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BG Pathum United vs Adelaide United• AFC Champions League Two, World

1.0:1.01-2FT15/10 · True BG Stadium, Patum Thani3.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.26DAFX3.80B36523.021XBMargin at best3.7%Books10Markets65Rating25 · 75Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 08:27 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.263.602.857.1%
1xBet2.113.683.027.7%
Betano2.253.452.828.9%
Pinnacle2.153.692.819.2%
BetVictor2.153.502.889.8%
Betfair2.153.602.8010.0%
Marathonbet2.033.542.9111.9%
Bet3652.103.802.6212.1%
William Hill2.103.302.8013.6%
SBO2.183.192.6415.1%
Best of all books2.263.803.023.7%
Average2.153.542.8210.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BG Pathum UnitedAdelaide United
Last 102Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 53.01.0Goals against · last 50.025Attack rating750Defence rating10025Form rating750H2H rating00Goals model025Overall rating75

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 18:31 UTC

BG Pathum United

1W 4D 5L · goals 10:17 · per match 1.0 for, 1.7 against

21 OctAKhon Kaen United0-1L
18 OctASisaket United1-1D
15 OctHAdelaide United1-2L
10 OctHAyutthaya FC1-1D
20 SepABangkok United2-3L
17 SepAHome United1-1D
12 SepHRasi Salai United3-2W
4 SepAPattani0-0D
4 AugHAston Villa1-3L
26 JulHBuriram United0-3L

Adelaide United

5W 1D 4L · goals 17:12 · per match 1.7 for, 1.2 against

15 OctABG Pathum United2-1W
3 OctAPerth Glory3-1W
27 SepAPerth Glory0-2L
17 SepHWofoo Tai Po3-0W
11 AugHCông An Nhân Dân0-2L
30 JulASouth Melbourne1-2L
20 JulAPlayford City Patriots2-0W
14 JulAThe Cove5-0W
15 MayHAuckland0-3L
9 MayAAuckland1-1D

Head to head

No previous meetings between BG Pathum United and Adelaide United on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.15X26%3.54232%2.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13 Oct 07:1015 Oct 09:001 2.15X 3.542 2.82
11.80 → 2.15 +19.4%X3.80 → 3.54 -6.8%23.40 → 2.82 -17.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.702.106.4%
Pinnacle1.602.237.3%
SBO1.632.177.4%
1xBet1.622.187.6%
Betfair1.602.208.0%
BetVictor1.632.109.0%
Marathonbet1.602.159.0%
Betano1.622.109.3%
Best of all books1.702.233.7%
Average1.632.158.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.532.387.4%
1xBet1.522.348.5%
BetVictor1.502.388.7%
Betano1.532.308.8%
William Hill1.532.308.8%
Marathonbet1.522.309.3%
Best of all books1.532.387.4%
Average1.522.338.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

BG Pathum United 0%Draw 50%Adelaide United 50%

The statistical model rated BG Pathum United at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Adelaide United at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.15 | 3.54 | 2.82, which imply roughly 28.2% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, BG Pathum United averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Adelaide United averaged 3 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Adelaide United.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

BG Pathum United

4-3-3

Coach: Vladimir Vujović

Goalkeeper

  • 28S. Anuin

Defence

  • 5K. Kaman
  • 3Y. Quintana
  • 27J. Scherzer
  • 16T. Yanagi

Midfield

  • 6S. Yooyen
  • 30Hugo Rama
  • 26A. Belmonte

Attack

  • 11P. Gustavsson
  • 20M. Jurina
  • 10Lucas Andersen
Substitutes (11)
  • 2C. Tamma
  • 79W. Phraothaisong
  • 50E. Osmanović
  • 44Marko Nikolić
  • 22Matheus Costa
  • 37F. Kaufmann
  • 45João Magno
  • 4L. James
  • 49N. Ineachaeoen
  • 19A. Coffey
  • 48W. Choolthong

Adelaide United

4-3-3

Coach: Airton Andrioli

Goalkeeper

  • 22J. Smits

Defence

  • 14J. Barnett
  • 52S. Phillis
  • 4P. Kikianis
  • 11C. Goodwin

Midfield

  • 10Juan Muñiz
  • 87Anselmo
  • 55E. Alagich

Attack

  • 58H. Crawford
  • 35Brody Burkitt
  • 12J. Yull
Substitutes (7)
  • 19A. Tatu
  • 62F. Talladira
  • 99A. Riak
  • 79F. Kasumovic
  • 23L. Đuzel
  • 40E. Cox
  • 65J. Garuccio

Match Statistics

BG Pathum UnitedAdelaide United
317Passes accurate419
10Shots insidebox7
8Shots outsidebox6
2Blocked Shots2
13Free Kicks7
7Shots on Goal6
4Goalkeeper Saves6
9Shots off Goal5
1Offsides2
377Total passes477
18Total Shots13
2Yellow Cards3
4Corner Kicks2
8Fouls13
0Red Cards0
49%Ball Possession51%
1.25Expected Goals1.39

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.153.542.82

Double chance

1XX212
1.351.591.23

Draw no bet

12
1.662.11

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.522.33

1st half

1X2
2.692.253.30

2nd half

1X2
2.452.553.09

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.3913.426.4
HT X5.575.936.94
HT 222.013.54.57

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7614.32.11

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.1
1.51.184.22
2.51.632.15
3.52.531.44
4.54.631.15
5.58.541.05
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.95
11.038.80
1.251.066.15
1.751.243.48
21.263.29
2.251.442.56
2.751.791.93
32.011.70
3.252.261.54
3.752.971.32
43.901.18
4.254.301.15
4.755.851.07
58.401.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.431.47
-0.52.071.71
-0.251.911.83
01.602.18
+0.251.452.49
+0.51.382.79
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.758.701.01
-2.58.301.02
-2.257.801.02
-27.401.03
-1.754.951.11
-1.53.841.18
-1.253.251.28
-13.151.30
+0.751.213.58
+11.095.30
+1.251.075.75
+1.51.066.25

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.124.46
7.51.322.92
8.51.622.15
9.52.011.73
10.52.621.40
11.53.651.20
12.55.441.07
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.017.27
71.164.01
81.412.60
91.801.96
102.351.51
113.311.25
125.041.09

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