Police vs Posta Rangers FC• FKF Premier League, Kenya

#91.0:1.012:00PostponedToday0.0:1.0#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75B365X3.12MAR24.841XBMargin at best9.9%Books3Markets37Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 22:08 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.72	3.12	4.84	10.9%
Bet365	1.75	3.10	4.50	11.6%
Marathonbet	1.70	3.12	4.70	12.2%
Best of all books	1.75	3.12	4.84	9.9%
Average	1.72	3.11	4.68	11.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PolicePosta Rangers FC

Last 10#9Table position#151.00Points per game0.004Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 50.01.0Goals against · last 51.0100Attack rating050Defence rating50100Form rating071H2H rating290Goals model059Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 15 Oct 20:01 UTC

Police

2W 7D 1L · goals 8:7 · per match 0.8 for, 0.7 against

11 Oct	A	Migori Youth	1-1	D
14 Jun	A	Tusker	1-2	L
31 May	H	Homeboyz	1-1	D
27 May	H	Kariobangi Sharks	1-1	D
24 May	A	Nairobi United	0-0	D
16 May	H	Bandari	0-0	D
10 May	A	GOR Mahia	1-1	D
6 May	H	Murang'a SEAL	2-1	W
2 May	A	Shabana	1-0	W
25 Apr	A	Shabana	0-0	D

Posta Rangers FC

2W 3D 5L · goals 8:12 · per match 0.8 for, 1.2 against

10 Oct	H	Shabana	0-1	L
31 May	H	Ulinzi Stars	0-1	L
23 May	A	KCB	1-0	W
16 May	A	Nairobi United	2-2	D
11 May	H	Sofapaka	3-0	W
6 May	A	Bandari	1-1	D
24 Apr	H	Bidco United	1-1	D
19 Apr	H	APS Bomet	0-3	L
12 Apr	H	Nairobi United	0-2	L
6 Apr	A	Mara Sugar	0-1	L

Head to head

6Police wins

3draws

2Posta Rangers FC wins

11 meetings · goals 14:11 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Police

13 Mar 2026FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Posta Rangers FC2-0Police
2 Nov 2025FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Police0-0Posta Rangers FC
30 Mar 2025FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Posta Rangers FC0-1Police
15 Jan 2025FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Police3-2Posta Rangers FC
24 Feb 2024Shield Cup	Shield Cup	Police1-0Posta Rangers FC
10 Feb 2024FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Posta Rangers FC0-0Police
1 Sep 2023FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Police0-3Posta Rangers FC
4 Jun 2023FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Police3-1Posta Rangers FC
19 Jan 2023FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Posta Rangers FC0-2Police
28 May 2022FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Police2-1Posta Rangers FC

FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 15 Oct 01:31 UTC

In the FKF Premier League table, Police sit 9th with 1 points from 1 games, while Posta Rangers FC are 15th with 0 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	GOR Mahia	1	1	0	0	4:2	+2	3
2	Tusker	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
3	Homeboyz	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
4	Shabana	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
5	KCB	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
6	Mara Sugar	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
7	Nairobi United	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
8	3K	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
9	Police	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
10	Migori Youth	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
11	Mathare United	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
12	AFC Leopards	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
13	Bandari	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
14	APS Bomet	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
15	Posta Rangers FC	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
16	Mombasa Elite	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
17	Murang'a SEAL	1	0	0	1	2:4	-2	0
18	Ulinzi Stars	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.70X29%3.06219%4.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.71 → 1.72 +0.6%X3.11 → 3.11 0.0%24.78 → 4.68 -2.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
1xBet	2.41	1.48	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.41	1.48	9.1%
Best of all books	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Average	2.44	1.49	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.20	1.55	10.0%
Best of all books	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Average	2.20	1.56	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Police 45%Draw 45%Posta Rangers FC 10%

The statistical model rates Police at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Posta Rangers FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.70 | 3.06 | 4.59, which imply roughly 58.8% for a Police win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FKF Premier League table: Police are 9th (1 pts, 1-1 goals), Posta Rangers FC 15th (0 pts, 0-1).

Over their last five matches, Police averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Posta Rangers FC averaged 0 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Police or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.72	3.11	4.68

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	1.89	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.20	1.56

1st half

1	X	2
2.39	1.92	5.68

2nd half

1	X	2
2.15	2.21	5.02

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.75	19.0	41.0
HT X	4.33	4.50	9.50
HT 2	29.0	19.0	8.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.57	6.08	3.15

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.44	2.42
2.5	2.44	1.49
3.5	4.50	1.13

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.11	4.95
1.25	1.28	3.08
1.75	1.57	2.13
2	1.80	1.82
2.25	2.09	1.61
2.75	2.83	1.33
3	3.76	1.19
3.25	4.14	1.16
4	8.20	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.14	1.27
-1.25	2.80	1.35
-1	2.41	1.47
-0.75	1.94	1.75
-0.25	1.47	2.35
0	1.24	3.34

4 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.65	1.05
-2	5.80	1.07
-1.75	4.00	1.17
+0.25	1.18	3.92