Sirens vs 
Naxxar Lions• Challenge League, Malta
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 07:28 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.70 | 2.11 | 8.3% |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.60 | 2.10 | 10.1% |
| 1xBet | 3.04 | 3.48 | 2.03 | 10.9% |
| Betano | 2.90 | 3.55 | 2.07 | 11.0% |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 11.9% |
| Marathonbet | 2.97 | 3.48 | 2.01 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 3.04 | 3.70 | 2.11 | 7.3% |
| Average | 2.96 | 3.55 | 2.05 | 10.7% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 08:31 UTC
Sirens
4W 1D 5L · goals 21:15 · per match 2.1 for, 1.5 against
| 19 Sep | A | Fgura United | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Zurrieq | 1-0 | W |
| 19 Apr | A | Birzebbuga | 2-3 | L |
| 12 Apr | H | Pietà Hotspurs | 3-4 | L |
| 6 Apr | H | Balzan FC | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Mar | H | Fgura United | 3-2 | W |
| 7 Mar | A | St. Andrews | 3-0 | W |
| 1 Mar | A | Swieqi United | 0-2 | L |
| 22 Feb | A | Melita | 0-2 | L |
| 15 Feb | A | Mtarfa | 8-0 | W |
Naxxar Lions
2W 2D 6L · goals 11:16 · per match 1.1 for, 1.6 against
| 20 Sep | H | Zebbug Rangers | 3-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Pietà Hotspurs | 2-3 | L |
| 10 May | H | Mosta | 0-1 | L |
| 2 May | A | Marsaxlokk | 2-3 | L |
| 26 Apr | A | Gzira United | 0-0 | D |
| 19 Apr | A | Hamrun Spartans | 0-3 | L |
| 15 Apr | H | Valletta FC | 1-1 | D |
| 11 Apr | H | Floriana | 0-1 | L |
| 4 Apr | A | Gzira United | 1-2 | L |
| 14 Mar | H | Hibernians | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
6 meetings · goals 10:6 · last 6: 3W 2D 1L for Sirens
| 14 Apr 2024Premier League | Premier League | Naxxar Lions1-2Sirens |
| 10 Dec 2023Premier League | Premier League | Sirens1-1Naxxar Lions |
| 9 Mar 2019Challenge League | Challenge League | Sirens1-0Naxxar Lions |
| 21 Oct 2018Challenge League | Challenge League | Naxxar Lions0-3Sirens |
| 22 Apr 2017Challenge League | Challenge League | Naxxar Lions2-1Sirens |
| 17 Dec 2016Challenge League | Challenge League | Sirens2-2Naxxar Lions |
Challenge League tableFirst Divisionupdated 9 Oct 19:53 UTC
In the Challenge League table, Sirens sit 6th with 4 points from 2 games, while Naxxar Lions are 8th with 3 points from 2.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tarxien Rainbows | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 | Victoria Hotspurs | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 | Fgura United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 4 |
| 4 | Vittoriosa Stars | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 4 |
| 5 | Swieqi United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 | Sirens | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 | Melita | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 | Naxxar Lions | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | Pietà Hotspurs | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Mgarr United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Santa Lucía | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Attard | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | St. Andrews | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Zurrieq | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Gudja United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
| 16 | Zebbug Rangers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.3% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 6.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 2.11 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 2.11 | 9.1% |
| Betano | 1.60 | 2.12 | 9.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.67 | 2.15 | 6.4% |
| Average | 1.63 | 2.12 | 8.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 2.29 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 2.24 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.53 | 2.29 | 9.0% |
| Average | 1.53 | 2.27 | 9.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Sirens at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Naxxar Lions at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.96 | 3.55 | 2.05, which imply roughly 33.8% for a Sirens win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Challenge League table: Sirens are 6th (4 pts, 2-1 goals), Naxxar Lions 8th (3 pts, 5-4).
Over their last five matches, Sirens averaged 1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Naxxar Lions averaged 2.5 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Sirens or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.96 | 3.55 | 2.05 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.64 | 1.31 | 1.22 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.26 | 1.55 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.53 | 2.27 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.51 | 2.25 | 2.57 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.17 | 14.0 | 1.72 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 13.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.16 | 4.10 |
| 2.5 | 1.63 | 2.12 |
| 3.5 | 2.52 | 1.41 |
| 4.5 | 4.60 | 1.13 |
8 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.20 | 3.68 |
| 2 | 1.26 | 3.20 |
| 2.25 | 1.44 | 2.48 |
| 2.75 | 1.76 | 1.86 |
| 3 | 2.00 | 1.66 |
| 3.25 | 2.30 | 1.51 |
| 3.75 | 3.04 | 1.29 |
| 4 | 3.92 | 1.18 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.25 | 2.58 | 1.40 |
| 0 | 2.25 | 1.54 |
| +0.25 | 1.90 | 1.78 |
| +0.5 | 1.65 | 1.98 |
| +0.75 | 1.49 | 2.34 |
| +1 | 1.31 | 2.92 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6.20 | 1.06 |
| -1 | 5.30 | 1.09 |
| -0.75 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| +1.25 | 1.24 | 3.34 |
| +1.5 | 1.20 | 3.72 |
| +2 | 1.04 | 6.85 |
| +2.5 | 1.03 | 7.70 |