OddsFilter

Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan• AFC Champions League Elite, World

1.0:1.00-1FTToday · Chang Arena, Buriram3.0:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.12DAFX3.86PIN23.421XBMargin at best2.3%Books10Markets70Rating29 · 71Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 08:20 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.123.753.304.1%
1xBet2.063.703.424.8%
Pinnacle2.033.863.355.0%
Marathonbet2.013.603.347.5%
Betano2.103.503.157.9%
BetVictor2.003.603.308.1%
Bet3651.953.503.409.3%
William Hill2.003.503.259.3%
Betfair1.913.603.2510.9%
SBO1.983.213.0214.8%
Best of all books2.123.863.422.3%
Average2.023.583.288.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Buriram UnitedBeijing Guoan
Last 109Form pts · last 5111.0Goals for · last 53.01.0Goals against · last 51.025Attack rating7550Defence rating5025Form rating750H2H rating1000Goals model029Overall rating71

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 13:40 UTC

Buriram United

7W 3D 0L · goals 16:6 · per match 1.6 for, 0.6 against

10 OctHRayong FC3-2W
7 OctHPusamania Borneo0-0D
20 SepAChonburi FC1-0W
15 SepAJohor Darul Takzim FC1-1D
11 SepHChiangrai United1-1D
6 SepASukhothai FC3-1W
26 JulABG Pathum United3-0W
31 MayHPrachuap1-0W
27 MayHSelangor2-1W
20 MayASelangor1-0W

Beijing Guoan

7W 3D 0L · goals 26:9 · per match 2.6 for, 0.9 against

9 OctAQingdao Jonoon3-0W
15 SepHPohang Steelers3-1W
5 SepASHANGHAI SIPG0-0D
1 SepHRizhao Yuqi3-1W
28 AugADalian Zhixing1-1D
22 AugHYunnan Yukun3-3D
18 AugAShanghai Shenhua3-0W
15 AugATianjin Teda4-2W
7 AugHSichuan Jiuniu4-0W
1 AugHHangzhou Greentown2-1W

Head to head

0Buriram United wins
0draws
2Beijing Guoan wins

2 meetings · goals 1:5 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Buriram United

24 Apr 2019AFC Champions LeagueAFC Champions LeagueBeijing Guoan2-0Buriram United
9 Apr 2019AFC Champions LeagueAFC Champions LeagueBuriram United1-3Beijing Guoan

AFC Champions League Elite tableWest Regionupdated 13 Oct 18:00 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Al Ain22008:1+76
2Esteghlal FC22005:1+46
3Al-Ahli Jeddah21104:2+24
4Al-Qadisiyah FC21103:2+14
5Al-Hilal Saudi FC11002:1+13
6Shabab Al Ahli Dubai11001:0+13
7Neftchi21012:3-13
8Al-Nassr21013:5-23
9Pakhtakor20202:202
10Al Shamal20201:102
11Al-Ittihad FC10101:101
12Tractor Sazi20110:1-11
13Al-Gharafa20022:4-20
14Al-Wasl FC20022:5-30
15Al Sadd10010:3-30
16Al Quwa Al Jawiya20021:5-40

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.85X24%3.79225%3.66

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12 Oct 13:1013 Oct 08:401 2.02X 3.582 3.28
12.07 → 2.02 -2.4%X3.46 → 3.58 +3.5%23.20 → 3.28 +2.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.702.184.7%
Pinnacle1.672.205.3%
Bet3651.672.156.4%
Marathonbet1.672.136.8%
Betano1.652.157.1%
SBO1.642.167.3%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
BetVictor1.642.089.1%
Best of all books1.702.204.3%
Average1.662.146.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.602.256.9%
William Hill1.602.256.9%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
1xBet1.562.288.0%
Betano1.552.308.0%
Marathonbet1.562.248.7%
BetVictor1.552.259.0%
Best of all books1.622.305.2%
Average1.582.257.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Buriram United 10%Draw 45%Beijing Guoan 45%

The statistical model rated Buriram United at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Beijing Guoan at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.85 | 3.79 | 3.66, which imply roughly 26.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Buriram United averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Beijing Guoan averaged 3 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Beijing Guoan.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Buriram United

4-2-3-1

Coach: Mário Silva

Goalkeeper

  • 13N. Etheridge

Defence

  • 17Lucas Ahijado
  • 5Nathan
  • 6C. Good

Midfield

  • 20Toni Moya
  • 27P. Sookjitthammakul
  • 8Paulinho

Attack

  • 31Caju
  • 9S. Chaided
  • 10Sebas Moyano
  • 7Bissoli
Substitutes (9)
  • 18V. Savićević
  • 99A. Tudorie
  • 55T. Bunmathan
  • 40Eduardo Mancha
  • 34C. Bootprom
  • 33T. Chotmuangpak
  • 30S. Schimmer
  • 19K. Schindler
  • 2S. Haiprakhon

Beijing Guoan

4-4-2

Coach: N. Montgomery

Goalkeeper

  • 34Hou Sen

Defence

  • 21Yue Tze Nam
  • 27Wang Gang
  • 5Guilherme Ramos
  • 26Bai Yang
  • 28J. Dudziak

Midfield

  • 8A. Konte
  • 23Dawhan
  • 10Zhang Xizhe

Attack

  • 20B. Nkololo
  • 77C. Akolo
Substitutes (11)
  • 4Li Lei
  • 6Chi Zhongguo
  • 7Serginho
  • 11Lin Liangming
  • 17Yang Liyu
  • 22Han Jiaqi
  • 24Abduhamit Abdugheni
  • 29Fábio Abreu
  • 30Fan Shuangjie
  • 31Liu Shaoziyang
  • 47Jiefu Deng

Match Statistics

Buriram UnitedBeijing Guoan
343Passes accurate349
7Shots insidebox5
10Shots outsidebox4
7Blocked Shots4
12Free Kicks7
3Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal4
412Total passes416
16Total Shots9
1Yellow Cards3
2Corner Kicks7
0Goalkeeper Saves3
7Fouls11
0Red Cards0
65%Ball Possession35%
1.07Expected Goals0.7

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.023.583.28

Double chance

1XX212
1.291.751.25

Draw no bet

12
1.502.40

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.582.25

1st half

1X2
2.522.273.73

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6814.02.25

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.8
1.51.194.20
2.51.662.14
3.52.601.44
4.54.691.16
5.58.531.04
6.510.61.02
7.517.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.028.70
1.251.085.60
1.751.213.59
21.283.15
2.251.492.52
2.751.841.91
32.061.68
3.252.331.52
3.753.051.28
43.951.17
4.254.301.15
4.755.801.07
58.101.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.841.39
-0.752.251.58
-0.52.011.78
-0.251.742.03
01.492.51
+0.251.362.87
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.001.06
-2.256.581.07
-26.201.08
-1.754.351.17
-1.53.521.26
-1.253.191.32
+0.51.313.32
+0.751.194.13
+11.096.00
+1.251.076.43
+1.51.066.77

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.055.45
6.51.133.99
7.51.273.01
8.51.532.28
9.51.921.80
10.52.461.46
11.53.161.25
12.53.871.14
13.54.951.07
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.065.27
71.153.72
81.352.72
8.251.412.48
8.751.592.15
91.702.04
9.251.841.90
9.752.041.66
102.201.60
10.252.311.48
112.831.32
123.651.16
134.801.08