FC Tokyo vs 
Shonan Bellmare• Emperor Cup, Japan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 6 Oct 12:40 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 4.05 | 5.35 | 7.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 4.05 | 5.40 | 8.6% |
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 4.04 | 5.37 | 8.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.10 | 5.50 | 9.2% |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 10.4% |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.60 | 4.50 | 11.7% |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.62 | 4.10 | 5.50 | 4.3% |
| Average | 1.54 | 3.92 | 5.16 | 9.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 14:21 UTC
FC Tokyo
8W 2D 0L · goals 25:3 · per match 2.5 for, 0.3 against
| 7 Oct | H | Shonan Bellmare | 4-0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Ehime FC | 2-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Nagoya Grampus | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Gamba Osaka | 2-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | H | Kyoto Sanga | 2-0 | W |
| 2 Sep | A | Shimizu S-pulse | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | V-varen Nagasaki | 3-0 | W |
| 26 Aug | H | Parceiro Nagano | 6-0 | W |
| 21 Aug | H | JEF United Chiba | 2-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Vissel Kobe | 2-2 | D |
Shonan Bellmare
4W 5D 1L · goals 13:11 · per match 1.3 for, 1.1 against
| 3 Oct | A | Fujieda MYFC | 1-1 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Imabari | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Blaublitz Akita | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Vanraure Hachinohe | 1-0 | W |
| 9 Sep | A | Matsumoto Yamaga | 3-3 | D |
| 5 Sep | H | Vegalta Sendai | 1-3 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Omiya Ardija | 2-2 | D |
| 26 Aug | H | Reinmeer Aomori | 1-0 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 0-0 | D |
| 15 Aug | H | Montedio Yamagata | 1-0 | W |
Head to head
28 meetings · goals 36:27 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for FC Tokyo
| 16 Aug 2025J1 League | J1 League | Shonan Bellmare2-2FC Tokyo |
| 21 May 2025J-League Cup | J-League Cup | Shonan Bellmare1-0FC Tokyo |
| 8 Mar 2025J1 League | J1 League | FC Tokyo0-0Shonan Bellmare |
| 3 Nov 2024J1 League | J1 League | FC Tokyo0-2Shonan Bellmare |
| 22 Jun 2024J1 League | J1 League | Shonan Bellmare0-1FC Tokyo |
| 3 Dec 2023J1 League | J1 League | Shonan Bellmare0-1FC Tokyo |
| 9 Apr 2023J1 League | J1 League | FC Tokyo2-2Shonan Bellmare |
| 8 Oct 2022J1 League | J1 League | FC Tokyo0-2Shonan Bellmare |
| 18 Jun 2022J1 League | J1 League | Shonan Bellmare2-0FC Tokyo |
| 13 Apr 2022J-League Cup | J-League Cup | Shonan Bellmare2-1FC Tokyo |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 5.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 2.02 | 7.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 2.02 | 7.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.72 | 2.03 | 7.4% |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 2.00 | 7.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.69 | 2.00 | 9.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.95 | 2.03 | 0.5% |
| Average | 1.76 | 1.99 | 7.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 4.7% |
| Betfair | 1.83 | 1.91 | 7.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 1.92 | 7.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.78 | 1.93 | 8.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 1.89 | 8.8% |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 2.00 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.91 | 2.00 | 2.4% |
| Average | 1.80 | 1.93 | 7.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated FC Tokyo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Shonan Bellmare at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.44 | 4.06 | 6.17, which imply roughly 24.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, FC Tokyo averaged 6 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Shonan Bellmare averaged 1 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Shonan Bellmare and +3.5 goals (goal line signal: over 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.54 | 3.92 | 5.16 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | 2.33 | 1.19 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.26 | 3.70 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.80 | 1.93 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.02 | 2.31 | 5.56 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.43 | 13.3 | 2.98 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 10.4 |
| 1.5 | 1.22 | 3.82 |
| 2.5 | 1.76 | 1.99 |
| 3.5 | 2.85 | 1.38 |
| 4.5 | 5.38 | 1.12 |
| 5.5 | 10.7 | 1.02 |
| 6.5 | 29.0 | 1.01 |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.01 | 9.15 |
| 1 | 1.01 | 8.80 |
| 1.25 | 1.10 | 5.05 |
| 1.75 | 1.25 | 3.28 |
| 2 | 1.36 | 2.78 |
| 2.25 | 1.53 | 2.34 |
| 2.75 | 1.89 | 1.82 |
| 3 | 2.15 | 1.59 |
| 3.25 | 2.41 | 1.47 |
| 3.75 | 3.20 | 1.26 |
| 4 | 4.20 | 1.15 |
| 4.25 | 4.55 | 1.13 |
| 4.75 | 5.65 | 1.08 |
| 5 | 8.30 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.40 | 1.48 |
| -1.25 | 2.14 | 1.62 |
| -1 | 1.87 | 1.85 |
| -0.75 | 1.68 | 2.06 |
| -0.5 | 1.50 | 2.42 |
| -0.25 | 1.37 | 2.79 |
13 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 8.50 | 1.01 |
| -3 | 7.90 | 1.02 |
| -2.75 | 5.60 | 1.08 |
| -2.5 | 4.45 | 1.14 |
| -2.25 | 3.91 | 1.19 |
| -2 | 3.70 | 1.21 |
| -1.75 | 2.82 | 1.35 |
| 0 | 1.18 | 4.06 |
| +0.25 | 1.14 | 4.45 |
| +0.75 | 1.06 | 6.67 |
| +1 | 1.01 | 9.25 |
| +1.25 | 1.03 | 7.57 |
| +1.5 | 1.01 | 9.55 |