Moreton City ExcelsiorvsGold Coast Knights• Queensland NPL,Australia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Moreton City Excelsior3rd39 pts
Gold Coast Knights4th38 pts
Moreton City Excelsior3rd39 pts
Gold Coast Knights4th38 ptsIn the Queensland NPL table, Moreton City Excelsior sit 3rd with 39 points from 22 games, while Gold Coast Knights are 4th with 38 points from 22 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Moreton City Excelsior at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Gold Coast Knights at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.87 | 3.85 | 3.15, which imply roughly 53.5% for a Moreton City Excelsior win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Queensland NPL table: Moreton City Excelsior are 3rd (39 pts, 51-35 goals), Gold Coast Knights 4th (38 pts, 46-32).
Over their last five matches, Moreton City Excelsior averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Gold Coast Knights averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Moreton City Excelsior or draw.
Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast Knights — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lions | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 53 |
| 2 |  Peninsula Power | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 45 |
| 3 |  Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 39 |
| 4 |  Gold Coast Knights | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 |
| 5 |  Brisbane City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 34 |
| 6 |  WDSC Wolves | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 33 |
| 7 |  Eastern Suburbs | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 29 |
| 8 |  Olympic | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 26 |
| 9 |  Magic United | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22 |
| 10 |  Rochedale Rovers | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 21 |
| 11 |  Gold Coast United | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 20 |
| 12 |  Brisbane Roar II | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 16 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.92
X
3.88
2
3.09
Double chance
1X
1.28
X2
1.76
12
1.19
Both teams to score
Yes
1.37
No
2.76
Match goals
Over 2.5
1.36
Under 2.5
2.76
Over 3.5
1.94
Under 3.5
1.76
Over 4.5
3.05
Under 4.5
1.31
Over 1.5
1.08
Under 1.5
5.97
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
19.75
Over 8.5
17.00
Over 7.5
12.00
Under 7.5
1.01
Over 5.5
5.33
Under 5.5
1.10
Over 6.5
8.50
Under 6.5
1.05
Over 1.75
1.08
Under 1.75
5.45
Over 2
1.11
Under 2
4.95
Over 2.25
1.23
Under 2.25
3.42
Over 2.75
1.46
Under 2.75
2.44
Over 3
1.58
Under 3
2.17
Over 3.25
1.81
Under 3.25
1.89
Over 3.75
2.27
Under 3.75
1.54
Over 4
2.68
Under 4
1.38
Over 4.25
2.92
Under 4.25
1.31
Over 4.75
3.95
Under 4.75
1.17
Over 5
5.30
Under 5
1.09
Over 5.25
5.60
Under 5.25
1.08
Over 6
8.70
Under 6
1.01
Over 1
1.02
Under 1
12.00
Draw no bet
1
1.49
2
2.39
Asian handicap
Away 3.5
1.04
1st half
1
2.37
X
2.50
2
3.40
First team to score
Home
1.67
No Goal
21.67
Away
2.14