Şahdağ vs 
Zaqatala• Birinci Dasta, Azerbaijan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 6 Oct 12:35 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.39 | 4.37 | 7.06 | 9.0% |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 11.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 3.80 | 4.75 | 11.9% |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 3.90 | 6.50 | 12.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.55 | 4.37 | 7.06 | 1.6% |
| Average | 1.44 | 4.02 | 6.08 | 10.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 09:41 UTC
Şahdağ
7W 3D 0L · goals 15:2 · per match 1.5 for, 0.2 against
| 17 Sep | A | Şimal | 4-1 | W |
| 9 Sep | H | Karvan | 2-0 | W |
| 3 Sep | A | MOIK | 1-0 | W |
| 22 May | H | Baku Sportinq | 1-1 | D |
| 15 May | A | Səbail | 0-0 | D |
| 5 May | H | Mingəçevir | 2-0 | W |
| 29 Apr | A | MOIK | 1-0 | W |
| 22 Apr | A | Zaqatala | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Apr | H | Cəbrayıl | 0-0 | D |
| 9 Apr | A | Difai Ağsu | 3-0 | W |
Zaqatala
2W 1D 7L · goals 11:25 · per match 1.1 for, 2.5 against
| 16 Sep | A | Karvan | 0-3 | L |
| 10 Sep | H | Baku Sportinq | 3-0 | W |
| 4 Sep | A | Mingəçevir | 2-2 | D |
| 22 May | H | Safa Baku | 2-1 | W |
| 15 May | A | Baku Sportinq | 0-3 | L |
| 6 May | H | Səbail | 0-3 | L |
| 29 Apr | A | Mingəçevir | 1-7 | L |
| 22 Apr | H | Şahdağ | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Apr | A | MOIK | 1-2 | L |
| 8 Apr | A | Cəbrayıl | 2-3 | L |
Head to head
7 meetings · goals 6:7 · last 7: 2W 3D 2L for Şahdağ
| 22 Apr 2026Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Zaqatala0-1Şahdağ |
| 25 Feb 2026Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Şahdağ1-0Zaqatala |
| 20 Nov 2025Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Zaqatala1-0Şahdağ |
| 27 Feb 2017Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Şahdağ1-1Zaqatala |
| 7 Sep 2016Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Zaqatala2-2Şahdağ |
| 6 Mar 2016Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Şahdağ1-1Zaqatala |
| 2 Oct 2015Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Zaqatala2-0Şahdağ |
Birinci Dasta tableBirinci Dastaupdated 7 Oct 15:31 UTC
In the Birinci Dasta table, Şahdağ sit 1st with 12 points from 4 games, while Zaqatala are 6th with 4 points from 4.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Şahdağ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:1 | +12 | 12 |
| 2 | Cəbrayıl | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 9 |
| 3 | Səbail | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 |
| 4 | Karvan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 |
| 5 | MOIK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 | Zaqatala | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
| 7 | Xankəndi FK | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 8 | Mingəçevir | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 9 | Şimal | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 10 | Baku Sportinq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 5.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 1.88 | 7.8% |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 1.85 | 8.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.75 | 1.91 | 9.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.85 | 1.95 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.82 | 1.90 | 7.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.91 | 1.85 | 6.4% |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 1.83 | 7.0% |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 1.75 | 9.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.91 | 1.85 | 6.4% |
| Average | 1.91 | 1.81 | 7.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Şahdağ at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Zaqatala at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.34 | 4.23 | 7.65, which imply roughly 74.6% for a Şahdağ win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Birinci Dasta table: Şahdağ are 1st (12 pts, 13-1 goals), Zaqatala 6th (4 pts, 5-11).
Over their last five matches, Şahdağ averaged 2.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Zaqatala averaged 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Şahdağ.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | 4.02 | 6.08 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | 2.49 | 1.19 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.25 | 3.75 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.91 | 1.81 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.96 | 2.30 | 5.83 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | 11.0 | 2.88 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 11.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.27 | 3.50 |
| 2.5 | 1.82 | 1.90 |
| 3.5 | 3.13 | 1.32 |
| 4.5 | 6.00 | 1.11 |
| 5.5 | 12.5 | 1.02 |
6 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.30 | 3.04 |
| 2 | 1.39 | 2.69 |
| 2.25 | 1.61 | 2.15 |
| 2.75 | 2.04 | 1.68 |
| 3 | 2.40 | 1.49 |
| 3.25 | 2.69 | 1.38 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 2.71 | 1.38 |
| -1.5 | 2.27 | 1.55 |
| -1.25 | 2.05 | 1.67 |
| -1 | 1.84 | 1.91 |
| -0.75 | 1.59 | 2.19 |
| -0.5 | 1.46 | 2.44 |
4 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4.20 | 1.17 |
| -2 | 3.40 | 1.26 |
| -0.25 | 1.31 | 3.01 |
| 0 | 1.13 | 4.80 |