Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Esteghlal FC• AFC Champions League Elite, World

1.5:0.52-0FT27/10 · Al-Rashid Stadium, Dubai2.5:0.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.83PINX3.721XB25.05PINMargin at best1.3%Books9Markets69Rating56 · 45Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.83	3.65	4.50	4.3%
1xBet	1.81	3.72	4.44	4.7%
Pinnacle	1.83	3.24	5.05	5.3%
Marathonbet	1.76	3.62	4.33	7.5%
BetVictor	1.75	3.60	4.40	7.6%
Betano	1.80	3.45	4.25	8.1%
William Hill	1.75	3.40	4.50	8.8%
Bet365	1.73	3.30	4.33	11.2%
SBO	1.71	3.22	3.98	14.7%
Best of all books	1.83	3.72	5.05	1.3%
Average	1.77	3.47	4.42	7.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Shabab Al Ahli DubaiEsteghlal FC

Last 1013Form pts · last 581.5Goals for · last 52.50.5Goals against · last 50.538Attack rating6350Defence rating5050Form rating5080H2H rating20100Goals model056Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 09:30 UTC

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

6W 3D 1L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

22 Oct	H	Al Ain	3-2	W
17 Oct	H	Al Ain	2-0	W
13 Oct	A	Al-Ittihad FC	2-1	W
8 Oct	H	Dubai United	2-1	W
2 Oct	H	Al Nasr	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Hatta SC	2-2	D
14 Sep	H	Tractor Sazi	1-0	W
10 Sep	A	Dubai United	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Al-Jazira	1-3	L
28 Aug	A	Al-Wasl FC	1-0	W

Esteghlal FC

4W 5D 1L · goals 10:6 · per match 1.0 for, 0.6 against

27 Oct	A	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	0-2	L
23 Oct	A	Chadormalu SC	1-1	D
19 Oct	H	Gol Gohar	1-0	W
12 Oct	A	Al-Gharafa	2-1	W
8 Oct	A	Tractor Sazi	1-1	D
14 Sep	H	Al Sadd	3-0	W
10 Sep	H	Paykan	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Aluminium Arak	0-0	D
2 Sep	H	Persepolis FC	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Foolad FC	0-0	D

Head to head

1Shabab Al Ahli Dubai wins

1draws

0Esteghlal FC wins

2 meetings · goals 3:2 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

25 Apr 2017AFC Champions League	AFC Champions League	Esteghlal FC1-1Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
20 Feb 2017AFC Champions League	AFC Champions League	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai2-1Esteghlal FC

AFC Champions League Elite tableEast Regionupdated 27 Oct 22:50 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	3	3	0	0	5:1	+4	9
2	Johor Darul Takzim FC	3	2	1	0	6:1	+5	7
3	Beijing Guoan	3	2	1	0	6:3	+3	7
4	Kashima	2	2	0	0	8:1	+7	6
5	Gamba Osaka	2	2	0	0	7:2	+5	6
6	Kyoto Sanga	3	2	0	1	6:3	+3	6
7	Kashiwa Reysol	3	1	1	1	6:3	+3	4
8	SHANGHAI SIPG	3	1	1	1	9:8	+1	4
9	Daejeon Citizen	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4
10	Jeonbuk Motors	3	1	1	1	4:5	-1	4
11	Công An Nhân Dân	3	1	0	2	4:7	-3	3
12	Buriram United	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
13	Ratchaburi	3	0	1	2	4:7	-3	1
14	Pohang Steelers	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0
15	Port FC	3	0	0	3	2:10	-8	0
16	Newcastle Jets	3	0	0	3	4:15	-11	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.78X27%3.46221%4.36

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.76 → 1.78 +1.1%X3.48 → 3.46 -0.6%24.48 → 4.36 -2.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.01	1.83	4.4%
1xBet	1.98	1.84	4.9%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
SBO	1.95	1.83	5.9%
Betano	1.93	1.82	6.8%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.80	7.1%
BetVictor	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Best of all books	2.01	1.85	3.8%
Average	1.95	1.82	6.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.80	1.95	6.8%
1xBet	1.84	1.86	8.1%
BetVictor	1.83	1.87	8.1%
Betano	1.80	1.90	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.84	8.7%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.84	1.95	5.6%
Average	1.82	1.88	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 45%Draw 45%Esteghlal FC 10%

The statistical model rated Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Esteghlal FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.78 | 3.46 | 4.36, which imply roughly 56.2% for a Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Esteghlal FC averaged 2.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

4-2-3-1

Coach: André Jardine

Goalkeeper

33Matheus Donelli

Defence

75Mateus Henrique
3Igor Gomes
4W. Faes
31Kauan Santos

Midfield

88N. Maksimović
80Breno Cascardo
24J. Markelo
6S. Ezatolahi
8Mohammad Juma

Attack

20S. Azmoun

Substitutes (12)

21Sultan Adil
1Rakaan Waleed
10F. Cartabia
44Jorge Fernandes
5E. Irala
79João Marcelo
55Juan Alvina
19Mateusão
16Rikelme
26Eid Khamis Al-Nuaimi
70Thiago Scarpino
95Vuk Butulija

Esteghlal FC

3-4-3

Coach: Sohrab Bakhtiarizadeh

Goalkeeper

76H. Far Abbasi

Defence

6S. Fallah
33A. Aghasi
5R. Ashurmatov

Midfield

2Saleh Hardani
4R. Cheshmi
8A. Razzaghinia
27H. Goudarzi

Attack

7J. Asani
11S. Saharkhizan
87E. Saitmuratov

Substitutes (11)

18A. Zoleikhaei
15A. Zamani
10J. Masharipov
60S. Hosseinifar
80M. Eslami
88M. Ahmadi
26Mohammad Mehdi Ghayedi Heydari
45Hossein Gharloghi
36Alireza Mohebali
40Mohammadali Nabizadeh Chamaz Koti
20A. Koushki

Match Statistics

Shabab Al Ahli DubaiEsteghlal FC

1.06Expected Goals0.45

384Passes accurate336

7Shots insidebox1

1Shots outsidebox8

17Free Kicks7

5Shots on Goal1

1Goalkeeper Saves3

3Shots off Goal2

464Total passes404

8Total Shots9

1Yellow Cards2

2Corner Kicks1

0Blocked Shots6

0Offsides1

8Fouls17

0Red Cards0

53%Ball Possession47%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.77	3.47	4.42

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.99	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.31	3.21

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
2.30	2.16	4.81

2nd half

1	X	2
2.13	2.48	4.31

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.67	14.8	41.3
HT X	4.59	5.34	9.13
HT 2	24.0	15.8	7.39

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.59	9.25	2.67

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.77
1.5	1.29	3.32
2.5	1.95	1.82
3.5	3.28	1.30
4.5	6.33	1.09
5.5	8.60	1.04
6.5	11.9	1.01
7.5	16.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.98
1	1.05	7.39
1.25	1.17	4.31
1.75	1.37	2.81
2	1.47	2.52
2.25	1.71	2.06
2.75	2.20	1.61
3	2.65	1.44
3.25	2.92	1.34
3.75	4.03	1.19
4	5.49	1.11
4.25	5.80	1.08
5	7.40	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.16	1.32
-1.25	2.76	1.41
-1	2.39	1.54
-0.75	1.99	1.77
-0.5	1.77	2.02
-0.25	1.53	2.39

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	7.75	1.03
-2.5	6.14	1.09
-2.25	5.78	1.10
-2	5.39	1.12
-1.75	3.82	1.23
0	1.30	3.29
+0.25	1.24	3.75
+0.5	1.19	4.61
+0.75	1.11	5.45
+1	1.03	8.38

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.01	9.00
5.5	1.09	5.50
6.5	1.22	3.54
7.5	1.46	2.49
8.5	1.83	1.88
9.5	2.36	1.51
10.5	3.12	1.29
11.5	4.40	1.15
12.5	6.40	1.06

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.49	2.38
8	1.62	2.21
8.25	1.69	2.05
8.75	1.89	1.77
9	2.10	1.68
9.25	2.18	1.56
9.75	2.52	1.41

Next AFC Champions League Elite matches

28 Oct	Gamba Osaka – Buriram United
28 Oct	Kashima – Pohang Steelers

All AFC Champions League Elite fixtures and the table

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