OddsFilter

Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak• Persian Gulf Pro League, Iran

#140.6:1.62-1FTToday · Hafezieh Stadium, Shiraz1.4:0.8#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.04DAFX3.05BTN23.85DAFMargin at best7.8%Books4Markets41Rating25 · 75Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 08:47 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.043.003.858.3%
Betano2.003.053.809.1%
1xBet2.032.903.7210.6%
Marathonbet2.012.903.6211.9%
Best of all books2.043.053.857.8%
Average2.022.963.759.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Fajr SepasiAluminium Arak
Last 10#14Table position#51.00Points per game1.865Form pts · last 590.6Goals for · last 51.41.6Goals against · last 50.830Attack rating7033Defence rating6736Form rating6415H2H rating8511Goals model8925Overall rating75

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 11:40 UTC

Fajr Sepasi

2W 4D 4L · goals 6:12 · per match 0.6 for, 1.2 against

8 OctASepahan FC1-6L
7 SepAFoolad FC0-1L
3 SepHMes Shahr-e Babak1-1D
29 AugHZOB Ahan0-0D
24 AugAMalavan1-0W
19 AugHSanat Naft0-0D
14 AugAKheybar Khorramabad1-1D
27 FebAEsteghlal FC1-2L
20 FebHShams Azar Qazvin1-0W
13 FebAEsteghlal Khuzestan0-1L

Aluminium Arak

4W 6D 0L · goals 11:5 · per match 1.1 for, 0.5 against

8 OctHMalavan1-1D
6 SepHEsteghlal FC0-0D
1 SepAGol Gohar2-0W
28 AugHKheybar Khorramabad2-2D
23 AugAShams Azar Qazvin2-1W
18 AugHChadormalu SC0-0D
14 AugAEsteghlal Khuzestan2-0W
20 FebHPaykan1-1D
13 FebAShams Azar Qazvin0-0D
7 FebHZOB Ahan1-0W

Head to head

2Fajr Sepasi wins
5draws
5Aluminium Arak wins

12 meetings · goals 10:13 · last 10: 1W 4D 5L for Fajr Sepasi

29 Nov 2025Persian Gulf Pro LeaguePersian Gulf Pro LeagueAluminium Arak1-1Fajr Sepasi
3 Apr 2022Persian Gulf Pro LeaguePersian Gulf Pro LeagueFajr Sepasi0-0Aluminium Arak
19 Dec 2021Hazfi CupHazfi CupAluminium Arak2-0Fajr Sepasi
10 Dec 2021Persian Gulf Pro LeaguePersian Gulf Pro LeagueAluminium Arak1-0Fajr Sepasi
7 Jan 2020Azadegan LeagueAzadegan LeagueFajr Sepasi1-2Aluminium Arak
17 Aug 2019Azadegan LeagueAzadegan LeagueAluminium Arak3-1Fajr Sepasi
17 Jan 2019Azadegan LeagueAzadegan LeagueAluminium Arak1-0Fajr Sepasi
18 Aug 2018Azadegan LeagueAzadegan LeagueFajr Sepasi0-0Aluminium Arak
18 Feb 2018Azadegan LeagueAzadegan LeagueFajr Sepasi3-0Aluminium Arak
4 Oct 2017Azadegan LeagueAzadegan LeagueAluminium Arak0-0Fajr Sepasi

Persian Gulf Pro League tablePremier Leagueupdated 13 Oct 16:40 UTC

In the Persian Gulf Pro League table, Fajr Sepasi sit 14th with 7 points from 7 games, while Aluminium Arak are 5th with 13 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Tractor Sazi85219:2+717
2Persepolis FC751115:4+1116
3Esteghlal FC844010:2+816
4Sepahan FC851213:6+716
5Aluminium Arak73409:4+513
6Gol Gohar841310:7+313
7Foolad FC73317:4+312
8Paykan82336:7-19
9Nassaji Mazandaran82335:7-29
10Chadormalu SC82336:11-59
11Malavan72236:9-38
12Kheybar Khorramabad714210:1007
13ZOB Ahan81435:8-37
14Fajr Sepasi71424:9-57
15Shams Azar Qazvin81347:10-36
16Esteghlal Khuzestan81344:12-86
17Mes Shahr-e Babak80536:12-65
18Sanat Naft80443:11-84

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.03X31%2.94224%3.74

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

10 Oct 16:3113 Oct 02:401 2.02X 2.962 3.75
11.99 → 2.02 +1.5%X2.94 → 2.96 +0.7%23.72 → 3.75 +0.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano2.651.409.2%
1xBet2.741.3510.6%
Marathonbet2.741.3510.6%
Best of all books2.741.407.9%
Average2.711.3710.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.321.538.5%
Betano2.301.538.8%
Marathonbet2.321.519.3%
Best of all books2.321.538.5%
Average2.311.528.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fajr Sepasi 0%Draw 50%Aluminium Arak 50%

The statistical model rated Fajr Sepasi at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Aluminium Arak at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.03 | 2.94 | 3.74, which imply roughly 34% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Persian Gulf Pro League table: Fajr Sepasi are 14th (7 pts, 4-9 goals), Aluminium Arak 5th (13 pts, 9-4).

Over their last five matches, Fajr Sepasi averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Aluminium Arak averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Aluminium Arak and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.022.963.75

Double chance

1XX212
1.201.671.31

Draw no bet

12
1.422.60

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.311.52

1st half

1X2
2.791.844.72

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.775.802.64

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.095.53
1.51.582.19
2.52.711.37
3.55.431.09
4.58.801.02
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.105.10
11.144.40
1.251.362.76
1.751.751.90
22.061.64
2.252.421.44
2.753.421.23
34.901.11
3.255.301.09
3.757.951.03
47.901.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-13.281.25
-0.752.381.46
-0.51.951.75
-0.251.721.93
01.422.56
+0.251.293.04
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.701.01
-28.601.02
-1.755.801.07
-1.54.351.14
-1.253.841.18
+0.751.124.80
+11.028.30
+1.251.019.50
+1.51.028.60