Naft vs 
Diyala• Iraqi League, Iraq
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 00:00 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.45 | 7.8% |
| 1xBet | 2.00 | 3.05 | 3.55 | 11.0% |
| Betano | 2.12 | 2.92 | 3.35 | 11.3% |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.10 | 3.75 | 11.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.98 | 3.05 | 3.45 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.75 | 5.4% |
| Average | 2.03 | 3.04 | 3.51 | 10.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Oct 19:14 UTC
Naft
6W 3D 1L · goals 12:6 · per match 1.2 for, 0.6 against
| 18 Sep | A | Mosul | 1-0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Karbala | 2-1 | W |
| 9 Sep | A | Al-Karma | 0-3 | L |
| 5 Sep | A | Al Minaa Basra | 3-0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Al Talaba | 0-0 | D |
| 26 Aug | H | Duhok | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Aug | A | Naft Maysan | 0-0 | D |
| 14 Aug | H | Al Karkh | 2-0 | W |
| 1 Jun | H | Newroz | 2-1 | W |
| 27 May | A | Al Zawra'a | 1-0 | W |
Diyala
3W 3D 4L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against
| 19 Sep | A | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Gharraf | 3-1 | W |
| 8 Sep | A | Erbil | 0-2 | L |
| 3 Sep | H | Al-Karma | 1-2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Al-Jolan SC | 3-3 | D |
| 25 Aug | A | Zakho | 2-2 | D |
| 21 Aug | A | Mosul | 1-2 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | Al Talaba | 2-1 | W |
| 1 Jun | H | Duhok | 1-0 | W |
| 27 May | A | Al-Karma | 0-1 | L |
Head to head
4 meetings · goals 4:2 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Naft
| 18 Apr 2026Iraqi League | Iraqi League | Diyala1-0Naft |
| 9 Jan 2026Iraqi League | Iraqi League | Naft2-1Diyala |
| 10 Apr 2025Iraqi League | Iraqi League | Naft2-0Diyala |
| 1 Dec 2024Iraqi League | Iraqi League | Diyala0-0Naft |
Iraqi League tableIraqi Leagueupdated 8 Oct 19:14 UTC
In the Iraqi League table, Naft sit 6th with 15 points from 8 games, while Diyala are 10th with 9 points from 8.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | +9 | 20 |
| 2 | Al Zawra'a | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 | Erbil | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | +9 | 18 |
| 4 | Newroz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Shorta | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 | Naft | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 15 |
| 7 | Duhok | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14:11 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Al-Jolan SC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Diyala | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Minaa Basra | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Zakho | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Naft Maysan | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Al Kahrabaa | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Talaba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Gharraf | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Karbala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 5 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 1.53 | 7.4% |
| 1xBet | 2.36 | 1.50 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 2.36 | 1.50 | 9.0% |
| Betano | 2.32 | 1.50 | 9.8% |
| Best of all books | 2.38 | 1.53 | 7.4% |
| Average | 2.35 | 1.51 | 8.8% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 1.67 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.03 | 1.65 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.03 | 1.67 | 9.1% |
| Average | 2.03 | 1.66 | 9.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Naft at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Diyala at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.03 | 3.05 | 3.50, which imply roughly 49.3% for a Naft win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Iraqi League table: Naft are 6th (15 pts, 9-5 goals), Diyala 10th (9 pts, 13-14).
Over their last five matches, Naft averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Diyala averaged 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Naft or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.03 | 3.04 | 3.51 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | 1.64 | 1.28 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.45 | 2.53 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.03 | 1.66 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.73 | 1.92 | 4.38 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.73 | 6.90 | 2.55 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.06 | 6.80 |
| 1.5 | 1.41 | 2.52 |
| 2.5 | 2.36 | 1.51 |
| 3.5 | 4.60 | 1.13 |
| 4.5 | 8.50 | 1.03 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.07 | 5.80 |
| 1.25 | 1.24 | 3.34 |
| 1.75 | 1.54 | 2.23 |
| 2 | 1.76 | 1.88 |
| 2.25 | 2.04 | 1.63 |
| 2.75 | 2.79 | 1.35 |
| 3 | 3.75 | 1.19 |
| 3.25 | 4.20 | 1.16 |
| 3.75 | 5.20 | 1.12 |
| 4 | 9.00 | – |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 3.20 | 1.26 |
| -0.75 | 2.36 | 1.48 |
| -0.5 | 2.00 | 1.72 |
| -0.25 | 1.72 | 1.93 |
| 0 | 1.44 | 2.50 |
| +0.25 | 1.32 | 2.93 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8.95 | 1.02 |
| -2 | 9.00 | 1.01 |
| -1.75 | 5.30 | 1.12 |
| -1.5 | 4.20 | 1.15 |
| -1.25 | 3.70 | 1.20 |
| +0.75 | 1.13 | 4.60 |
| +1 | 1.02 | 7.80 |