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Ghaz Al Shamal vs Newroz• Iraqi League, Iraq

#130.6:0.60-0FT19/091.4:0.2#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.25AVGX3.00AVG22.11AVGMargin11.5%Rating27 · 74Exp. goals L51.4

Price board · 1X2

Average 1X2: 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.11. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.

Team comparison

Ghaz Al ShamalNewroz
Last 10#13Table position#41.00Points per game1.886Form pts · last 5110.6Goals for · last 51.40.6Goals against · last 50.230Attack rating7025Defence rating7538Form rating630H2H rating014Goals model8627Overall rating74

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Sep 17:27 UTC

Ghaz Al Shamal

1W 4D 2L · goals 4:5 · per match 0.6 for, 0.7 against

12 SepAAl Shorta0-0D
8 SepADuhok1-1D
4 SepHAl-Jolan SC0-1L
30 AugAGharraf1-0W
25 AugAAl Quwa Al Jawiya1-1D
20 AugHAl Kahrabaa1-1D
15 AugAZakho0-1L

Newroz

3W 4D 3L · goals 12:8 · per match 1.2 for, 0.8 against

19 SepAGhaz Al Shamal0-0D
14 SepAAl-Jolan SC2-0W
9 SepHMosul3-0W
4 SepANaft Maysan2-0W
30 AugHDuhok0-0D
26 AugAAl Talaba0-1L
22 AugAGharraf0-1L
14 AugHAl Quwa Al Jawiya3-3D
1 JunANaft1-2L
27 MayHMosul1-1D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Ghaz Al Shamal and Newroz on record.

Iraqi League tableIraqi Leagueupdated 8 Oct 19:14 UTC

In the Iraqi League table, Ghaz Al Shamal sit 13th with 8 points from 8 games, while Newroz are 4th with 15 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Al-Karma862014:5+920
2Al Zawra'a953115:6+918
3Erbil953113:4+918
4Newroz843113:4+915
5Al Shorta84319:4+515
6Naft84319:5+415
7Duhok926114:11+312
8Al Quwa Al Jawiya925214:12+211
9Al-Jolan SC82428:9-110
10Diyala823313:14-19
11Al Minaa Basra82338:10-29
12Zakho82337:11-49
13Ghaz Al Shamal81524:5-18
14Naft Maysan91537:12-58
15Mosul92259:15-68
16Al Karkh821510:14-47
17Al Kahrabaa81436:10-47
18Al Talaba81439:14-57
19Gharraf81254:12-85
20Karbala81256:15-95

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.25X30%3.00243%2.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.5% margin.

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ghaz Al Shamal 0%Draw 50%Newroz 50%

The statistical model rated Ghaz Al Shamal at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Newroz at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.11, which imply roughly 33.3% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Iraqi League table: Ghaz Al Shamal are 13th (8 pts, 4-5 goals), Newroz 4th (15 pts, 13-4).

Over their last five matches, Ghaz Al Shamal averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Newroz averaged 1.4 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Newroz and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.