OddsFilter

Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United Chiba• Emperor Cup, Japan

3.0:0.01-0FTToday · JFE Harenokuni Stadium, Okayama1.0:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.72PINX3.80B36525.00B365Margin at best4.5%Books7Markets48Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Oct 12:40 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.743.784.168.0%
Pinnacle1.753.544.408.1%
Marathonbet1.723.784.158.7%
BetVictor1.733.504.409.1%
Betfair1.673.604.3310.8%
Bet3651.653.904.0011.2%
William Hill1.703.504.0012.4%
Best of all books1.753.904.405.5%
Average1.713.664.219.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Fagiano OkayamaJEF United Chiba
Last 1012Form pts · last 573.0Goals for · last 51.00.0Goals against · last 51.075Attack rating25100Defence rating075Form rating2538H2H rating620Goals model055Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 20:21 UTC

Fagiano Okayama

7W 1D 2L · goals 16:9 · per match 1.6 for, 0.9 against

7 OctHJEF United Chiba1-0W
29 SepAConsadole Sapporo2-1W
19 SepHKyoto Sanga1-2L
13 SepAUrawa2-1W
6 SepHSanfrecce Hiroshima3-2W
2 SepAJEF United Chiba2-1W
29 AugANagoya Grampus1-2L
26 AugHBeluga Rosso Iwami3-0W
22 AugHTokyo Verdy0-0D
15 AugHV-varen Nagasaki1-0W

JEF United Chiba

2W 2D 6L · goals 12:20 · per match 1.2 for, 2.0 against

29 SepAJubilo Iwata2-4L
19 SepAShimizu S-pulse1-2L
13 SepATokyo Verdy1-1D
9 SepAKamatamare Sanuki2-0W
6 SepHGamba Osaka2-0W
2 SepHFagiano Okayama1-2L
29 AugAKawasaki Frontale2-4L
26 AugHAzul Claro Numazu1-1D
21 AugAFC Tokyo0-2L
15 AugHMachida Zelvia0-4L

Head to head

8Fagiano Okayama wins
7draws
13JEF United Chiba wins

28 meetings · goals 25:35 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Fagiano Okayama

2 Sep 2026J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueJEF United Chiba1-2Fagiano Okayama
10 Aug 2024J2 LeagueJ2 LeagueFagiano Okayama0-0JEF United Chiba
1 Jun 2024J2 LeagueJ2 LeagueJEF United Chiba2-1Fagiano Okayama
1 Oct 2023J2 LeagueJ2 LeagueFagiano Okayama0-5JEF United Chiba
25 Mar 2023J2 LeagueJ2 LeagueJEF United Chiba1-1Fagiano Okayama
30 Jul 2022J2 LeagueJ2 LeagueFagiano Okayama1-1JEF United Chiba
8 May 2022J2 LeagueJ2 LeagueJEF United Chiba1-0Fagiano Okayama
5 Dec 2021J2 LeagueJ2 LeagueFagiano Okayama1-3JEF United Chiba
9 May 2021J2 LeagueJ2 LeagueJEF United Chiba4-2Fagiano Okayama
1 Nov 2020J2 LeagueJ2 LeagueFagiano Okayama3-2JEF United Chiba

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.73X26%3.48221%4.29

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 14:117 Oct 01:411 1.65X 3.652 4.72
11.71 → 1.65 -3.5%X3.66 → 3.65 -0.3%24.21 → 4.72 +12.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.051.755.9%
Pinnacle1.981.796.4%
1xBet1.971.777.3%
Marathonbet1.971.777.3%
Betfair1.951.758.4%
BetVictor1.931.759.0%
Best of all books2.051.794.6%
Average1.971.767.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.951.806.8%
Bet3652.051.707.6%
1xBet1.871.838.1%
BetVictor1.851.838.7%
Marathonbet1.871.818.7%
William Hill1.911.759.5%
Best of all books2.051.833.4%
Average1.921.798.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fagiano Okayama 45%Draw 45%JEF United Chiba 10%

The statistical model rated Fagiano Okayama at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and JEF United Chiba at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.73 | 3.48 | 4.29, which imply roughly 57.8% for a Fagiano Okayama win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Fagiano Okayama averaged 3 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; JEF United Chiba averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Fagiano Okayama.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.713.664.21

Double chance

1XX212
1.182.011.22

Draw no bet

12
1.283.40

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.921.79

1st half

1X2
2.272.184.90

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.579.102.75

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.059.24
1.51.303.19
2.51.981.76
3.53.481.26
4.57.261.06
5.515.51.02
6.534.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.48
11.027.80
1.251.154.25
1.751.352.75
21.482.41
2.251.721.99
2.752.211.57
32.691.39
3.253.051.28
3.754.201.15
45.751.07
4.256.051.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.53.071.30
-1.252.721.39
-12.371.53
-0.751.941.77
-0.51.722.01
-0.251.492.38
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.757.981.02
-2.56.201.06
-2.255.801.07
-25.401.09
-1.753.851.20
01.293.13
+0.251.233.56
+0.751.105.10
+11.028.10
+1.51.019.00