OddsFilter

Melbourne Victory vs FC Seoul• AFC Champions League Two, World

1.0:1.03-0FTToday · AAMI Park, Melbourne0.0:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.60PINX4.211XB25.25BVCMargin at best5.3%Books9Markets67Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 04:29 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.604.204.996.3%
1xBet1.564.215.097.5%
Betano1.554.204.908.7%
BetVictor1.534.005.259.4%
Betfair1.534.005.0010.4%
Bet3651.554.004.7510.6%
Marathonbet1.504.054.9011.8%
William Hill1.573.754.6012.1%
SBO1.513.524.3017.9%
Best of all books1.604.215.255.3%
Average1.543.994.8610.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Melbourne VictoryFC Seoul
Last 109Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 50.01.0Goals against · last 51.0100Attack rating050Defence rating50100Form rating050H2H rating500Goals model050Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 05:50 UTC

Melbourne Victory

4W 5D 1L · goals 16:8 · per match 1.6 for, 0.8 against

10 OctASouth Melbourne1-1D
16 SepAViettel1-1D
9 SepASydney2-0W
19 AugAAPIA Leichhardt Tigers1-0W
8 AugAWestern Sydney Wanderers1-1D
26 JulAKingborough Lions4-0W
2 MayHSydney0-1L
25 AprAWestern Sydney Wanderers2-0W
17 AprHNewcastle Jets2-2D
11 AprAAuckland2-2D

FC Seoul

7W 0D 3L · goals 23:10 · per match 2.3 for, 1.0 against

10 OctHJeju United FC2-1W
20 SepAPohang Steelers1-2L
16 SepHPersib Bandung0-1L
12 SepAJeonbuk Motors2-1W
8 SepAUlsan Hyundai FC0-1L
5 SepHIncheon United1-0W
30 AugAGwangju FC5-2W
25 AugHBucheon FC 19951-0W
22 AugAFC Anyang7-0W
15 AugHDaejeon Citizen4-2W

Head to head

1Melbourne Victory wins
0draws
1FC Seoul wins

2 meetings · goals 2:2 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Melbourne Victory

3 Dec 2020AFC Champions LeagueAFC Champions LeagueMelbourne Victory2-1FC Seoul
18 Feb 2020AFC Champions LeagueAFC Champions LeagueFC Seoul1-0Melbourne Victory

AFC Champions League Two tableGroup Cupdated 14 Oct 18:20 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Al Taawon21103:2+14
2Al-Rayyan SC21015:503
3Al-Nahda10101:101
4Al Faisaly10013:4-10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.62X23%3.87221%4.42

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13 Oct 05:3014 Oct 05:101 1.54X 3.992 4.86
12.50 → 1.54 -38.4%X3.25 → 3.99 +22.8%22.50 → 4.86 +94.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.702.184.7%
Bet3651.652.206.1%
1xBet1.652.137.6%
BetVictor1.662.068.8%
Betano1.622.128.9%
Marathonbet1.632.109.0%
Best of all books1.702.204.3%
Average1.652.137.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.751.958.4%
Betano1.721.988.6%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
Marathonbet1.751.929.2%
William Hill1.672.009.9%
Best of all books1.752.007.1%
Average1.721.979.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Melbourne Victory 45%Draw 45%FC Seoul 10%

The statistical model rated Melbourne Victory at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and FC Seoul at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.62 | 3.87 | 4.42, which imply roughly 61.7% for a Melbourne Victory win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Melbourne Victory averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; FC Seoul averaged 0 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Melbourne Victory or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Melbourne Victory

4-2-3-1

Coach: G. Savarese

Goalkeeper

  • 25J. Duncan

Defence

  • 16J. Inserra
  • 5B. Hamill
  • 4P. Ziereis
  • 36H. Shillington

Midfield

  • 10D. Genreau
  • 8J. Valadon
  • 23K. Jelacic
  • 14M. Grimaldi
  • 21Guillermo May

Attack

  • 9H. Sawyer
Substitutes (12)
  • 26Jack Mihailidis
  • 3J. Davidson
  • 19O. Dragicevic
  • 29M. Ghossaini
  • 15T. Lockyer
  • 18F. Lino
  • 44C. Nduka
  • 24M. Olukhale
  • 11Clarismario Rodrigues
  • 28William Kengni
  • 22X. Stella
  • 1J. Warshawsky

FC Seoul

4-4-2

Coach: Kim Gi-Dong

Goalkeeper

  • 1Lim Jun-Sub

Defence

  • 66Park Soo-Il
  • 4Lee Sang-Min
  • 20Lee Han-Do
  • 17Ahn Jae-Min

Midfield

  • 88Park Jang Han-Gyeol
  • 99G. Samuel
  • 24Min-Jun Kim
  • 14Hyeon-Woo Jeong

Attack

  • 19Cheon Seong-Hoon
  • 11L. Ruiz
Substitutes (9)
  • 71Yun Ki-Wook
  • 40Park Seong-Hun
  • 49Lee Hyun-Seo
  • 23Ko Pil-gwan
  • 36Ji-Won Kim
  • 47Jeong Hyeon-ung
  • 73Ji-Seop Shin
  • 77Kim Kang-Jun
  • 21Jung Ha-won

Match Statistics

Melbourne VictoryFC Seoul
384Passes accurate350
10Shots insidebox6
12Shots outsidebox2
13Blocked Shots0
14Free Kicks11
6Shots on Goal2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
3Shots off Goal6
2Offsides0
481Total passes466
22Total Shots8
4Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards1
11Fouls15
0Red Cards0
50%Ball Possession50%
1.43Expected Goals0.94

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.543.994.86

Double chance

1XX212
1.132.251.17

Draw no bet

12
1.213.95

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.721.97

1st half

1X2
2.022.344.98

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5312.42.65

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0210.4
1.51.184.05
2.51.652.13
3.52.551.44
4.54.581.15
5.58.321.03
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.93
11.028.80
1.251.085.55
1.751.263.39
21.283.23
2.251.482.48
2.751.811.90
32.041.68
3.252.331.54
3.752.931.34
43.841.18
4.254.151.16
4.755.601.08
57.801.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.821.39
-1.52.401.52
-1.252.131.65
-11.901.83
-0.751.662.09
-0.51.552.36
16 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.101.02
-37.201.05
-2.755.161.12
-2.54.101.18
-2.253.781.21
-23.431.26
-0.251.362.86
01.223.80
+0.251.203.98
+0.51.273.65
+0.751.165.15
+11.019.35
+1.251.019.25
+1.51.029.30
+21.028.80
+2.51.019.30

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.094.99
7.51.273.18
8.51.532.30
9.51.821.89
10.52.431.47
11.53.301.25
12.54.801.10
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.124.51
81.342.84
91.692.05
102.171.60
112.981.31
124.421.12
137.021.02