Naft Maysan vs Erbil• Iraqi League, Iraq

#141.2:1.41-1FTToday1.6:0.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.20B365X3.35DAF21.92DAFMargin at best5.7%Books8Markets41Rating29 · 71Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Oct 13:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.85	3.35	1.92	7.9%
BetVictor	4.20	3.30	1.80	9.7%
Betano	3.85	3.25	1.85	10.8%
1xBet	3.88	3.22	1.85	10.9%
Bet365	4.20	3.30	1.73	11.9%
Marathonbet	3.78	3.22	1.83	12.2%
Pinnacle	3.77	3.19	1.83	12.5%
William Hill	3.70	3.00	1.91	12.7%
Best of all books	4.20	3.35	1.92	5.7%
Average	3.90	3.23	1.84	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Naft MaysanErbil

Last 10#14Table position#30.89Points per game2.005Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 51.61.4Goals against · last 50.443Attack rating5722Defence rating7833Form rating6715H2H rating850Goals model10029Overall rating71

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Oct 13:03 UTC

Naft Maysan

2W 4D 4L · goals 8:13 · per match 0.8 for, 1.3 against

17 Sep	A	Al Karkh	2-3	L
13 Sep	H	Al Talaba	2-0	W
9 Sep	A	Al Minaa Basra	1-1	D
4 Sep	H	Newroz	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	1-1	D
25 Aug	A	Al Zawra'a	0-4	L
20 Aug	H	Naft	0-0	D
14 Aug	H	Al-Jolan SC	0-0	D
2 Jun	A	Gharraf	2-0	W
28 May	H	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	0-2	L

Erbil

7W 2D 1L · goals 17:5 · per match 1.7 for, 0.5 against

18 Sep	A	Karbala	3-0	W
14 Sep	H	Al-Karma	1-2	L
8 Sep	H	Diyala	2-0	W
4 Sep	A	Al Shorta	0-0	D
31 Aug	H	Al Minaa Basra	2-0	W
25 Aug	A	Al Karkh	1-0	W
21 Aug	H	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	1-1	D
16 Aug	H	Al Kahrabaa	2-0	W
2 Jun	H	Baghdad	3-1	W
28 May	A	Zakho	2-1	W

Head to head

2Naft Maysan wins

4draws

7Erbil wins

13 meetings · goals 11:19 · last 10: 1W 4D 5L for Naft Maysan

27 Mar 2026Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Naft Maysan0-0Erbil
31 Dec 2025Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Erbil1-0Naft Maysan
7 May 2025Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Erbil3-2Naft Maysan
30 Nov 2024Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Naft Maysan1-1Erbil
19 Jun 2024Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Erbil2-0Naft Maysan
31 Dec 2023Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Naft Maysan1-1Erbil
4 Apr 2023Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Erbil3-1Naft Maysan
20 Oct 2022Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Naft Maysan2-1Erbil
18 Jun 2022Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Naft Maysan1-1Erbil
5 Jan 2022Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Erbil2-0Naft Maysan

Iraqi League tableIraqi Leagueupdated 8 Oct 19:14 UTC

In the Iraqi League table, Naft Maysan sit 14th with 8 points from 9 games, while Erbil are 3rd with 18 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al-Karma	8	6	2	0	14:5	+9	20
2	Al Zawra'a	9	5	3	1	15:6	+9	18
3	Erbil	9	5	3	1	13:4	+9	18
4	Newroz	8	4	3	1	13:4	+9	15
5	Al Shorta	8	4	3	1	9:4	+5	15
6	Naft	8	4	3	1	9:5	+4	15
7	Duhok	9	2	6	1	14:11	+3	12
8	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	9	2	5	2	14:12	+2	11
9	Al-Jolan SC	8	2	4	2	8:9	-1	10
10	Diyala	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9
11	Al Minaa Basra	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
12	Zakho	8	2	3	3	7:11	-4	9
13	Ghaz Al Shamal	8	1	5	2	4:5	-1	8
14	Naft Maysan	9	1	5	3	7:12	-5	8
15	Mosul	9	2	2	5	9:15	-6	8
16	Al Karkh	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7
17	Al Kahrabaa	8	1	4	3	6:10	-4	7
18	Al Talaba	8	1	4	3	9:14	-5	7
19	Gharraf	8	1	2	5	4:12	-8	5
20	Karbala	8	1	2	5	6:15	-9	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg123%3.90X28%3.23249%1.84

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.63 → 3.89 +7.2%X3.25 → 3.22 -0.9%21.88 → 1.85 -1.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
BetVictor	2.05	1.70	7.6%
Pinnacle	2.02	1.69	8.7%
1xBet	2.01	1.69	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.01	1.69	8.9%
Betano	2.07	1.62	10.0%
Best of all books	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Average	2.04	1.68	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.90	1.80	8.2%
William Hill	1.83	1.85	8.7%
1xBet	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.80	9.9%
Best of all books	1.90	1.85	6.7%
Average	1.85	1.82	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Naft Maysan 10%Draw 45%Erbil 45%

The statistical model rated Naft Maysan at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Erbil at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.90 | 3.23 | 1.84, which imply roughly 31% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Iraqi League table: Naft Maysan are 14th (8 pts, 7-12 goals), Erbil 3rd (18 pts, 13-4).

Over their last five matches, Naft Maysan averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Erbil averaged 1.6 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Erbil and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.90	3.23	1.84

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.80	1.19	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
3.08	1.33

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.82

1st half

1	X	2
4.56	2.05	2.46

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.69	7.85	1.63

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.40
1.5	1.31	2.94
2.5	2.04	1.68
3.5	3.42	1.23
4.5	6.70	1.06
5.5	17.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.55
1.25	1.18	3.90
1.75	1.39	2.61
2	1.51	2.28
2.25	1.78	1.90
2.75	2.29	1.51
3	2.82	1.33
3.25	3.14	1.27
3.75	4.15	1.17
4	5.90	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.79	1.36
+0.25	2.13	1.59
+0.5	1.87	1.83
+0.75	1.67	2.06
+1	1.40	2.57
+1.25	1.31	2.94

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.40	1.01
-1	7.50	1.03
-0.75	4.80	1.12
-0.25	3.23	1.27
+1.5	1.24	3.34
+1.75	1.16	4.50
+2	1.06	6.05
+2.5	1.04	6.80