Lugazi6th6 pts
Police7th4 pts
Lugazi6th6 pts
Police7th4 ptsIn the Premier League table, Lugazi sit 6th with 6 points from 3 games, while Police are 7th with 4 points from 3 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Lugazi at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Police at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.84 | 2.82 | 2.39, which imply roughly 35.2% for a Lugazi win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Lugazi are 6th (6 pts, 4-4 goals), Police 7th (4 pts, 1-1).
Over their last five matches, Lugazi averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Police averaged 0.3 scored and 0.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Lugazi or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Lugazi vs Police — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 |  NEC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 |  SC Villa | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 |  Blacks Power | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Entebbe UPPC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Lugazi | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 |  Police | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 |  Maroons | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Express | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 |  URA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 |  UPDF | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 12 |  Kitara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 |  Mbarara City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 |  Kataka | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 |  Kigezi HomeBoyz | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 |  KCCA | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 |  Vipers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 |  Ntugasaze | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.84
X
2.82
2
2.39
Double chance
1X
1.46
X2
1.31
12
1.30
Both teams to score
Yes
1.98
No
1.64
Match goals
Over 2.5
2.38
Under 2.5
1.46
Over 1.5
1.42
Under 1.5
2.41
Over 1.75
1.56
Under 1.75
2.18
Over 2
1.76
Under 2
1.82
Over 2.25
2.09
Under 2.25
1.63
Over 2.75
2.82
Under 2.75
1.34
Over 3.5
4.67
Under 3.5
1.14
Over 0.5
1.06
Under 0.5
6.60
Over 0.75
1.08
Under 0.75
5.55
Over 1
1.11
Under 1
4.95
Over 1.25
1.27
Under 1.25
3.17
Over 3
3.70
Under 3
1.20
Over 4.5
9.47
Under 4.5
1.01
Over 3.25
4.05
Under 3.25
1.16
Over 3.75
5.60
Under 3.75
1.08
Over 4
8.10
Under 4
1.02
Draw no bet
1
1.97
2
1.62
Asian handicap
Home 0.5
1.47
Away 0.5
1.36
1st half
1
3.63
X
1.87
2
3.14
First team to score
Home
2.25
No Goal
6.08
Away
1.99