Velež vs 
Čelik• Premijer Liga, Bosnia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 10:28 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.62 | 3.65 | 5.20 | 8.4% |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 3.60 | 5.51 | 8.4% |
| Betano | 1.62 | 3.55 | 5.30 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 3.44 | 5.48 | 10.6% |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.50 | 5.00 | 11.1% |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 11.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 3.44 | 5.35 | 11.9% |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.30 | 5.00 | 12.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 3.13 | 4.60 | 20.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.62 | 3.65 | 5.51 | 7.3% |
| Average | 1.59 | 3.47 | 5.16 | 11.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 06:10 UTC
Velež
3W 2D 5L · goals 9:14 · per match 0.9 for, 1.4 against
| 1 Nov | A | Sloga Doboj | 1-0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Zvijezda Gradačac | 1-2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | BSK Banja Luka | 2-3 | L |
| 9 Oct | H | Siroki Brijeg | 0-0 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Zrinjski | 0-2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | FK Sarajevo | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 1-3 | L |
| 2 Sep | H | Radnik Bijeljina | 1-1 | D |
| 28 Aug | A | Čelik | 0-3 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Sloga Doboj | 2-0 | W |
Čelik
2W 5D 3L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against
| 31 Oct | H | Borac Banja Luka | 2-4 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Proleter Dvorovi | 1-1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Siroki Brijeg | 0-0 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Zrinjski | 0-3 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | FK Sarajevo | 0-0 | D |
| 18 Sep | A | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 1-1 | D |
| 11 Sep | H | Radnik Bijeljina | 3-2 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | BSK Banja Luka | 2-3 | L |
| 1 Sep | A | Sloga Doboj | 0-0 | D |
| 28 Aug | H | Velež | 3-0 | W |
Head to head
3 meetings · goals 3:5 · last 3: 1W 0D 2L for Velež
| 28 Aug 2026Premijer Liga | Premijer Liga | Čelik3-0Velež |
| 25 Oct 2019Premijer Liga | Premijer Liga | Čelik0-2Velež |
| 3 Aug 2019Premijer Liga | Premijer Liga | Velež1-2Čelik |
Premijer Liga tablePremier Ligaupdated 7 Nov 06:20 UTC
In the Premijer Liga table, Velež sit 8th with 11 points from 11 games, while Čelik are 9th with 10 points from 12.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 31:7 | +24 | 33 |
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23:9 | +14 | 28 |
| 3 | FK Sarajevo | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 10:7 | +3 | 19 |
| 4 | Siroki Brijeg | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 14 |
| 5 | BSK Banja Luka | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 13 |
| 6 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 13 |
| 7 | Radnik Bijeljina | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 18:22 | -4 | 11 |
| 8 | Velež | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 11 |
| 9 | Čelik | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | Sloga Doboj | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 9 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 6.4% |
| Pinnacle | 2.12 | 1.68 | 6.7% |
| Betano | 2.10 | 1.65 | 8.2% |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 1.65 | 8.2% |
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 1.66 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 2.05 | 1.66 | 9.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 1.53 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.15 | 1.68 | 6.0% |
| Average | 2.06 | 1.64 | 9.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.05 | 1.73 | 6.6% |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 1.70 | 7.6% |
| 1xBet | 2.04 | 1.68 | 8.5% |
| Betano | 2.07 | 1.65 | 8.9% |
| Marathonbet | 2.04 | 1.66 | 9.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 1.53 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.07 | 1.73 | 6.1% |
| Average | 2.01 | 1.66 | 10.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Velež at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Čelik at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.69 | 3.29 | 4.63, which imply roughly 59.2% for a Velež win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premijer Liga table: Velež are 8th (11 pts, 9-17 goals), Čelik 9th (10 pts, 13-19).
Over their last five matches, Velež averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Čelik averaged 0.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Velež or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Confirmed Lineups
Velež
4-3-3Goalkeeper
- 1Faris Ribić
Defence
- 5Abdallah Ali Mohamed
- 8Ante Hrkać
- 18Said Duranović
- 87Nino Vukasović
Midfield
- 10Đani Salčin
- 45Kenan Ðuliman
- 7Ajdin Nukić
- 80Nino Stojanović
Attack
- 83Mahir Bešić
- 28Almir Aganspahić
Substitutes (10)
- 95Emil Velić
- 31Anel Zatega
- 14Benjamin Redzic
- 44Eldar Mehmedović
- 47Vedad Abidović
- 11Aldin Mešić
- 32Benjamin Tatar
- 65Kenan Karić
- 91Carlo Mateković
- 19Mahir Rahimic
Čelik
4-2-3-1Goalkeeper
- 1Arman Šutković
Defence
- 24Halid Šabanović
- 4Kenan Horić
- 6Amer Mašetić
- 27Nemanja Tomašević
Midfield
- 88Faruk Gogić
- 28Joseph Amoah
- 14Aldin Hrvanović
- 20Bruno Jenjić
- 11Samy Faraj
Attack
- 9Dejan Vidić
Substitutes (10)
- 13Vladimir Savić
- 2Amer Hodžić
- 19Nedim Smajlović
- 17Albin Omić
- 21Eldar Sivac
- 5Harun Vardo
- 8Andres Mohedano
- 15Marin Popović
- 7Dževad Sijamija
- 99Anes Mašić
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.59 | 3.47 | 5.16 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | 2.14 | 1.21 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.20 | 3.57 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.01 | 1.66 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.16 | 2.06 | 5.70 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.95 | 2.41 | 5.20 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.49 | 15.6 | 50.5 |
| HT X | 4.24 | 5.14 | 11.1 |
| HT 2 | 22.8 | 17.4 | 9.31 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.49 | 8.20 | 3.17 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.06 | 6.88 |
| 1.5 | 1.33 | 2.85 |
| 2.5 | 2.06 | 1.64 |
| 3.5 | 3.48 | 1.22 |
| 4.5 | 6.11 | 1.06 |
| 5.5 | 19.0 | 1.02 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.05 | 6.55 |
| 1.25 | 1.18 | 3.86 |
| 1.75 | 1.40 | 2.47 |
| 2 | 1.53 | 2.16 |
| 2.25 | 1.78 | 1.82 |
| 2.75 | 2.30 | 1.47 |
| 3 | 2.97 | 1.32 |
| 3.25 | 3.28 | 1.25 |
| 4 | 6.35 | 1.06 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.61 | 1.36 |
| -1.25 | 2.33 | 1.45 |
| -1 | 2.02 | 1.67 |
| -0.75 | 1.73 | 1.91 |
| -0.5 | 1.53 | 2.13 |
| -0.25 | 1.36 | 2.62 |
5 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5.45 | 1.08 |
| -2 | 4.60 | 1.13 |
| -1.75 | 3.28 | 1.27 |
| 0 | 1.18 | 4.02 |
| +0.25 | 1.13 | 4.55 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 8.5 | 2.00 | 1.74 |
Next Premijer Liga matches
| 7 Nov | Siroki Brijeg – Zeljeznicar Sarajevo |
| 8 Nov | Sloga Doboj – BSK Banja Luka |
| 8 Nov | Borac Banja Luka – Radnik Bijeljina |
| 8 Nov | Zrinjski – FK Sarajevo |