Germany U20 vs Italy U20• U20 Elite League, World

1.0:0.03-0FT29/09 · Estadi Olimpic Camilo Cano La Nucia, La Nucia1.0:3.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.66PINX4.361XB24.75B365Margin at best4.2%Books6Markets55Rating74 · 26Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Sep 16:33 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.67	3.91	4.24	9.0%
Betfair	1.60	4.00	4.40	10.2%
1xBet	1.61	3.78	4.50	10.8%
Bet365	1.65	3.75	4.20	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.59	3.78	4.40	12.1%
BetVictor	1.55	3.40	3.80	20.2%
Best of all books	1.67	4.00	4.50	7.1%
Average	1.61	3.77	4.26	12.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Germany U20Italy U20

Last 1015Form pts · last 511.0Goals for · last 51.00.0Goals against · last 53.050Attack rating50100Defence rating0100Form rating085H2H rating150Goals model074Overall rating26

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Oct 16:32 UTC

Germany U20

8W 0D 2L · goals 28:5 · per match 2.8 for, 0.5 against

29 Sep	H	Italy U20	3-0	W
25 Sep	H	France U20	1-0	W
31 Mar	A	Poland U20	1-0	W
26 Mar	H	Czech Republic U20	2-1	W
17 Nov	H	Italy U20	5-0	W
14 Nov	H	Romania U20	6-0	W
13 Oct	A	Portugal U20	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Portugal U20	1-2	L
9 Sep	H	Italy U20	4-0	W
5 Sep	A	Switzerland U20	5-1	W

Italy U20

1W 2D 7L · goals 8:26 · per match 0.8 for, 2.6 against

29 Sep	A	Germany U20	0-3	L
25 Sep	H	England U20	1-3	L
27 Mar	H	England U20	3-3	D
17 Nov	A	Germany U20	0-5	L
14 Nov	H	Portugal U20	1-2	L
9 Oct	A	United States U20	0-3	L
4 Oct	A	Argentina U20	0-1	L
1 Oct	H	Cuba U20	2-2	D
28 Sep	H	Australia U20	1-0	W
9 Sep	A	Germany U20	0-4	L

Head to head

3Germany U20 wins

3draws

0Italy U20 wins

6 meetings · goals 15:3 · last 6: 3W 3D 0L for Germany U20

17 Nov 2025U20 Elite League	U20 Elite League	Germany U205-0Italy U20
9 Sep 2025U20 Elite League	U20 Elite League	Germany U204-0Italy U20
10 Sep 2024U20 Elite League	U20 Elite League	Italy U200-3Germany U20
7 Sep 2023U20 Elite League	U20 Elite League	Germany U201-1Italy U20
27 Mar 2023U20 Elite League	U20 Elite League	Italy U201-1Germany U20
24 Mar 2022U20 Elite League	U20 Elite League	Italy U201-1Germany U20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.59X24%3.74220%4.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.61 → 1.59 -1.2%X3.77 → 3.74 -0.8%24.26 → 4.58 +7.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.55	2.34	7.3%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betfair	1.50	2.40	8.3%
1xBet	1.50	2.28	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.28	10.5%
BetVictor	1.43	1.99	20.2%
Best of all books	1.55	2.40	6.2%
Average	1.50	2.28	10.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.53	2.28	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.24	10.0%
BetVictor	1.44	2.00	19.4%
Best of all books	1.57	2.28	7.6%
Average	1.53	2.20	10.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Germany U20 45%Draw 45%Italy U20 10%

The statistical model rated Germany U20 at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Italy U20 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.59 | 3.74 | 4.58, which imply roughly 62.9% for a Germany U20 win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Germany U20 averaged 1 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Italy U20 averaged 1 scored and 3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Germany U20 or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.61	3.77	4.26

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.08	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.26	3.01

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.53	2.20

1st half

1	X	2
2.10	2.34	4.43

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.51	16.6	2.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	14.8
1.5	1.13	4.46
2.5	1.50	2.28
3.5	2.27	1.52
4.5	3.88	1.18
5.5	6.75	1.04
6.5	10.5	1.02
7.5	17.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	10.5
1.75	1.15	4.20
2	1.19	3.75
2.25	1.37	2.77
2.75	1.62	2.02
3	1.80	1.79
3.25	2.01	1.62
3.75	2.67	1.39
4	3.28	1.25
4.25	3.59	1.21
4.75	4.80	1.12
5	6.55	1.05
5.25	6.85	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.61	1.42
-1.25	2.29	1.49
-1	2.02	1.64
-0.75	1.77	1.86
-0.5	1.61	2.07
-0.25	1.43	2.44

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.35	1.01
-3	8.70	1.01
-2.75	6.17	1.08
-2.5	4.87	1.14
-2.25	4.46	1.16
-2	4.12	1.18
-1.75	3.15	1.29
0	1.27	3.36
+0.25	1.21	3.81
+0.5	1.21	4.25
+0.75	1.10	5.62
+1	1.01	8.60
+1.5	1.04	8.60