Moca vs Cibao• Liga Mayor, Dominican-Republic

#50.3:0.02-1FT13/09 · Polideportivo Moca 852.0:0.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.27AVGX2.94AVG22.11AVGMargin12.0%Books5Markets33Rating43 · 58Exp. goals L51.6

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Sep 07:43 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.08	3.00	2.26	10.0%
Betfair	3.10	3.00	2.20	11.0%
Marathonbet	3.02	3.00	2.24	11.1%
Betano	3.00	3.00	2.25	11.1%
Bet365	3.00	3.00	2.20	12.1%
Best of all books	3.10	3.00	2.26	9.8%
Average	3.04	3.00	2.23	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MocaCibao

Last 10#5Table position#21.22Points per game1.897Form pts · last 550.3Goals for · last 52.00.0Goals against · last 50.811Attack rating89100Defence rating040Form rating6062H2H rating380Goals model043Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 20:11 UTC

Moca

3W 5D 2L · goals 8:7 · per match 0.8 for, 0.7 against

4 Oct	A	Salcedo	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Vega Real	0-1	L
23 Sep	H	Delfines Del Este	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Atlántico	3-2	W
13 Sep	H	Cibao	2-1	W
6 Sep	A	Jarabacoa	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Universidad O&M	0-0	D
26 Aug	H	Salcedo	0-0	D
21 Aug	H	Vega Real	0-0	D
24 Apr	A	Universidad O&M	1-1	D

Cibao

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:9 · per match 1.5 for, 0.9 against

27 Sep	H	Jarabacoa	3-0	W
23 Sep	A	Salcedo	0-0	D
20 Sep	H	Universidad O&M	1-1	D
17 Sep	H	Portmore United	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Moca	1-2	L
10 Sep	A	Salcedo	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Vega Real	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Atlántico	4-1	W
25 Aug	H	Delfines Del Este	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	Jarabacoa	2-0	W

Head to head

4Moca wins

12draws

16Cibao wins

32 meetings · goals 16:36 · last 10: 2W 4D 4L for Moca

1 Apr 2026Liga Mayor	Liga Mayor	Moca2-2Cibao
22 Feb 2026Liga Mayor	Liga Mayor	Cibao1-0Moca
17 Jan 2026Liga Mayor	Liga Mayor	Moca1-0Cibao
18 Oct 2025Liga Mayor	Liga Mayor	Moca0-0Cibao
8 Aug 2025Liga Mayor	Liga Mayor	Cibao0-1Moca
10 May 2025Copa LDF	Copa LDF	Cibao0-0Moca
6 May 2025Copa LDF	Copa LDF	Moca0-2Cibao
4 Apr 2025Copa LDF	Copa LDF	Cibao1-0Moca
15 Sep 2024Liga Mayor	Liga Mayor	Cibao3-0Moca
1 Sep 2024Liga Mayor	Liga Mayor	Moca0-0Cibao

Liga Mayor tableLiga Mayorupdated 10 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Liga Mayor table, Moca sit 5th with 11 points from 9 games, while Cibao are 2nd with 17 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Salcedo	9	7	2	0	18:4	+14	23
2	Cibao	9	5	2	2	15:7	+8	17
3	Vega Real	9	5	1	3	14:8	+6	16
4	Delfines Del Este	9	4	2	3	8:6	+2	14
5	Moca	9	3	4	2	7:6	+1	11
6	Universidad O&M	9	3	2	4	12:10	+2	9
7	Jarabacoa	9	1	1	7	5:18	-13	1
8	Atlántico	9	0	2	7	8:28	-20	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.27X30%2.94242%2.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 12.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
1xBet	2.33	1.53	8.3%
Marathonbet	2.33	1.53	8.3%
Betano	2.25	1.50	11.1%
Best of all books	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Average	2.32	1.52	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.97	1.73	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.97	1.71	9.2%
Best of all books	1.97	1.73	8.6%
Average	1.97	1.72	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Moca 35%Draw 35%Cibao 30%

The statistical model rated Moca at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Cibao at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.27 | 2.94 | 2.11, which imply roughly 30.6% for a Moca win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Liga Mayor table: Moca are 5th (11 pts, 7-6 goals), Cibao 2nd (17 pts, 15-7).

Over their last five matches, Moca averaged 0.3 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Cibao averaged 2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Moca or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.04	3.00	2.23

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.54	1.30	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
2.13	1.61

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.97	1.72

1st half

1	X	2
3.83	1.94	2.95

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.30	6.60	1.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.20
1.5	1.41	2.52
2.5	2.32	1.52
3.5	4.25	1.15

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.08	5.45
1.25	1.25	3.28
1.75	1.54	2.27
2	1.73	1.91
2.25	2.01	1.68
2.75	2.70	1.36
3	3.50	1.22
3.25	3.90	1.18
4	7.70	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.72	1.20
-0.25	2.51	1.43
0	2.15	1.60
+0.25	1.76	1.91
+0.75	1.38	2.62
+1	1.21	3.58

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.65	1.05
-1	5.70	1.08
+1.25	1.16	4.14
+1.5	1.13	4.60
+2.5	1.02	10.5