Mathare United vs 
APS Bomet• FKF Premier League, Kenya
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 23:52 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.70 | 2.95 | 2.70 | 8.0% |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 2.90 | 2.50 | 10.8% |
| Betano | 2.62 | 2.82 | 2.67 | 11.1% |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 2.88 | 3.00 | 11.5% |
| 1xBet | 2.65 | 2.85 | 2.54 | 12.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.65 | 2.85 | 2.54 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.75 | 2.95 | 3.00 | 3.6% |
| Average | 2.61 | 2.88 | 2.66 | 10.7% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 08:11 UTC
Mathare United
3W 3D 4L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against
| 31 May | H | Bandari | 1-0 | W |
| 23 May | A | Ulinzi Stars | 1-2 | L |
| 16 May | A | Mara Sugar | 1-0 | W |
| 10 May | H | APS Bomet | 0-2 | L |
| 2 May | A | Sofapaka | 2-2 | D |
| 25 Apr | H | Nairobi United | 1-2 | L |
| 18 Apr | H | Bidco United | 3-0 | W |
| 14 Apr | H | Police | 0-0 | D |
| 4 Apr | A | Homeboyz | 0-3 | L |
| 22 Mar | A | Murang'a SEAL | 1-1 | D |
APS Bomet
7W 3D 0L · goals 13:2 · per match 1.3 for, 0.2 against
| 31 May | A | Tusker | 1-1 | D |
| 24 May | H | AFC Leopards | 2-1 | W |
| 20 May | A | Bandari | 2-0 | W |
| 10 May | A | Mathare United | 2-0 | W |
| 6 May | H | KCB | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Apr | H | Sofapaka | 1-0 | W |
| 19 Apr | A | Posta Rangers FC | 3-0 | W |
| 4 Apr | A | Ulinzi Stars | 1-0 | W |
| 29 Mar | H | Nairobi United | 0-0 | D |
| 21 Mar | A | Mara Sugar | 0-0 | D |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 1:3 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Mathare United
| 10 May 2026FKF Premier League | FKF Premier League | Mathare United0-2APS Bomet |
| 9 Nov 2025FKF Premier League | FKF Premier League | APS Bomet1-1Mathare United |
FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 13 Oct 19:40 UTC
In the FKF Premier League table, Mathare United sit 9th with 1 points from 1 games, while APS Bomet are 10th with 1 points from 1.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 | Shabana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | KCB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Mara Sugar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Nairobi United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | 3K | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Police | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Migori Youth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Mathare United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | GOR Mahia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | AFC Leopards | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Bandari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Homeboyz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Murang'a SEAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Mombasa Elite | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Posta Rangers FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Ulinzi Stars | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 1.44 | 7.6% |
| 1xBet | 2.52 | 1.41 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 2.52 | 1.41 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 2.62 | 1.44 | 7.6% |
| Average | 2.55 | 1.42 | 9.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.09 | 1.63 | 9.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.09 | 1.61 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.09 | 1.63 | 9.2% |
| Average | 2.09 | 1.62 | 9.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Mathare United at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and APS Bomet at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.61 | 2.88 | 2.66, which imply roughly 34.7% for the draw versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the FKF Premier League table: Mathare United are 9th (1 pts, 0-0 goals), APS Bomet 10th (1 pts, 0-0).
Over their last five matches, Mathare United averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; APS Bomet averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or APS Bomet.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.61 | 2.88 | 2.66 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | 1.40 | 1.33 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.86 | 1.82 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.09 | 1.62 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.53 | 1.87 | 3.36 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.17 | 5.70 | 2.06 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.07 | 5.90 |
| 1.5 | 1.52 | 2.30 |
| 2.5 | 2.55 | 1.42 |
| 3.5 | 4.95 | 1.11 |
| 4.5 | 12.0 | 1.04 |
8 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.09 | 5.30 |
| 1 | 1.12 | 4.70 |
| 1.25 | 1.32 | 2.94 |
| 1.75 | 1.66 | 2.01 |
| 2 | 1.91 | 1.73 |
| 2.25 | 2.21 | 1.53 |
| 2.75 | 3.06 | 1.29 |
| 3 | 4.20 | 1.16 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 3.28 | 1.25 |
| -0.25 | 2.23 | 1.54 |
| 0 | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| +0.25 | 1.57 | 2.14 |
| +0.75 | 1.28 | 3.08 |
| +1 | 1.12 | 4.65 |
4 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 5.95 | 1.07 |
| -1 | 4.95 | 1.11 |
| +1.25 | 1.10 | 5.15 |
| +1.5 | 1.08 | 5.65 |