OddsFilter

Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka• AFC Champions League Elite, World

1.0:7.01-3FTToday · McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle2.5:0.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.30BTNX4.55PIN21.831XBMargin8.3%Books10Markets74Rating15 · 86Exp. goals L55.5

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 04:20 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet4.204.401.753.7%
1xBet3.784.261.834.6%
Pinnacle3.774.551.765.3%
Marathonbet3.684.151.787.5%
Betano4.304.151.658.0%
Bet3654.203.901.708.3%
BetVictor3.904.201.708.3%
Betfair3.804.201.6710.0%
William Hill3.604.001.7011.6%
SBO3.503.571.6517.2%
Best of all books4.304.551.83-0.1%
Average3.874.141.728.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Newcastle JetsGamba Osaka
Last 105Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 52.57.0Goals against · last 50.517Attack rating8313Defence rating880Form rating1000H2H rating00Goals model015Overall rating86

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 07:30 UTC

Newcastle Jets

2W 4D 4L · goals 17:21 · per match 1.7 for, 2.1 against

15 SepAKashima1-7L
21 JulAPreston Lions2-3L
16 MayHSydney1-1D
9 MayASydney1-1D
25 AprHCentral Coast Mariners4-0W
17 AprAMelbourne Victory2-2D
11 AprHAdelaide United1-1D
2 AprAMacarthur2-3L
22 MarASydney2-1W
14 MarHAuckland1-2L

Gamba Osaka

3W 2D 5L · goals 17:15 · per match 1.7 for, 1.5 against

9 OctAKashima0-2L
3 OctAKashiwa Reysol4-5L
23 SepHTokushima Vortis5-0W
20 SepHVissel Kobe0-1L
15 SepHCông An Nhân Dân4-1W
12 SepHFC Tokyo0-2L
6 SepAJEF United Chiba0-2L
2 SepAV-varen Nagasaki2-2D
29 AugHSanfrecce Hiroshima0-0D
26 AugHBiwako Shiga2-0W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Newcastle Jets and Gamba Osaka on record.

AFC Champions League Elite tableWest Regionupdated 13 Oct 20:10 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Al Ain22008:1+76
2Esteghlal FC22005:1+46
3Al-Hilal Saudi FC22004:1+36
4Al-Ahli Jeddah21104:2+24
5Al-Qadisiyah FC21103:2+14
6Shabab Al Ahli Dubai11001:0+13
7Neftchi21012:3-13
8Al-Nassr21013:5-23
9Pakhtakor20202:202
10Al Shamal20201:102
11Al-Ittihad FC10101:101
12Tractor Sazi20110:1-11
13Al-Gharafa20022:4-20
14Al-Wasl FC20022:5-30
15Al Quwa Al Jawiya20021:5-40
16Al Sadd20020:5-50

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg122%4.17X22%4.29256%1.64

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

10 Oct 00:0113 Oct 05:401 3.87X 4.142 1.72
13.24 → 3.87 +19.4%X3.93 → 4.14 +5.3%21.94 → 1.72 -11.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.373.045.9%
Bet3651.402.757.8%
Betano1.382.827.9%
Betfair1.333.008.5%
BetVictor1.333.008.5%
1xBet1.342.7810.6%
Marathonbet1.342.7810.6%
Best of all books1.403.044.3%
Average1.362.888.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.402.807.1%
Bet3651.442.627.6%
William Hill1.402.757.8%
Betano1.422.677.9%
1xBet1.382.818.1%
BetVictor1.362.888.3%
Marathonbet1.382.768.7%
Best of all books1.442.884.2%
Average1.402.767.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Newcastle Jets 0%Draw 50%Gamba Osaka 50%

The statistical model rated Newcastle Jets at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Gamba Osaka at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.17 | 4.29 | 1.64, which imply roughly 23.3% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Newcastle Jets averaged 1 goals scored and 7 conceded per game; Gamba Osaka averaged 2.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Gamba Osaka and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Newcastle Jets

4-2-3-1

Coach: Mark Milligan

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Delianov

Defence

  • 22J. Bertolissio
  • 39T. Aquilina
  • 5J. Shaughnessy
  • 23D. Wilmering

Midfield

  • 6Z. Schreiber
  • 14M. Burgess
  • 43X. Bertoncello
  • 28W. Dobson
  • 10Z. Clough

Attack

  • 9N. Vergos
Substitutes (12)
  • 27Julian Recchia
  • 52Nicholas Badolato
  • 65Kaiden Walshe
  • 24A. Nunes
  • 61Angus Reid
  • 8P. Wood
  • 40J. Baylis
  • 54J. Goodwin
  • 2A. Grant
  • 64Jesse Hill
  • 11J. Lolley
  • 46E. Debono

Gamba Osaka

4-2-3-1

Coach: Tomokazu Myojin

Goalkeeper

  • 22J. Ichimori

Defence

  • 15T. Kishimoto
  • 4S. Nakatani
  • 2S. Fukuoka
  • 47S. Nakano

Midfield

  • 16T. Suzuki
  • 13S. Abe
  • 20E. Adams
  • 8R. Meshino
  • 11I. Jebali

Attack

  • 41Y. Toshida
Substitutes (11)
  • 21R. Hatsuse
  • 1M. Higashiguchi
  • 23D. Hümmet
  • 10S. Kurata
  • 27R. Mito
  • 67S. Sasaki
  • 7T. Usami
  • 97Welton Felipe
  • 17R. Yamashita
  • 31Zhang Ao lin
  • 28S. Fujiwara

Match Statistics

Newcastle JetsGamba Osaka
265Passes accurate502
5Shots insidebox17
3Shots outsidebox7
3Blocked Shots5
7Free Kicks10
3Shots on Goal7
4Goalkeeper Saves0
2Shots off Goal12
4Offsides2
344Total passes573
8Total Shots24
2Yellow Cards2
5Corner Kicks6
10Fouls9
0Red Cards0
38%Ball Possession62%
0.75Expected Goals2.09

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.874.141.72

Double chance

1XX212
2.041.221.20

Draw no bet

12
3.061.34

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.402.76

1st half

1X2
3.852.592.18

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.3023.51.58

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0113.2
1.51.096.21
2.51.362.88
3.51.931.82
4.53.091.33
5.55.361.12
6.58.131.05
7.511.31.01
8.517.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0112.5
1.751.095.35
21.114.95
2.251.233.42
2.751.442.53
31.542.31
3.251.752.00
3.752.171.65
42.501.47
4.252.711.37
4.753.501.22
54.601.13
5.254.851.11
68.501.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.331.54
+0.52.101.69
+0.751.841.89
+11.632.16
+1.251.482.47
+1.51.412.70
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-210.51.01
-1.758.601.01
-1.56.731.07
-1.256.561.07
-16.171.08
-0.754.581.15
-0.53.811.26
-0.253.341.30
03.001.37
+1.751.293.28
+21.174.19
+2.251.174.28
+2.51.134.85
+2.751.135.90
+31.018.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.105.30
7.51.213.58
8.51.452.51
9.51.771.95
10.52.241.56
11.52.921.31
12.53.541.23
13.55.601.08
14.58.001.02
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.751.482.40
91.572.29
9.251.652.08
9.751.851.83
102.001.76
10.252.091.61
10.752.381.46
112.621.41
11.252.231.57
11.752.521.41