Səbail vs 
Karvan• Birinci Dasta, Azerbaijan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 8 Oct 08:39 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.77 | 3.50 | 4.10 | 9.5% |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 10.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 3.40 | 4.52 | 10.7% |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 10.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.75 | 11.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 3.40 | 4.65 | 12.3% |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.10 | 4.33 | 12.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.65 | 4.8% |
| Average | 1.73 | 3.41 | 4.19 | 10.9% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Oct 10:11 UTC
Səbail
6W 2D 2L · goals 23:8 · per match 2.3 for, 0.8 against
| 17 Sep | A | Baku Sportinq | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Sep | H | Mingəçevir | 2-1 | W |
| 3 Sep | A | Xankəndi FK | 1-1 | D |
| 22 May | A | Mingəçevir | 1-4 | L |
| 15 May | H | Şahdağ | 0-0 | D |
| 6 May | A | Zaqatala | 3-0 | W |
| 30 Apr | H | Cəbrayıl | 6-0 | W |
| 23 Apr | A | Difai Ağsu | 4-0 | W |
| 16 Apr | H | Şimal | 4-0 | W |
| 9 Apr | A | Safa Baku | 1-2 | L |
Karvan
4W 1D 5L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against
| 16 Sep | H | Zaqatala | 3-0 | W |
| 9 Sep | A | Şahdağ | 0-2 | L |
| 3 Sep | A | Baku Sportinq | 3-0 | W |
| 24 May | A | Imisli FK | 1-1 | D |
| 15 May | H | Qabala | 1-2 | L |
| 10 May | A | Turan | 0-1 | L |
| 5 May | H | Neftchi Baku | 0-3 | L |
| 27 Apr | A | Sabah FA | 0-2 | L |
| 18 Apr | H | Şamaxı FK | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Apr | H | Kapaz | 4-1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Səbail and Karvan on record.
Birinci Dasta tableBirinci Dastaupdated 8 Oct 15:32 UTC
In the Birinci Dasta table, Səbail sit 3rd with 8 points from 4 games, while Karvan are 4th with 7 points from 4.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Şahdağ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:1 | +12 | 12 |
| 2 | Cəbrayıl | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 9 |
| 3 | Səbail | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 4 | Karvan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 | MOIK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 | Zaqatala | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
| 7 | Xankəndi FK | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 8 | Mingəçevir | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 9 | Şimal | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 10 | Baku Sportinq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 5.6% |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 1.78 | 7.7% |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 1.80 | 7.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.93 | 1.75 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 1.77 | 9.1% |
| Betano | 1.93 | 1.72 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.00 | 1.80 | 5.6% |
| Average | 1.93 | 1.77 | 8.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.87 | 1.87 | 7.0% |
| William Hill | 1.83 | 1.85 | 8.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 1.83 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 1.79 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.87 | 1.87 | 7.0% |
| Average | 1.85 | 1.84 | 8.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Səbail at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Karvan at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.73 | 3.41 | 4.19, which imply roughly 57.8% for a Səbail win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Birinci Dasta table: Səbail are 3rd (8 pts, 5-3 goals), Karvan 4th (7 pts, 7-3).
Over their last five matches, Səbail averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game; Karvan averaged 2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Səbail or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.73 | 3.41 | 4.19 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | 1.91 | 1.24 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.35 | 2.95 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.85 | 1.84 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.28 | 2.14 | 4.78 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.59 | 8.55 | 2.73 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.05 | 9.15 |
| 1.5 | 1.29 | 3.19 |
| 2.5 | 1.93 | 1.77 |
| 3.5 | 3.27 | 1.27 |
| 4.5 | 6.50 | 1.09 |
| 5.5 | 15.0 | 1.02 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.04 | 7.00 |
| 1.75 | 1.35 | 2.77 |
| 2 | 1.45 | 2.42 |
| 2.25 | 1.69 | 1.99 |
| 2.75 | 2.17 | 1.57 |
| 3 | 2.61 | 1.39 |
| 3.25 | 2.92 | 1.32 |
| 3.75 | 3.96 | 1.17 |
| 4 | 5.38 | 1.09 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.80 | 1.34 |
| -1.25 | 2.49 | 1.43 |
| -1 | 2.19 | 1.58 |
| -0.75 | 1.83 | 1.82 |
| -0.5 | 1.72 | 2.00 |
| -0.25 | 1.44 | 2.46 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5.58 | 1.08 |
| -2 | 4.83 | 1.12 |
| -1.75 | 3.46 | 1.23 |
| 0 | 1.24 | 3.37 |
| +0.25 | 1.18 | 3.85 |
| +1 | 1.01 | 8.80 |
| +1.5 | 1.01 | 8.40 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 1.74 | 2.01 |
| 8 | 1.98 | 1.82 |