Esteghlal FC vs Paykan• Persian Gulf Pro League, Iran

#20.8:0.21-0FT10/09 · Azadi Stadium, Tehran1.0:0.6#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.44AVGX3.22AVG210.2AVGMargin10.3%Books2Markets46Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L51.3

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Sep 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.45	3.20	10.3	9.9%
Marathonbet	1.44	3.20	9.70	11.0%
Best of all books	1.45	3.20	10.3	9.9%
Average	1.44	3.20	10.0	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Esteghlal FCPaykan

Last 10#2Table position#92.00Points per game1.149Form pts · last 570.8Goals for · last 51.00.2Goals against · last 50.644Attack rating5675Defence rating2553Form rating4771H2H rating2990Goals model1066Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 00:02 UTC

Esteghlal FC

6W 4D 0L · goals 15:3 · per match 1.5 for, 0.3 against

8 Oct	A	Tractor Sazi	1-1	D
14 Sep	H	Al Sadd	3-0	W
10 Sep	H	Paykan	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Aluminium Arak	0-0	D
2 Sep	H	Persepolis FC	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Foolad FC	0-0	D
23 Aug	H	Sepahan FC	2-0	W
18 Aug	A	Nassaji Mazandaran	1-0	W
14 Aug	H	Mes Shahr-e Babak	4-0	W
27 Feb	H	Fajr Sepasi	2-1	W

Paykan

2W 4D 4L · goals 6:9 · per match 0.6 for, 0.9 against

10 Sep	A	Esteghlal FC	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Sanat Naft	2-0	W
2 Sep	A	ZOB Ahan	0-1	L
28 Aug	H	Esteghlal Khuzestan	0-0	D
24 Aug	A	Kheybar Khorramabad	3-2	W
18 Aug	H	Gol Gohar	0-0	D
14 Aug	A	Tractor Sazi	0-2	L
27 Feb	H	Sepahan FC	0-0	D
20 Feb	A	Aluminium Arak	1-1	D
14 Feb	H	Mes Rafsanjan	0-2	L

Head to head

10Esteghlal FC wins

10draws

1Paykan wins

21 meetings · goals 29:13 · last 10: 6W 3D 1L for Esteghlal FC

1 Feb 2026Persian Gulf Pro League	Persian Gulf Pro League	Paykan1-0Esteghlal FC
21 Sep 2025Persian Gulf Pro League	Persian Gulf Pro League	Esteghlal FC2-2Paykan
26 Apr 2025Hazfi Cup	Hazfi Cup	Esteghlal FC1-0Paykan
1 Jun 2024Persian Gulf Pro League	Persian Gulf Pro League	Paykan0-2Esteghlal FC
30 Dec 2023Persian Gulf Pro League	Persian Gulf Pro League	Esteghlal FC2-1Paykan
13 Feb 2023Persian Gulf Pro League	Persian Gulf Pro League	Paykan0-2Esteghlal FC
6 Sep 2022Persian Gulf Pro League	Persian Gulf Pro League	Esteghlal FC0-0Paykan
5 Apr 2022Persian Gulf Pro League	Persian Gulf Pro League	Esteghlal FC0-0Paykan
8 Feb 2022Hazfi Cup	Hazfi Cup	Paykan0-1Esteghlal FC
9 Dec 2021Persian Gulf Pro League	Persian Gulf Pro League	Paykan0-3Esteghlal FC

Persian Gulf Pro League tablePremier Leagueupdated 8 Oct 20:01 UTC

In the Persian Gulf Pro League table, Esteghlal FC sit 2nd with 16 points from 8 games, while Paykan are 9th with 8 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tractor Sazi	8	5	2	1	9:2	+7	17
2	Esteghlal FC	8	4	4	0	10:2	+8	16
3	Persepolis FC	6	4	1	1	12:3	+9	13
4	Sepahan FC	7	4	1	2	11:5	+6	13
5	Aluminium Arak	7	3	4	0	9:4	+5	13
6	Gol Gohar	8	4	1	3	10:7	+3	13
7	Foolad FC	7	3	3	1	7:4	+3	12
8	Nassaji Mazandaran	8	2	3	3	5:7	-2	9
9	Paykan	7	2	2	3	5:6	-1	8
10	Malavan	7	2	2	3	6:9	-3	8
11	Chadormalu SC	7	2	2	3	4:9	-5	8
12	ZOB Ahan	7	1	4	2	4:6	-2	7
13	Fajr Sepasi	7	1	4	2	4:9	-5	7
14	Kheybar Khorramabad	6	1	3	2	8:8	0	6
15	Esteghlal Khuzestan	8	1	3	4	4:12	-8	6
16	Shams Azar Qazvin	7	1	2	4	6:9	-3	5
17	Mes Shahr-e Babak	8	0	5	3	6:12	-6	5
18	Sanat Naft	7	0	4	3	2:8	-6	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.44X28%3.2229%10.2

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.52	1.41	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.52	1.41	10.6%
Best of all books	2.52	1.41	10.6%
Average	2.52	1.41	10.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.93	1.34	8.8%
Marathonbet	2.93	1.33	9.3%
Best of all books	2.93	1.34	8.8%
Average	2.93	1.33	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Esteghlal FC 45%Draw 45%Paykan 10%

The statistical model rated Esteghlal FC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Paykan at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.44 | 3.22 | 10.20, which imply roughly 69.4% for a Esteghlal FC win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Persian Gulf Pro League table: Esteghlal FC are 2nd (16 pts, 10-2 goals), Paykan 9th (8 pts, 5-6).

Over their last five matches, Esteghlal FC averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Paykan averaged 1 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Esteghlal FC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.44	3.20	10.0

Double chance

X2	12
2.41	1.26

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.93	1.34

1st half

1	X	2
2.15	1.80	10.9

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.37	5.30	5.05

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.09	5.30
1.5	1.52	2.36
2.5	2.52	1.41
3.5	4.85	1.11
4.5	9.25	1.02

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.12	4.75
1	1.15	4.20
1.25	1.35	2.86
1.75	1.66	2.04
2	1.89	1.74
2.25	2.21	1.53
2.75	3.04	1.29
3	4.05	1.16
3.25	4.45	1.14
3.75	6.59	1.06
4	8.25	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.88	1.32
-1.5	2.38	1.46
-1.25	2.09	1.61
-1	1.81	1.86
-0.75	1.57	2.14
-0.25	1.24	3.34

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.5	1.01
-3	9.15	1.02
-2.75	6.15	1.06
-2.5	4.70	1.12
-2.25	4.30	1.15
-2	3.86	1.18
0	1.04	7.10
+0.25	1.02	8.10