AFC Leopards vs 
Mombasa Elite• FKF Premier League, Kenya
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 22:08 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 3.74 | 8.95 | 10.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 3.75 | 7.50 | 11.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 3.74 | 8.40 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.40 | 3.75 | 8.95 | 9.3% |
| Average | 1.38 | 3.74 | 8.28 | 11.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 15 Oct 20:01 UTC
AFC Leopards
5W 1D 4L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against
| 14 Oct | H | Bandari | 0-0 | D |
| 31 May | H | Bidco United | 1-2 | L |
| 24 May | A | APS Bomet | 1-2 | L |
| 16 May | A | Homeboyz | 2-1 | W |
| 13 May | A | Ulinzi Stars | 2-0 | W |
| 9 May | H | Mara Sugar | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Apr | H | GOR Mahia | 0-1 | L |
| 18 Apr | H | Police | 0-3 | L |
| 5 Apr | A | Murang'a SEAL | 2-0 | W |
| 29 Mar | H | Kariobangi Sharks | 1-0 | W |
Mombasa Elite
5W 2D 3L · goals 9:8 · per match 0.9 for, 0.8 against
| 14 Oct | H | Homeboyz | 0-1 | L |
| 6 Oct | A | Kariobangi Sharks | 2-0 | W |
| 1 Oct | H | Kariobangi Sharks | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Jun | A | Naivas | 1-1 | D |
| 7 Jun | H | Nzoia Sugar | 1-0 | W |
| 1 Jun | A | Luanda Villa | 0-1 | L |
| 27 May | H | 3K | 0-0 | D |
| 24 May | A | Mwatate United | 1-0 | W |
| 17 May | H | Nairobi City Stars | 2-1 | W |
| 10 May | A | Talanta | 0-3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings between AFC Leopards and Mombasa Elite on record.
FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 15 Oct 01:31 UTC
In the FKF Premier League table, AFC Leopards sit 12th with 1 points from 1 games, while Mombasa Elite are 16th with 0 points from 1.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOR Mahia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 | Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 | Homeboyz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 | Shabana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 | KCB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Mara Sugar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Nairobi United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | 3K | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Police | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Migori Youth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Mathare United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | AFC Leopards | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Bandari | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Mombasa Elite | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Murang'a SEAL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Ulinzi Stars | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.3% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 6.4% |
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 1.64 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.08 | 1.64 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.15 | 1.67 | 6.4% |
| Average | 2.10 | 1.65 | 8.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.39 | 1.49 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 2.39 | 1.47 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.39 | 1.49 | 9.0% |
| Average | 2.39 | 1.48 | 9.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates AFC Leopards at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Mombasa Elite at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.38 | 3.74 | 8.28, which imply roughly 72.5% for a AFC Leopards win versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the FKF Premier League table: AFC Leopards are 12th (1 pts, 0-0 goals), Mombasa Elite 16th (0 pts, 0-1).
Over their last five matches, AFC Leopards averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Mombasa Elite averaged 0 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : AFC Leopards or draw and -2.5 goals (goal line signal: under 2.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | 3.74 | 8.28 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.04 | 2.59 | 1.18 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.12 | 5.50 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.39 | 1.48 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.96 | 2.09 | 8.08 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.70 | 2.52 | 7.58 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.10 | 21.0 | 51.0 |
| HT X | 3.75 | 5.50 | 15.0 |
| HT 2 | 26.0 | 23.0 | 13.0 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.37 | 7.35 | 4.03 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.33 | 2.83 |
| 2.5 | 2.10 | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.06 | 6.05 |
| 1.25 | 1.20 | 3.70 |
| 1.75 | 1.42 | 2.49 |
| 2 | 1.56 | 2.15 |
| 2.25 | 1.82 | 1.82 |
| 2.75 | 2.38 | 1.46 |
| 3 | 2.97 | 1.30 |
| 3.25 | 3.28 | 1.25 |
| 4 | 6.45 | 1.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 3.28 | 1.25 |
| -1.75 | 2.56 | 1.40 |
| -1.5 | 2.17 | 1.55 |
| -1.25 | 1.93 | 1.75 |
| -1 | 1.66 | 2.03 |
| -0.75 | 1.47 | 2.35 |
6 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 8.30 | 1.01 |
| -3 | 7.50 | 1.03 |
| -2.5 | 4.05 | 1.16 |
| -0.25 | 1.22 | 3.50 |
| 0 | 1.06 | 6.25 |
| +0.25 | 1.04 | 7.10 |