OddsFilter

Al-Nassr vs Neftchi• AFC Champions League Elite, World

#80.0:4.03-1FT12/10 · Al-Awwal Park, Riyadh1.0:0.0#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.20WHX7.80DAF213.0BVCMargin at best3.8%Books10Markets81Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Oct 16:39 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.207.8013.03.8%
1xBet1.207.2712.55.1%
Pinnacle1.187.4412.16.4%
William Hill1.206.5012.07.1%
Betano1.206.7011.37.1%
Marathonbet1.196.8011.87.3%
BetVictor1.177.0013.07.4%
Bet3651.187.509.009.2%
Betfair1.156.5011.011.4%
SBO1.195.227.4316.6%
Best of all books1.207.8013.03.8%
Average1.196.8711.37.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Al-NassrNeftchi
Last 10#8Table position#71.50Points per game1.5010Form pts · last 5100.0Goals for · last 51.04.0Goals against · last 50.00Attack rating1000Defence rating1000Form rating1000H2H rating00Goals model00Overall rating0

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 16:00 UTC

Al-Nassr

7W 1D 2L · goals 23:13 · per match 2.3 for, 1.3 against

12 OctHNeftchi3-1W
9 OctHAl Diriyah3-0W
15 SepAAl Ain0-4L
12 SepAAl Khaleej Saihat1-1D
9 SepHAbha2-1W
5 SepAAl-Ittihad FC1-2L
28 AugHAl Taawon2-1W
25 AugAAl-Ettifaq3-2W
21 AugAAl Riyadh4-0W
18 AugAAl Diriyah4-1W

Neftchi

7W 1D 2L · goals 21:13 · per match 2.1 for, 1.3 against

7 OctHXorazm2-2D
20 SepALokomotiv1-0W
14 SepHAl Quwa Al Jawiya1-0W
9 SepHSurkhon2-1W
4 SepANasaf2-6L
29 AugHPakhtakor1-0W
23 AugHSogdiana3-0W
18 AugABuxoro1-4L
13 AugAAndijan3-0W
8 AugHQizilqum5-0W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Al-Nassr and Neftchi on record.

AFC Champions League Elite tableWest Regionupdated 13 Oct 18:00 UTC

In the AFC Champions League Elite table, Al-Nassr sit 8th with 3 points from 2 games, while Neftchi are 7th with 3 points from 2.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Al Ain22008:1+76
2Esteghlal FC22005:1+46
3Al-Ahli Jeddah21104:2+24
4Al-Qadisiyah FC21103:2+14
5Al-Hilal Saudi FC11002:1+13
6Shabab Al Ahli Dubai11001:0+13
7Neftchi21012:3-13
8Al-Nassr21013:5-23
9Pakhtakor20202:202
10Al Shamal20201:102
11Al-Ittihad FC10101:101
12Tractor Sazi20110:1-11
13Al-Gharafa20022:4-20
14Al-Wasl FC20022:5-30
15Al Sadd10010:3-30
16Al Quwa Al Jawiya20021:5-40

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg180%1.17X13%7.2028%12.3

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

9 Oct 00:0112 Oct 17:301 1.19X 6.872 11.3
11.12 → 1.19 +6.2%X6.65 → 6.87 +3.3%212.8 → 11.3 -11.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.333.256.0%
Pinnacle1.333.206.4%
Betano1.353.007.4%
BetVictor1.333.107.4%
Betfair1.303.208.2%
1xBet1.322.8810.5%
Marathonbet1.322.8810.5%
Best of all books1.353.254.8%
Average1.333.078.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.801.917.9%
Betano1.851.858.1%
1xBet1.801.908.2%
BetVictor1.801.908.2%
Betfair1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.801.888.7%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Best of all books1.851.955.3%
Average1.801.898.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Al-Nassr 0%Draw 50%Neftchi 50%

The statistical model rated Al-Nassr at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Neftchi at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.17 | 7.20 | 12.29, which imply roughly 13.9% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the AFC Champions League Elite table: Al-Nassr are 8th (3 pts, 3-5 goals), Neftchi 7th (3 pts, 2-3).

Over their last five matches, Al-Nassr averaged 0 goals scored and 4 conceded per game; Neftchi averaged 1 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Neftchi.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Al-Nassr

4-4-2

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Goalkeeper

  • 24Bento

Defence

  • 12Nawaf Boushal
  • 3M. Simakan
  • 26Íñigo Martínez
  • 70Awad Aman

Midfield

  • 21K. Coman
  • 20Ângelo
  • 11Samú Costa
  • 10S. Mané

Attack

  • 79João Félix
  • 7Cristiano Ronaldo
Substitutes (8)
  • 4Nader Al Sharari
  • 14Sami Al Naji
  • 9Abdullah Al Hamdan
  • 60Saad Haqawi
  • 8Hayder Abdulkareem
  • 23Ayman Yahya
  • 53A. Al Otaibi
  • 66Sultan Abdullah Saad Al Mas

Neftchi

4-3-3

Coach: Islom Ismoilov

Goalkeeper

  • 1B. Ergashev

Defence

  • 52K. Kouao
  • 6Ibrokhimkhalil Yuldoshev
  • 4B. Ciger
  • 3Michel

Midfield

  • 10J. Iskanderov
  • 5I. Alibaev
  • 31Yan Sasse

Attack

  • 88M. Forss
  • 20A. G'ofurov
  • 7A. Ismailov
Substitutes (12)
  • 18S. Perica
  • 77Ratinho
  • 34F. Sayfiyev
  • 71B. Toshmirzaev
  • 45A. Turaev
  • 21M. Ubaydullayev
  • 32Z. Marušić
  • 11A. Jumayev
  • 8V. Jovović
  • 9K. Giyosov
  • 15Nurmuhammad Abduganiyev
  • 22Alisher Odilov

Match Statistics

Al-NassrNeftchi
2.19Expected Goals0.61
499Passes accurate227
12Shots insidebox6
4Shots outsidebox3
6Blocked Shots1
13Free Kicks4
3Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal6
3Offsides4
563Total passes291
16Total Shots9
1Yellow Cards3
5Corner Kicks5
0Goalkeeper Saves1
0Red Cards1
4Fouls13
61%Ball Possession39%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.196.8711.3

Double chance

1XX212
1.044.261.09

Draw no bet

12
1.068.53

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.801.89

1st half

1X2
1.522.998.40

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.2527.03.83

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0116.8
1.51.086.56
2.51.333.07
3.51.891.85
4.52.931.35
5.55.111.13
6.57.831.06
7.510.91.02
8.517.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0113.5
1.751.075.75
21.095.30
2.251.213.58
2.751.422.61
31.502.43
3.251.712.06
3.752.071.66
42.411.50
4.252.631.39
4.753.481.22
54.501.13
5.254.801.12
68.601.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.52.321.54
-2.252.111.65
-21.871.86
-1.751.702.09
-1.51.572.36
-1.251.402.73
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-4.57.301.03
-46.701.07
-3.754.931.13
-3.53.971.19
-3.253.621.23
-33.421.27
-2.752.721.39
-11.263.50
-0.751.223.80
-0.51.224.15
-0.251.115.42
01.048.00
+0.251.096.48

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.095.40
7.51.213.59
8.51.412.68
9.51.722.05
10.52.111.66
11.52.781.38
12.53.751.23
13.55.501.09
14.57.801.03
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.751.462.45
91.562.36
9.251.642.12
9.751.831.85
101.792.00
10.252.071.67
10.752.331.48
112.281.58