Gainare Tottori vs Tokyo Verdy• Emperor Cup, Japan

2.5:1.50-0FTToday · Tottori Bank Bird Stadium, Tottori4.0:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

17.00BFRX5.25B36521.41PINMargin at best4.3%Books7Markets54Rating32 · 68Exp. goals L54.5

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Oct 12:40 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	6.33	4.40	1.44	8.0%
Marathonbet	6.25	4.40	1.43	8.7%
Pinnacle	6.32	4.43	1.42	8.8%
BetVictor	6.50	4.40	1.40	9.5%
Betfair	6.00	4.20	1.44	9.9%
Bet365	3.40	4.00	1.75	11.6%
William Hill	5.80	3.90	1.44	12.3%
Best of all books	6.50	4.43	1.75	-4.9%
Average	5.80	4.25	1.47	8.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Gainare TottoriTokyo Verdy

Last 109Form pts · last 552.5Goals for · last 54.01.5Goals against · last 51.056Attack rating4425Defence rating7557Form rating439H2H rating910Goals model032Overall rating68

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 08:31 UTC

Gainare Tottori

7W 0D 3L · goals 19:15 · per match 1.9 for, 1.5 against

3 Oct	A	Matsumoto Yamaga	1-0	W
29 Sep	H	V-varen Nagasaki	2-0	W
26 Sep	A	Kanazawa	1-4	L
19 Sep	H	Nara Club	2-3	L
12 Sep	A	Kitakyushu	4-2	W
5 Sep	H	Renofa Yamaguchi	0-3	L
2 Sep	H	Omiya Ardija	3-1	W
30 Aug	A	Biwako Shiga	1-0	W
26 Aug	A	Nagoya Grampus	3-1	W
22 Aug	H	Fukushima United	2-1	W

Tokyo Verdy

2W 3D 5L · goals 9:14 · per match 0.9 for, 1.4 against

29 Sep	A	Sagan Tosu	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	Urawa	1-3	L
13 Sep	H	JEF United Chiba	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Biwako Shiga	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Cerezo Osaka	0-0	D
2 Sep	H	Vissel Kobe	0-2	L
29 Aug	H	Kashima	0-2	L
26 Aug	H	Thespakusatsu Gunma	4-1	W
22 Aug	A	Fagiano Okayama	0-0	D
14 Aug	H	Kashiwa Reysol	1-3	L

Head to head

0Gainare Tottori wins

1draws

3Tokyo Verdy wins

4 meetings · goals 1:7 · last 4: 0W 1D 3L for Gainare Tottori

7 Jul 2013J2 League	J2 League	Gainare Tottori1-1Tokyo Verdy
14 Apr 2013J2 League	J2 League	Tokyo Verdy3-0Gainare Tottori
15 Jul 2012J2 League	J2 League	Tokyo Verdy1-0Gainare Tottori
9 Jun 2012J2 League	J2 League	Gainare Tottori0-2Tokyo Verdy

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg116%5.75X21%4.36263%1.43

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.80 → 6.51 +12.2%X4.25 → 4.59 +8.0%21.47 → 1.37 -6.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
1xBet	1.69	2.08	7.2%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.08	7.2%
Pinnacle	1.68	2.08	7.6%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
BetVictor	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Best of all books	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Average	1.68	2.08	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Bet365	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.83	1.87	8.1%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
BetVictor	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Best of all books	1.83	2.05	3.4%
Average	1.80	1.91	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gainare Tottori 10%Draw 45%Tokyo Verdy 45%

The statistical model rated Gainare Tottori at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Tokyo Verdy at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.75 | 4.36 | 1.43, which imply roughly 22.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Gainare Tottori averaged 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Tokyo Verdy averaged 4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tokyo Verdy and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.80	4.25	1.47

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.56	1.10	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
4.18	1.23

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.91

1st half

1	X	2
5.65	2.40	1.99

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.92	15.0	1.43

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.3
1.5	1.20	4.04
2.5	1.68	2.08
3.5	2.73	1.39
4.5	5.07	1.14
5.5	10.1	1.04
6.5	21.0	1.01
7.5	51.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.60
1.25	1.08	5.45
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.28	3.10
2.25	1.50	2.42
2.75	1.86	1.85
3	2.12	1.61
3.25	2.39	1.48
3.75	3.14	1.27
4	4.20	1.16
4.25	4.55	1.13
4.75	6.15	1.06
5	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.44	1.54
+0.75	2.22	1.63
+1	1.94	1.84
+1.25	1.67	2.11
+1.5	1.52	2.39
+1.75	1.38	2.84

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.95	1.02
-1	8.67	1.06
-0.75	6.60	1.08
-0.5	3.45	1.30
-0.25	4.50	1.18
0	4.20	1.21
+0.25	2.96	1.36
+2	1.23	3.89
+2.25	1.19	4.27
+2.5	1.15	4.78
+2.75	1.10	5.15
+3	1.03	7.40
+3.5	1.02	8.20