.28	5.49	8.52	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.26	5.30	9.60	8.6%
Bet365	1.33	5.00	7.00	9.5%
BetVictor	1.25	5.25	9.50	9.6%
William Hill	1.29	4.60	8.50	11.0%
Betfair	1.22	5.00	9.00	13.1%
Best of all books	1.33	5.49	9.65	3.8%
Average	1.27	5.13	8.82	9.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sanfrecce HiroshimaIwaki

Last 1012Form pts · last 564.0Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 50.067Attack rating330Defence rating10050Form rating50100H2H rating00Goals model059Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 08:31 UTC

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

7W 2D 1L · goals 26:7 · per match 2.6 for, 0.7 against

29 Sep	A	Tochigi City	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Avispa Fukuoka	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Cerezo Osaka	6-1	W
6 Sep	A	Fagiano Okayama	2-3	L
2 Sep	H	Nagoya Grampus	3-0	W
29 Aug	A	Gamba Osaka	0-0	D
26 Aug	H	Okinawa SV	4-1	W
22 Aug	H	Kawasaki Frontale	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Urawa	4-1	W
8 Aug	H	JEF United Chiba	3-0	W

Iwaki

3W 0D 7L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

4 Oct	A	Consadole Sapporo	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	Vegalta Sendai	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Sagan Tosu	3-1	W
12 Sep	H	Yokohama FC	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Tokushima Vortis	0-1	L
2 Sep	A	Kitakyushu	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Albirex Niigata	2-3	L
26 Aug	H	Oita Trinita	2-0	W
22 Aug	A	Oita Trinita	1-4	L
15 Aug	A	Fujieda MYFC	1-3	L

Head to head

1Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins

0draws

0Iwaki wins

1 meeting · goals 4:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Sanfrecce Hiroshima

10 Jul 2024Emperor Cup

Emperor Cup

Sanfrecce Hiroshima4-0Iwaki

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg178%1.17X14%6.6728%11.7

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.27 → 1.22 -3.9%X5.13 → 5.57 +8.6%28.82 → 9.54 +8.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.49	2.51	7.0%
Bet365	1.53	2.40	7.0%
Betfair	1.45	2.55	8.2%
BetVictor	1.49	2.39	9.0%
1xBet	1.46	2.38	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.38	10.5%
Best of all books	1.53	2.55	4.6%
Average	1.48	2.44	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Betfair	1.83	1.91	7.0%
1xBet	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.83	8.7%
William Hill	1.80	1.85	9.6%
Best of all books	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Average	1.84	1.87	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45%Draw 45%Iwaki 10%

The statistical model rated Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Iwaki at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.17 | 6.67 | 11.72, which imply roughly 85.5% for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima averaged 4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Iwaki averaged 2 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.27	5.13	8.82

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.04	3.46	1.11

Draw no bet

1	2
1.09	6.67

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.87

1st half

1	X	2
1.66	2.67	7.80

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.25	17.8	3.94

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	16.3
1.5	1.14	5.06
2.5	1.48	2.44
3.5	2.27	1.59
4.5	3.85	1.22
5.5	7.48	1.06
6.5	17.0	1.02
7.5	29.0	1.01

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	11.0
1.25	1.06	6.15
1.75	1.14	4.39
2	1.17	3.95
2.25	1.32	2.88
2.75	1.59	2.17
3	1.75	1.93
3.25	1.99	1.73
3.75	2.51	1.44
4	3.08	1.28
4.25	3.34	1.24
4.75	4.50	1.13
5	6.05	1.06
5.25	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.56	1.42
-2	2.30	1.52
-1.75	1.98	1.74
-1.5	1.82	1.92
-1.25	1.62	2.16
-1	1.37	2.74

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	10.0	1.01
-3.75	6.50	1.05
-3.5	5.10	1.10
-3.25	4.80	1.12
-3	4.45	1.14
-2.75	3.41	1.25
-2.5	2.85	1.34
-0.75	1.31	3.05
-0.25	1.14	4.45
0	1.03	7.20
+0.25	1.06	6.15