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Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno• Division Profesional - Clausura, Paraguay

#90.8:1.822:20Today · Estadio Feliciano Cáceres, Luke0.8:1.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.50BFRX3.551XB21.85BTNMargin at best4.4%Books9Markets77Rating30 · 70Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle4.443.501.855.1%
1xBet4.383.551.796.9%
Betano4.103.401.877.3%
Betfair4.503.501.757.9%
BetVictor4.203.401.808.8%
William Hill4.203.301.809.7%
Bet3654.003.401.7511.6%
Marathonbet4.203.401.7111.7%
SBO3.843.111.7714.7%
Best of all books4.503.551.873.9%
Average4.213.401.799.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sportivo LuquenoCerro Porteno
Last 10#9Table position#81.00Points per game1.314Form pts · last 570.8Goals for · last 50.81.8Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5036Defence rating6430Form rating707H2H rating9341Goals model5930Overall rating70

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 16:51 UTC

Sportivo Luqueno

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against

5 OctASportivo Trinidense2-3L
1 OctAOlimpia1-1D
25 SepHClub Guarani0-1L
20 SepHDeportivo Recoleta1-0W
13 SepAOlimpia0-3L
6 SepHSportivo Ameliano1-2L
1 SepA2 de Mayo2-2D
28 AugHRubio NU2-1W
24 AugANacional Asuncion0-2L
19 AugAParaguari AC2-0W

Cerro Porteno

5W 2D 3L · goals 12:10 · per match 1.2 for, 1.0 against

5 OctH2 de Mayo0-2L
30 SepHRubio NU2-1W
26 SepASportivo Trinidense1-2L
19 SepHRubio NU1-0W
12 SepAClub Guarani1-1D
7 SepHNacional Asuncion1-0W
3 SepADeportivo Recoleta3-1W
30 AugHLibertad Asuncion1-1D
27 AugAResistencia1-0W
23 AugAOlimpia1-2L

Head to head

8Sportivo Luqueno wins
10draws
20Cerro Porteno wins

38 meetings · goals 35:59 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Sportivo Luqueno

1 Aug 2026Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraCerro Porteno3-0Sportivo Luqueno
31 Mar 2026Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaSportivo Luqueno2-3Cerro Porteno
2 Feb 2026Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaCerro Porteno2-0Sportivo Luqueno
27 Sep 2025Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraSportivo Luqueno0-1Cerro Porteno
20 Jul 2025Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraCerro Porteno0-0Sportivo Luqueno
12 Apr 2025Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaCerro Porteno0-0Sportivo Luqueno
29 Jan 2025Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaSportivo Luqueno1-1Cerro Porteno
5 Oct 2024Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraSportivo Luqueno1-0Cerro Porteno
4 Aug 2024Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraCerro Porteno4-0Sportivo Luqueno
2 Jun 2024Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaCerro Porteno0-2Sportivo Luqueno

Division Profesional - Clausura tablePrimera Division: Clausuraupdated 10 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Division Profesional - Clausura table, Sportivo Luqueno sit 9th with 13 points from 13 games, while Cerro Porteno are 8th with 17 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Olimpia1382322:10+1226
2Libertad Asuncion1382321:14+726
32 de Mayo1374216:13+325
4Nacional Asuncion1365220:8+1223
5Sportivo Trinidense1372423:13+1023
6Club Guarani1356214:10+421
7Sportivo Ameliano1346315:15018
8Cerro Porteno1352615:14+117
9Sportivo Luqueno1341814:24-1013
10Rubio NU1333715:24-912
11Deportivo Recoleta1322914:26-128
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo1303104:22-183

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg122%4.20X27%3.38251%1.78

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 03:219 Oct 18:501 4.20X 3.382 1.78
14.23 → 4.20 -0.7%X3.47 → 3.38 -2.6%21.78 → 1.78 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.081.764.9%
Betfair2.101.735.4%
Bet3652.051.755.9%
Betano2.051.755.9%
1xBet2.031.737.1%
BetVictor1.991.718.7%
Marathonbet1.991.709.1%
Best of all books2.101.764.4%
Average2.041.736.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.901.876.1%
Bet3651.911.807.9%
William Hill1.851.858.1%
Betano1.881.828.1%
1xBet1.881.818.4%
BetVictor1.871.809.0%
Marathonbet1.881.789.4%
Best of all books1.911.875.8%
Average1.881.828.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sportivo Luqueno 10%Draw 45%Cerro Porteno 45%

The statistical model rates Sportivo Luqueno at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Cerro Porteno at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.20 | 3.38 | 1.78, which imply roughly 29.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Division Profesional - Clausura table: Sportivo Luqueno are 9th (13 pts, 14-24 goals), Cerro Porteno 8th (17 pts, 15-14).

Over their last five matches, Sportivo Luqueno averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Cerro Porteno averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Cerro Porteno.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Sportivo Luqueno

4-1-4-1

Coach: Lucas Barrios

Goalkeeper

  • 1N. Campisi

Defence

  • 22S. Ocampos
  • 2M. Barreto
  • 6F. Wiechniak
  • 23A. Cantero

Midfield

  • 14F. Benitez
  • 10G. Bogado
  • 8A. Maíz
  • 11Ó. Ruíz
  • 25J. Ramos

Attack

  • 20I. Maggi
Substitutes (12)
  • 30T. Franco
  • 28A. Balbuena
  • 3Á. Brizuela
  • 9W. González
  • 12F. Mongelos
  • 29T. Muro
  • 21M. Ojeda
  • 7K. Pereira
  • 19M. Pérez
  • 18F. Bobadilla
  • 24S. Beltrán
  • 37L. Comas

Cerro Porteno

4-1-4-1

Coach: G. Costas

Goalkeeper

  • 12A. Martínez

Defence

  • 4A. Cañete
  • 14L. Quintana
  • 6L. Merolla
  • 15B. Riveros

Midfield

  • 2F. Domínguez
  • 31I. Aliseda
  • 18A. Gamarra
  • 32C. Bobadilla
  • 7D. Rodríguez

Attack

  • 19P. Vegetti
Substitutes (12)
  • 13G. Benítez
  • 34C. Chena
  • 28C. Franco
  • 30G. Giménez
  • 40M. Klimowicz
  • 5J. Morel
  • 16I. Ramírez
  • 1M. Roffo
  • 27J. Torres
  • 23G. Velázquez
  • 21S. Araújo
  • 20E. Almendra

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.213.401.79

Double chance

1XX212
1.941.181.26

Draw no bet

12
3.031.34

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.881.82

1st half

1X2
4.682.112.40

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.649.051.60

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.73
1.51.333.12
2.52.041.73
3.53.601.26
4.57.371.06
5.514.01.02
6.534.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.027.90
11.047.24
1.251.174.06
1.751.412.69
21.542.34
2.251.791.94
2.752.321.54
32.861.35
3.253.161.27
3.754.411.14
46.171.06
4.256.551.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
03.181.31
+0.252.341.54
+0.51.981.81
+0.751.732.02
+11.492.50
+1.251.392.82
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.59.151.02
-1.258.901.01
-19.601.01
-0.755.521.11
-0.54.271.22
-0.253.641.25
+1.51.323.21
+1.751.203.98
+21.105.84
+2.251.086.24
+2.51.076.63
+2.751.018.68

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.055.37
6.51.094.89
7.51.293.15
8.51.562.28
9.51.951.77
10.52.511.46
11.53.431.25
12.54.891.10
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.065.17
6.751.114.66
71.124.42
7.251.203.63
7.751.312.97
81.352.80
8.251.452.49
8.751.622.15
91.752.02
9.251.811.89
9.752.041.69
102.211.60
10.252.331.52
10.752.691.38
113.031.30
11.253.191.26
11.753.811.18
124.501.12
12.254.701.11
12.755.771.05
137.191.01