Ranchers Bees vs Niger Tornadoes• NPFL, Nigeria

#160.8:1.415:00Today0.4:0.6#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65DAFX3.30BFR26.00BTNMargin at best7.6%Books5Markets41Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L51.6

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 07:53 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.65	3.30	5.80	8.2%
Betano	1.60	3.30	6.00	9.5%
1xBet	1.59	3.26	5.77	10.9%
Bet365	1.60	3.20	5.75	11.1%
Betfair	1.62	3.30	5.00	12.0%
Best of all books	1.65	3.30	6.00	7.6%
Average	1.61	3.27	5.66	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ranchers BeesNiger Tornadoes

Last 10#16Table position#121.00Points per game1.144Form pts · last 550.8Goals for · last 50.41.4Goals against · last 50.667Attack rating3330Defence rating7044Form rating560H2H rating087Goals model1357Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 07:01 UTC

Ranchers Bees

2W 1D 4L · goals 9:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

4 Oct	A	Kwara United	1-2	L
28 Sep	H	Rivers United	0-0	D
23 Sep	A	Enugu Rangers	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Bendel Insurance	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Barau FC	1-3	L
7 Sep	H	Abia Warriors	4-0	W
30 Aug	A	Ikorodu City	1-3	L

Niger Tornadoes

3W 4D 3L · goals 9:9 · per match 0.9 for, 0.9 against

4 Oct	H	Kun Khalifat FC	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Nasarawa United	0-1	L
23 Sep	H	Warri Wolves	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Katsina United	0-1	L
14 Sep	H	Plateau United	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Kano Pillars	2-3	L
30 Aug	H	Enyimba	2-1	W
24 May	H	Shooting Stars	1-0	W
10 May	A	El Kanemi Warriors	0-0	D
3 May	H	Kwara United	2-2	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Ranchers Bees and Niger Tornadoes on record.

NPFL tablePremier Leagueupdated 9 Oct 21:01 UTC

In the NPFL table, Ranchers Bees sit 16th with 7 points from 7 games, while Niger Tornadoes are 12th with 8 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	7	5	1	1	12:7	+5	16
2	Rivers United	7	4	3	0	13:2	+11	15
3	Doma United	7	4	1	2	10:8	+2	13
4	Barau FC	7	3	3	1	10:7	+3	12
5	Bendel Insurance	7	4	0	3	13:11	+2	12
6	Katsina United	8	3	3	2	10:11	-1	12
7	Kano Pillars	7	2	5	0	11:7	+4	11
8	Plateau United	7	3	2	2	9:8	+1	11
9	Kwara United	7	3	1	3	9:7	+2	10
10	Ikorodu City	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
11	Sporting Lagos	7	2	3	2	8:8	0	9
12	Niger Tornadoes	7	2	2	3	6:7	-1	8
13	Shooting Stars	7	2	2	3	7:9	-2	8
14	Nasarawa United	7	2	2	3	6:8	-2	8
15	Abia Warriors	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8
16	Ranchers Bees	7	2	1	4	9:10	-1	7
17	Enyimba	8	2	1	5	11:14	-3	7
18	Warri Wolves	7	2	1	4	3:6	-3	7
19	Inter Lagos	7	1	2	4	4:10	-6	5
20	Kun Khalifat FC	7	1	2	4	5:14	-9	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.61X28%3.27216%5.66

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.64 → 1.61 -1.8%X3.24 → 3.27 +0.9%25.54 → 5.66 +2.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
1xBet	2.41	1.48	9.1%
Betano	2.42	1.47	9.3%
Best of all books	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Average	2.44	1.48	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	2.37	1.50	8.9%
1xBet	2.34	1.51	9.0%
Best of all books	2.37	1.51	8.4%
Average	2.35	1.50	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ranchers Bees 45%Draw 45%Niger Tornadoes 10%

The statistical model rates Ranchers Bees at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Niger Tornadoes at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.61 | 3.27 | 5.66, which imply roughly 62.1% for a Ranchers Bees win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NPFL table: Ranchers Bees are 16th (7 pts, 9-10 goals), Niger Tornadoes 12th (8 pts, 6-7).

Over their last five matches, Ranchers Bees averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Niger Tornadoes averaged 0.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Ranchers Bees or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.61	3.27	5.66

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	2.14	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	4.17

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.36	1.51

1st half

1	X	2
2.26	1.94	6.32

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.50	6.00	3.60

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.09	5.90
1.5	1.47	2.40
2.5	2.44	1.48
3.5	4.45	1.15
4.5	9.05	1.05

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.08	5.69
1	1.10	5.15
1.25	1.27	3.14
1.75	1.59	2.17
2	1.84	1.84
2.25	2.11	1.62
2.75	2.87	1.32
3	3.84	1.18
3.25	4.25	1.15
4	8.80	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.88	1.32
-1.25	2.52	1.44
-1	2.12	1.63
-0.75	1.78	1.93
-0.5	1.67	2.07
-0.25	1.38	2.63

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.15	1.06
-2	5.25	1.09
-1.75	3.58	1.21
0	1.16	4.10
+0.25	1.12	4.75

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.92	1.81