UPDF12th2 pts
Maroons9th3 pts
UPDF12th2 pts
Maroons9th3 ptsIn the Premier League table, UPDF sit 12th with 2 points from 3 games, while Maroons are 9th with 3 points from 3 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates UPDF at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Maroons at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.11 | 2.92 | 3.24, which imply roughly 47.4% for a UPDF win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Premier League table: UPDF are 12th (2 pts, 1-2 goals), Maroons 9th (3 pts, 5-5).
Over their last five matches, UPDF averaged 0.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game; Maroons averaged 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : UPDF or draw.
UPDF vs Maroons — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 |  NEC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 |  SC Villa | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 |  Blacks Power | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Police | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 |  Entebbe UPPC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Lugazi | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 |  KCCA | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 |  Maroons | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 |  Express | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 |  URA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 |  UPDF | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 |  Mbarara City | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 14 |  Kitara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 |  Kataka | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 |  Kigezi HomeBoyz | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 |  Vipers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 |  Ntugasaze | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.10
X
2.97
2
3.23
Double chance
1X
1.25
X2
1.59
12
1.29
Both teams to score
Yes
1.97
No
1.66
Match goals
Over 2.5
2.30
Under 2.5
1.49
Over 1.5
1.42
Under 1.5
2.56
Over 1.75
1.56
Under 1.75
2.19
Over 2
1.73
Under 2
1.83
Over 2.25
2.05
Under 2.25
1.64
Over 2.75
2.74
Under 2.75
1.35
Over 3.5
4.53
Under 3.5
1.14
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
6.87
Over 0.75
1.07
Under 0.75
5.90
Over 1
1.09
Under 1
5.30
Over 1.25
1.26
Under 1.25
3.20
Over 3
3.58
Under 3
1.21
Over 4.5
8.73
Under 4.5
1.02
Over 3.25
4.05
Under 3.25
1.17
Over 3.75
5.55
Under 3.75
1.08
Over 4
8.00
Under 4
1.02
Over 5.5
23.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Draw no bet
1
1.48
2
2.23
Asian handicap
Home -2.5
9.20
1st half
1
2.80
X
1.92
2
3.96
First team to score
Home
1.82
No Goal
6.53
Away
2.40