Ahal vs Paro• AFC Challenge League, World

0.0:0.02-2FTToday · Changlimithang Stadium, Thimphu2.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.50WHX4.00B36522.70B365Margin at best2.0%Books6Markets51Exp. goals L51.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 09:17 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.42	3.66	2.50	8.6%
Marathonbet	2.42	3.66	2.50	8.6%
BetVictor	2.45	3.60	2.45	9.4%
Bet365	2.05	4.00	2.70	10.8%
William Hill	2.50	3.30	2.40	12.0%
Pinnacle	2.46	3.43	2.35	12.4%
Best of all books	2.50	4.00	2.70	2.0%
Average	2.38	3.61	2.48	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AhalParo

Last 106Form pts · last 5150.0Goals for · last 52.00.0Goals against · last 50.00Attack rating1000Defence rating00Form rating1000H2H rating00Goals model00Overall rating0

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:21 UTC

Ahal

6W 0D 4L · goals 24:16 · per match 2.4 for, 1.6 against

7 Oct	H	Altyn Asyr	0-2	L
28 Sep	H	Arkadag	0-4	L
19 Sep	A	Aşgabat	4-3	W
12 Sep	H	Nebitci	3-0	W
5 Sep	A	Şagadam	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Merw	4-0	W
16 Aug	A	Arkadag	1-2	L
6 Aug	H	Köpetdag Aşgabat	3-0	W
20 Jun	H	Aşgabat	4-3	W
13 Jun	A	Nebitci	4-0	W

Paro

10W 0D 0L · goals 40:4 · per match 4.0 for, 0.4 against

8 Oct	A	Thimphu City	2-0	W
3 Oct	H	Bhutan U19	6-0	W
12 Sep	A	Transport United	4-2	W
8 Sep	A	Ugyen Academy	10-0	W
26 Aug	H	Tsirang	7-0	W
20 Aug	H	RTC	1-0	W
11 Aug	H	Abu Muslim	2-0	W
3 Aug	A	Drukpa	3-1	W
28 Jul	H	Thimphu	2-0	W
23 Jul	A	Tensung	3-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Ahal and Paro on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.38X25%3.61237%2.48

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.04 → 2.38 +16.7%X3.88 → 3.61 -7.0%22.93 → 2.48 -15.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
BetVictor	1.56	2.23	8.9%
Pinnacle	1.56	2.19	9.8%
1xBet	1.50	2.28	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.28	10.5%
Best of all books	1.56	2.62	2.3%
Average	1.51	2.32	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.46	2.53	8.0%
William Hill	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.49	8.7%
BetVictor	1.45	2.50	9.0%
Best of all books	1.50	2.53	6.2%
Average	1.47	2.48	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ahal 33%Draw 33%Paro 33%

The statistical model rated Ahal at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and Paro at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.38 | 3.61 | 2.48, which imply roughly 42% for a Ahal win versus the model's 33%.

Over their last five matches, Ahal averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Paro averaged 2 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: No predictions available.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.38	3.61	2.48

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.44	1.51	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.74	2.07

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.47	2.48

1st half

1	X	2
2.84	2.38	3.02

2nd half

1	X	2
2.72	2.63	2.74

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.50	15.0	22.5
HT X	6.15	6.35	7.10
HT 2	21.0	15.0	4.30

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.81	17.8	1.99

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.8
1.5	1.16	4.63
2.5	1.51	2.32
3.5	2.37	1.51
4.5	4.18	1.17
5.5	8.50	1.05

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.50
1.75	1.18	3.92
2	1.18	3.84
2.25	1.36	2.73
2.75	1.66	2.03
3	1.87	1.80
3.25	2.10	1.62
3.75	2.62	1.41
4	3.17	1.28
4.25	3.74	1.19
4.75	3.92	1.18
5	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.72	1.37
-0.5	2.25	1.62
-0.25	2.07	1.68
0	1.85	1.85
+0.25	1.61	2.11
+0.5	1.50	2.36

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.00	1.04
-3	7.00	1.05
-2.5	8.35	1.02
-1.75	4.40	1.14
-1.5	4.60	1.13
-1.25	4.20	1.15
-1	3.47	1.24
+0.75	1.33	2.86
+1	1.21	3.69
+1.25	1.15	4.14
+1.5	1.11	4.80
+2	1.05	8.15
+2.5	1.02	8.65

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.78	2.02
9.5	2.00	1.73