Police9th3 pts
UPDF13th1 pts
Police9th3 pts
UPDF13th1 ptsIn the Premier League table, Police sit 9th with 3 points from 2 games, while UPDF are 13th with 1 points from 2 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Police at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and UPDF at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.68 | 3.36 | 4.45, which imply roughly 59.5% for a Police win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Police are 9th (3 pts, 1-1 goals), UPDF 13th (1 pts, 1-2).
Over their last five matches, Police averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; UPDF averaged 0.5 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Police or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Police vs UPDF — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BUL | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 |  Blacks Power | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 |  SC Villa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 |  NEC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 |  Entebbe UPPC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Lugazi | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 |  Maroons | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 |  URA | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Police | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Express | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 |  Kitara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 |  Kigezi HomeBoyz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 |  UPDF | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 |  Kataka | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 |  KCCA | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 |  Mbarara City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 |  Vipers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 |  Ntugasaze | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.62
X
3.39
2
4.90
Double chance
1X
1.11
X2
2.06
12
1.23
Both teams to score
Yes
2.03
No
1.63
Match goals
Over 2.5
2.09
Under 2.5
1.61
Over 1.5
1.34
Under 1.5
2.84
Over 1.75
1.43
Under 1.75
2.46
Over 2
1.58
Under 2
2.12
Over 2.25
1.81
Under 2.25
1.76
Over 2.75
2.42
Under 2.75
1.44
Over 3.5
3.74
Under 3.5
1.20
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
7.73
Over 0.75
1.05
Under 0.75
6.65
Over 1
1.06
Under 1
6.05
Over 1.25
1.21
Under 1.25
3.58
Over 3
3.04
Under 3
1.29
Over 4.5
7.55
Under 4.5
1.05
Over 3.25
3.34
Under 3.25
1.24
Over 3.75
4.64
Under 3.75
1.12
Over 4
6.50
Under 4
1.05
Over 4.25
6.80
Under 4.25
1.04
Over 5.5
18.33
Under 5.5
1.01
Draw no bet
1
1.21
2
3.38
Asian handicap
Away 2.75
1.03
1st half
1
2.20
X
2.05
2
5.35
First team to score
Home
1.52
No Goal
7.35
Away
3.13