URA vs
KCCA• Premier League, Uganda
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 15:12 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 2.95 | 2.55 | 9.5% |
| Betano | 2.72 | 2.90 | 2.50 | 11.2% |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 2.35 | 11.5% |
| 1xBet | 2.65 | 2.94 | 2.47 | 12.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.65 | 2.94 | 2.47 | 12.2% |
| Pinnacle | 2.52 | 3.03 | 2.52 | 12.4% |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 2.90 | 2.50 | 12.5% |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 2.80 | 2.50 | 13.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.90 | 3.03 | 2.55 | 6.7% |
| Average | 2.68 | 2.92 | 2.48 | 11.8% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 13:42 UTC
URA
2W 5D 3L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against
| 15 Sep | A | NEC | 1-4 | L |
| 4 Sep | H | SC Villa | 0-1 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Maroons | 2-1 | W |
| 22 May | A | Buhimba Saints | 3-0 | W |
| 19 May | H | KCCA | 0-0 | D |
| 12 May | H | Calvary | 1-1 | D |
| 8 May | A | Vipers | 1-1 | D |
| 28 Apr | H | Maroons | 2-2 | D |
| 24 Apr | A | UPDF | 0-0 | D |
| 21 Apr | A | Police | 1-2 | L |
KCCA
4W 3D 3L · goals 11:8 · per match 1.1 for, 0.8 against
| 16 Sep | H | Kataka | 1-0 | W |
| 8 Sep | A | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 0-0 | D |
| 3 Sep | A | Express | 0-2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | NEC | 0-2 | L |
| 23 May | H | Mbarara City | 4-1 | W |
| 19 May | A | URA | 0-0 | D |
| 13 May | A | UPDF | 2-1 | W |
| 7 May | H | Maroons | 3-0 | W |
| 29 Apr | H | Vipers | 1-1 | D |
| 25 Apr | A | Calvary | 0-1 | L |
Head to head
28 meetings · goals 33:35 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for URA
| 19 May 2026Premier League | Premier League | URA0-0KCCA |
| 21 Nov 2025Premier League | Premier League | KCCA2-1URA |
| 16 Apr 2025Premier League | Premier League | URA1-0KCCA |
| 13 Sep 2024Premier League | Premier League | KCCA1-0URA |
| 11 May 2024Premier League | Premier League | URA1-0KCCA |
| 2 Jan 2024Premier League | Premier League | KCCA3-2URA |
| 19 Apr 2023Premier League | Premier League | URA2-0KCCA |
| 19 Nov 2022Premier League | Premier League | KCCA1-1URA |
| 9 Feb 2022Premier League | Premier League | KCCA1-0URA |
| 8 Jan 2022Premier League | Premier League | URA1-0KCCA |
Premier League tableRegular Seasonupdated 9 Oct 18:02 UTC
In the Premier League table, URA sit 14th with 3 points from 3 games, while KCCA are 13th with 4 points from 4.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | +8 | 12 |
| 2 | NEC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 | SC Villa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | +6 | 11 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Blacks Power | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 9 |
| 6 | Police | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Vipers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | +6 | 6 |
| 8 | Maroons | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | Lugazi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Kitara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 |
| 11 | UPDF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Express | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | KCCA | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | URA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Ntugasaze | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Mbarara City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Kataka | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 2 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 6.7% |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 1.45 | 8.2% |
| 1xBet | 2.41 | 1.48 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.41 | 1.48 | 9.1% |
| Pinnacle | 2.42 | 1.47 | 9.3% |
| Betano | 2.37 | 1.47 | 10.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.55 | 1.50 | 5.9% |
| Average | 2.44 | 1.47 | 8.7% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.00 | 1.73 | 7.8% |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 1.70 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 1.68 | 9.3% |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 1.66 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.01 | 1.73 | 7.6% |
| Average | 2.00 | 1.69 | 9.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated URA at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and KCCA at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.68 | 2.92 | 2.48, which imply roughly 37.3% for a URA win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Premier League table: URA are 14th (3 pts, 3-6 goals), KCCA 13th (4 pts, 1-4).
Over their last five matches, URA averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; KCCA averaged 0.3 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : URA or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.68 | 2.92 | 2.48 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.43 | 1.36 | 1.32 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.00 | 1.71 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.01 | 1.69 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | 1.91 | 3.22 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.21 | 6.20 | 1.99 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.05 | 6.77 |
| 1.5 | 1.45 | 2.45 |
| 2.5 | 2.44 | 1.48 |
| 3.5 | 4.67 | 1.13 |
| 4.5 | 9.33 | 1.02 |
| 5.5 | 29.0 | 1.01 |
11 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.07 | 5.80 |
| 1 | 1.10 | 5.15 |
| 1.25 | 1.28 | 3.10 |
| 1.75 | 1.59 | 2.15 |
| 2 | 1.82 | 1.83 |
| 2.25 | 2.12 | 1.60 |
| 2.75 | 2.89 | 1.32 |
| 3 | 3.84 | 1.18 |
| 3.25 | 4.20 | 1.15 |
| 3.75 | 5.85 | 1.07 |
| 4 | 8.40 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.48 | 1.45 |
| -0.25 | 2.23 | 1.55 |
| 0 | 1.88 | 1.80 |
| +0.25 | 1.64 | 2.10 |
| +0.5 | 1.51 | 2.30 |
| +0.75 | 1.30 | 2.99 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 7.78 | 1.02 |
| -1.5 | 5.90 | 1.07 |
| -1.25 | 5.40 | 1.09 |
| -1 | 4.90 | 1.11 |
| -0.75 | 3.16 | 1.27 |
| +1 | 1.17 | 4.10 |
| +1.25 | 1.11 | 4.89 |
| +1.5 | 1.09 | 5.35 |
| +1.75 | 1.04 | 7.10 |
| +2.5 | 1.01 | 10.5 |