Ayeyawady United vs Yadanarbon• National League, Myanmar

#101.0:3.009:00Today1.0:0.5#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.701XBX4.05MAR21.63DAFMargin at best7.3%Books6Markets41Rating30 · 70Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 15:44 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.20	4.00	1.63	10.2%
1xBet	4.70	4.05	1.54	10.9%
Bet365	4.20	4.00	1.60	11.3%
Betano	4.20	4.00	1.60	11.3%
Marathonbet	4.60	4.05	1.52	12.2%
BetVictor	4.10	3.50	1.50	19.6%
Best of all books	4.70	4.05	1.63	7.3%
Average	4.33	3.93	1.56	12.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ayeyawady UnitedYadanarbon

Last 10#10Table position#41.00Points per game1.756Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 51.03.0Goals against · last 50.543Attack rating5718Defence rating8230Form rating7029H2H rating7123Goals model7730Overall rating70

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 17:31 UTC

Ayeyawady United

4W 1D 5L · goals 14:17 · per match 1.4 for, 1.7 against

10 Oct	H	Thitsar Arman	1-3	L
6 Sep	H	Dagon	0-5	L
29 Aug	H	I.S.P.E	2-1	W
17 Mar	A	Sagaing United	1-2	L
13 Mar	H	Yarmanya United	5-0	W
5 Mar	A	Yadanarbon	1-2	L
26 Feb	A	Thitsar Arman	0-0	D
19 Feb	H	Rakhine United	2-1	W
14 Feb	H	Dagon Port	1-0	W
10 Feb	H	Shan United	1-3	L

Yadanarbon

4W 1D 5L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

18 Oct	A	Hantharwady United	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Myawady	2-0	W
4 Sep	A	Yangon Royals	0-0	D
28 Aug	A	GFA	2-1	W
16 Mar	A	Dagon Port	0-1	L
10 Mar	H	Yangon United	2-3	L
5 Mar	H	Ayeyawady United	2-1	W
24 Feb	A	Hantharwady United	1-0	W
19 Feb	A	Dagon	1-2	L
14 Feb	H	Shan United	0-2	L

Head to head

8Ayeyawady United wins

7draws

13Yadanarbon wins

28 meetings · goals 40:51 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Ayeyawady United

5 Mar 2026National League	National League	Yadanarbon2-1Ayeyawady United
26 Oct 2025National League	National League	Ayeyawady United1-0Yadanarbon
24 Jan 2025National League	National League	Yadanarbon3-1Ayeyawady United
7 Jul 2024National League	National League	Ayeyawady United1-1Yadanarbon
8 Dec 2023National League	National League	Ayeyawady United0-1Yadanarbon
25 May 2023National League	National League	Yadanarbon3-0Ayeyawady United
14 Sep 2022National League	National League	Ayeyawady United2-1Yadanarbon
7 Aug 2022National League	National League	Yadanarbon0-0Ayeyawady United
8 Sep 2020National League	National League	Yadanarbon2-3Ayeyawady United
23 Feb 2020National League	National League	Ayeyawady United1-1Yadanarbon

National League tableNational Leagueupdated 23 Oct 17:31 UTC

In the National League table, Ayeyawady United sit 10th with 3 points from 3 games, while Yadanarbon are 4th with 7 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Dagon	4	3	1	0	13:4	+9	10
2	Yangon Royals	4	2	2	0	6:4	+2	8
3	Shan United	3	2	1	0	8:2	+6	7
4	Yadanarbon	4	2	1	1	4:2	+2	7
5	Yangon United	3	2	0	1	8:3	+5	6
6	Thitsar Arman	4	1	2	1	9:8	+1	5
7	I.S.P.E	4	1	1	2	8:10	-2	4
8	Sagaing United	4	1	1	2	7:9	-2	4
9	Hantharwady United	4	1	1	2	3:6	-3	4
10	Ayeyawady United	3	1	0	2	3:9	-6	3
11	GFA	4	0	1	3	4:10	-6	1
12	Myawady	3	0	1	2	2:8	-6	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.33X23%3.93257%1.57

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
1xBet	1.54	2.27	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.27	9.0%
Betano	1.53	2.25	9.8%
BetVictor	1.45	1.97	19.7%
Best of all books	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Average	1.53	2.22	10.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.13	9.8%
BetVictor	1.45	1.95	20.2%
Best of all books	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Average	1.54	2.08	12.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ayeyawady United 10%Draw 45%Yadanarbon 45%

The statistical model rates Ayeyawady United at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Yadanarbon at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.33 | 3.93 | 1.57, which imply roughly 25.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League table: Ayeyawady United are 10th (3 pts, 3-9 goals), Yadanarbon 4th (7 pts, 4-2).

Over their last five matches, Ayeyawady United averaged 1 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Yadanarbon averaged 1 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Yadanarbon.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.33	3.93	1.57

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.14	1.15	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
3.15	1.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.54	2.08

1st half

1	X	2
4.55	2.36	2.05

2nd half

1	X	2
4.42	2.78	1.87

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.10	15.0	19.0
HT X	9.75	6.60	4.40
HT 2	40.0	15.0	2.40

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.66	16.1	1.47

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.13	4.50
2.5	1.53	2.22
3.5	2.23	1.46
4.5	3.78	1.15

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.16	4.10
2	1.21	3.58
2.25	1.37	2.70
2.75	1.62	1.94
3	1.81	1.75
3.25	2.03	1.57
3.75	2.74	1.35
4	3.42	1.23

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.66	1.37
+0.5	2.00	1.43
+0.75	1.91	1.64
+1	1.72	1.90
+1.25	1.51	2.11
+1.5	1.40	2.37

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.70	1.01
-0.25	4.05	1.16
0	3.58	1.21
+1.75	1.31	2.92
+2	1.18	3.85
+2.5	1.13	4.60
+3	1.01	8.40

Latest National League results

16 Oct	Thitsar Arman 2-3 I.S.P.E
10 Oct	Ayeyawady United 1-3 Thitsar Arman
9 Oct	I.S.P.E 2-2 Dagon