FC Aarau vs 
FC Zurich• Schweizer Cup, Switzerland
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 18:35 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.70 | 4.10 | 1.77 | 7.9% |
| Marathonbet | 3.70 | 4.10 | 1.75 | 8.6% |
| Pinnacle | 3.20 | 4.07 | 1.83 | 10.5% |
| Bet365 | 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.75 | 11.4% |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.80 | 1.75 | 12.9% |
| BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.30 | 1.70 | 20.4% |
| Best of all books | 3.90 | 4.10 | 1.83 | 4.7% |
| Average | 3.52 | 3.81 | 1.76 | 11.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 15:51 UTC
FC Aarau
2W 3D 5L · goals 17:22 · per match 1.7 for, 2.2 against
| 9 Oct | A | Stade Nyonnais | 1-2 | L |
| 2 Oct | H | BSC Young Boys | 1-2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Grasshoppers | 1-4 | L |
| 18 Sep | A | FC Winterthur | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | SC Kriens | 2-2 | D |
| 4 Sep | H | Rapperswil | 3-2 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | FC WIL 1900 | 2-2 | D |
| 28 Aug | H | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 2-1 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Yverdon Sport | 1-2 | L |
| 16 Aug | A | Biel-Bienne | 3-3 | D |
FC Zurich
5W 2D 3L · goals 20:21 · per match 2.0 for, 2.1 against
| 10 Oct | H | FC Thun | 4-2 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 3-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | FC Sion | 1-1 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | FC Vaduz | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | Grasshoppers | 2-2 | D |
| 1 Sep | H | BSC Young Boys | 2-4 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Lausanne | 3-2 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | FC Basel 1893 | 1-2 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | Tuggen | 2-1 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | FC Lugano | 0-5 | L |
Head to head
6 meetings · goals 11:16 · last 6: 2W 1D 3L for FC Aarau
| 3 Jul 2021Friendlies Clubs | Friendlies Clubs | FC Zurich0-1FC Aarau |
| 9 Jun 2020Friendlies Clubs | Friendlies Clubs | FC Zurich5-1FC Aarau |
| 4 May 2017Challenge League | Challenge League | FC Aarau3-1FC Zurich |
| 17 Apr 2017Challenge League | Challenge League | FC Zurich3-2FC Aarau |
| 6 Nov 2016Challenge League | Challenge League | FC Zurich6-3FC Aarau |
| 25 Sep 2016Challenge League | Challenge League | FC Aarau1-1FC Zurich |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 7.0% |
| Pinnacle | 1.50 | 2.41 | 8.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.44 | 2.43 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 2.43 | 10.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 2.06 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.53 | 2.43 | 6.5% |
| Average | 1.46 | 2.35 | 11.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 2.45 | 7.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 2.50 | 8.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.47 | 2.46 | 8.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 2.15 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| Average | 1.46 | 2.41 | 10.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates FC Aarau at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and FC Zurich at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.52 | 3.81 | 1.76, which imply roughly 26.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, FC Aarau averaged 3 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; FC Zurich averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or FC Zurich and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.52 | 3.81 | 1.76 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.92 | 1.24 | 1.18 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.70 | 1.34 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.46 | 2.41 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.84 | 2.43 | 2.23 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.65 | 2.79 | 2.07 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 6.13 | 15.1 | 20.3 |
| HT X | 9.30 | 6.83 | 5.20 |
| HT 2 | 31.0 | 14.2 | 2.60 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.33 | 19.5 | 1.59 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 16.3 |
| 1.5 | 1.11 | 4.83 |
| 2.5 | 1.46 | 2.35 |
| 3.5 | 2.17 | 1.57 |
| 4.5 | 3.54 | 1.20 |
| 5.5 | 6.35 | 1.06 |
| 6.5 | 15.0 | 1.03 |
| 7.5 | 29.0 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 50.5 | – |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.03 | 11.0 |
| 1.75 | 1.12 | 4.75 |
| 2 | 1.15 | 4.25 |
| 2.25 | 1.32 | 2.95 |
| 2.75 | 1.56 | 2.11 |
| 3 | 1.72 | 1.88 |
| 3.25 | 1.94 | 1.69 |
| 3.75 | 2.44 | 1.41 |
| 4 | 2.76 | 1.32 |
| 4.25 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| 4.75 | 4.64 | 1.12 |
| 5 | 6.40 | 1.05 |
| 5.25 | 6.75 | 1.04 |
| 6 | 9.20 | – |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.69 | 1.36 |
| +0.25 | 2.18 | 1.55 |
| +0.5 | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| +0.75 | 1.70 | 1.93 |
| +1 | 1.51 | 2.30 |
| +1.25 | 1.40 | 2.55 |
14 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 7.90 | 1.02 |
| -1.25 | 7.40 | 1.03 |
| -1 | 6.90 | 1.04 |
| -0.75 | 4.70 | 1.14 |
| -0.5 | 3.90 | 1.24 |
| -0.25 | 3.14 | 1.30 |
| +1.5 | 1.35 | 2.74 |
| +1.75 | 1.23 | 3.57 |
| +2 | 1.13 | 4.97 |
| +2.25 | 1.11 | 5.40 |
| +2.5 | 1.09 | 5.75 |
| +2.75 | 1.07 | 8.58 |
| +3 | 1.04 | 9.20 |
| +3.5 | 1.03 | 8.35 |