9 de Octubre vs Atletico FC• Liga Pro Serie B, Ecuador

#31.8:1.00-1FT03/10 · Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer, Guayaquil1.6:0.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.91BTNX3.531XB24.561XBMargin at best2.6%Books7Markets42Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 08:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.89	3.48	4.26	5.1%
Betano	1.93	2.92	4.00	11.1%
Betfair	1.85	3.00	4.20	11.2%
Bet365	1.83	3.10	4.10	11.3%
William Hill	1.85	3.10	3.90	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.83	3.04	4.05	12.2%
BetVictor	1.75	2.75	3.75	20.2%
Best of all books	1.93	3.48	4.26	4.0%
Average	1.85	3.06	4.04	11.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

9 de OctubreAtletico FC

Last 10#3Table position#21.68Points per game1.737Form pts · last 581.8Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 50.853Attack rating4744Defence rating5650Form rating5029H2H rating7157Goals model4346Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 22:01 UTC

9 de Octubre

2W 5D 3L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against

3 Oct	H	Atletico FC	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	San Antonio	3-0	W
17 Sep	A	Cuniburo	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Ind. Juniors	3-1	W
4 Sep	A	Atletico FC	2-2	D
28 Aug	A	Deportivo Cuenca Juniors	1-1	D
20 Aug	A	San Antonio	0-0	D
15 Aug	H	Ind. Juniors	2-2	D
6 Aug	A	El Nacional	0-1	L
30 Jul	A	Dep. Santo Domingo	0-0	D

Atletico FC

4W 4D 2L · goals 12:5 · per match 1.2 for, 0.5 against

24 Sep	H	Deportivo Cuenca Juniors	2-0	W
17 Sep	A	Ind. Juniors	1-1	D
10 Sep	A	San Antonio	3-0	W
4 Sep	H	9 de Octubre	2-2	D
27 Aug	A	Cuniburo	0-1	L
20 Aug	H	Cumbayá	3-0	W
15 Aug	A	Gualaceo SC	0-0	D
6 Aug	H	Santo Domingo	0-1	L
30 Jul	H	LDU Portoviejo	1-0	W
24 Jul	A	Deportivo Cuenca Juniors	0-0	D

Head to head

09 de Octubre wins

2draws

1Atletico FC wins

3 meetings · goals 3:4 · last 3: 0W 2D 1L for 9 de Octubre

4 Sep 2026Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	Atletico FC2-29 de Octubre
3 Jun 2026Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	Atletico FC0-09 de Octubre
4 Apr 2026Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	9 de Octubre1-2Atletico FC

Liga Pro Serie B tableLiga Pro Serie Bupdated 8 Oct 00:05 UTC

In the Liga Pro Serie B table, 9 de Octubre sit 3rd with 37 points from 22 games, while Atletico FC are 2nd with 38 points from 22.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ind. Juniors	22	10	9	3	28:16	+12	39
2	Atletico FC	22	9	11	2	25:14	+11	38
3	9 de Octubre	22	9	10	3	22:14	+8	37
4	Deportivo Cuenca Juniors	22	9	7	6	20:23	-3	34
5	Cuniburo	22	8	7	7	25:17	+8	31
6	San Antonio	22	7	10	5	24:21	+3	31
7	Gualaceo SC	22	7	8	7	19:16	+3	29
8	Santo Domingo	22	6	10	6	17:16	+1	28
9	LDU Portoviejo	22	7	6	9	17:22	-5	27
10	Cumbayá	22	5	11	6	22:22	0	26
11	22 de Julio	22	4	3	15	10:31	-21	15
12	El Nacional	22	2	6	14	15:32	-17	12

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.90X31%2.90222%4.06

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.85 → 1.81 -2.2%X3.06 → 3.11 +1.6%24.04 → 4.19 +3.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.35	1.58	5.8%
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Marathonbet	2.44	1.47	9.0%
Best of all books	2.50	1.58	3.3%
Average	2.43	1.52	7.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.15	1.62	8.2%
1xBet	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.15	1.58	9.8%
BetVictor	1.95	1.45	20.2%
Best of all books	2.15	1.62	8.2%
Average	2.10	1.56	11.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

9 de Octubre 10%Draw 45%Atletico FC 45%

The statistical model rated 9 de Octubre at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Atletico FC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.90 | 2.90 | 4.06, which imply roughly 34.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Pro Serie B table: 9 de Octubre are 3rd (37 pts, 22-14 goals), Atletico FC 2nd (38 pts, 25-14).

Over their last five matches, 9 de Octubre averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Atletico FC averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico FC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.85	3.06	4.04

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	1.78	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.33	2.77

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.10	1.56

1st half

1	X	2
2.62	1.92	4.86

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.63	6.85	2.75

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.20
1.5	1.46	2.32
2.5	2.43	1.52
3.5	4.64	1.14
4.5	9.30	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.09	5.35
1.25	1.29	3.28
1.75	1.57	2.14
2	1.81	1.75
2.25	2.15	1.63
2.75	2.92	1.31
3	3.96	1.17
3.25	4.51	1.15
3.75	5.50	1.11
4	7.80	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.22	1.27
-1	2.83	1.35
-0.75	2.14	1.57
-0.5	1.81	1.77
-0.25	1.58	2.12
0	1.32	2.88

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.70	1.01
-2	7.70	1.02
-1.75	4.89	1.11
-1.5	3.72	1.20
+0.25	1.23	3.42
+0.75	1.12	5.05
+1	1.02	8.10
+1.5	1.02	8.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.74	2.00
8	2.02	1.78