Entebbe UPPC vs 
Police• Premier League, Uganda
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.25 | 2.90 | 3.25 | 9.7% |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.25 | 10.7% |
| 1xBet | 2.23 | 2.82 | 3.28 | 10.8% |
| Betano | 2.27 | 2.82 | 3.15 | 11.3% |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 2.80 | 3.30 | 11.5% |
| Pinnacle | 2.16 | 2.89 | 3.18 | 12.3% |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 2.62 | 3.25 | 13.4% |
| Best of all books | 2.27 | 2.90 | 3.30 | 8.8% |
| Average | 2.22 | 2.82 | 3.24 | 11.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 13:42 UTC
Entebbe UPPC
5W 3D 2L · goals 12:6 · per match 1.2 for, 0.6 against
| 16 Sep | A | Mbarara City | 0-0 | D |
| 9 Sep | H | Lugazi | 0-1 | L |
| 1 Sep | H | UPDF | 2-1 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Vipers | 1-0 | W |
| 23 May | H | BUL | 4-0 | W |
| 19 May | A | Police | 1-1 | D |
| 12 May | A | Maroons | 0-0 | D |
| 7 May | H | UPDF | 2-0 | W |
| 29 Apr | H | Calvary | 2-0 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | Vipers | 0-3 | L |
Police
3W 4D 3L · goals 9:8 · per match 0.9 for, 0.8 against
| 16 Sep | A | Lugazi | 2-0 | W |
| 10 Sep | H | UPDF | 0-0 | D |
| 2 Sep | A | Blacks Power | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Mbarara City | 1-0 | W |
| 23 May | A | Kitara | 2-2 | D |
| 19 May | H | Entebbe UPPC | 1-1 | D |
| 12 May | H | Vipers | 0-0 | D |
| 6 May | A | Calvary | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Apr | H | UPDF | 2-0 | W |
| 25 Apr | A | Maroons | 1-3 | L |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 1:3 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Entebbe UPPC
| 19 May 2026Premier League | Premier League | Police1-1Entebbe UPPC |
| 19 Nov 2025Premier League | Premier League | Entebbe UPPC0-2Police |
Premier League tableRegular Seasonupdated 9 Oct 18:02 UTC
In the Premier League table, Entebbe UPPC sit 4th with 10 points from 5 games, while Police are 6th with 7 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | +8 | 12 |
| 2 | NEC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 | SC Villa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | +6 | 11 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Blacks Power | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 9 |
| 6 | Police | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Vipers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | +6 | 6 |
| 8 | Maroons | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | Lugazi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Kitara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 |
| 11 | UPDF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Express | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | KCCA | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | URA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Ntugasaze | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Mbarara City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Kataka | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 2 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.2% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 1.44 | 7.6% |
| Pinnacle | 2.50 | 1.44 | 9.4% |
| 1xBet | 2.56 | 1.40 | 10.5% |
| Best of all books | 2.62 | 1.44 | 7.6% |
| Average | 2.56 | 1.43 | 9.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.05 | 1.67 | 8.7% |
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 1.61 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.13 | 1.67 | 6.8% |
| Average | 2.09 | 1.64 | 8.8% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Entebbe UPPC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Police at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.22 | 2.82 | 3.24, which imply roughly 35.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Entebbe UPPC are 4th (10 pts, 6-2 goals), Police 6th (7 pts, 3-4).
Over their last five matches, Entebbe UPPC averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Police averaged 0.8 scored and 0.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Police and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.22 | 2.82 | 3.24 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.27 | 1.54 | 1.35 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.57 | 2.20 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.09 | 1.64 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.97 | 1.87 | 4.03 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.91 | 5.50 | 2.50 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.06 | 6.30 |
| 1.5 | 1.50 | 2.34 |
| 2.5 | 2.56 | 1.43 |
| 3.5 | 5.20 | 1.10 |
| 4.5 | 11.0 | 1.04 |
| 5.5 | 29.0 | 1.01 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.08 | 5.60 |
| 1 | 1.11 | 4.90 |
| 1.25 | 1.31 | 3.03 |
| 1.75 | 1.63 | 2.07 |
| 2 | 1.91 | 1.76 |
| 2.25 | 2.24 | 1.56 |
| 2.75 | 3.04 | 1.30 |
| 3 | 4.33 | 1.14 |
| 3.25 | 4.80 | 1.12 |
| 3.75 | 6.85 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 2.63 | 1.39 |
| -0.5 | 2.13 | 1.59 |
| -0.25 | 1.90 | 1.83 |
| 0 | 1.54 | 2.26 |
| +0.25 | 1.38 | 2.68 |
| +0.5 | 1.29 | 3.11 |
9 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10.0 | 1.01 |
| -1.75 | 6.74 | 1.04 |
| -1.5 | 4.95 | 1.11 |
| -1.25 | 4.44 | 1.14 |
| -1 | 3.67 | 1.21 |
| +0.75 | 1.15 | 4.19 |
| +1 | 1.04 | 6.95 |
| +1.25 | 1.03 | 7.60 |
| +1.5 | 1.02 | 8.30 |