Erbil3rd14 pts
Al-Karma2nd14 pts
Erbil3rd14 pts
Al-Karma2nd14 ptsIn the Iraqi League table, Erbil sit 3rd with 14 points from 6 games, while Al-Karma are 2nd with 14 points from 6 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Erbil at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Al-Karma at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.52 | 3.01 | 2.62, which imply roughly 39.7% for a Erbil win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Iraqi League table: Erbil are 3rd (14 pts, 8-1 goals), Al-Karma 2nd (14 pts, 11-4).
Over their last five matches, Erbil averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Al-Karma averaged 2 scored and 0.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Erbil or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Erbil vs Al-Karma — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Zawra'a | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 |  Al-Karma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 3 |  Erbil | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 4 |  Al Shorta | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 |  Naft | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Al-Jolan SC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Zakho | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 |  Al Talaba | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Newroz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Duhok | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Diyala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Mosul | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Al Minaa Basra | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 15 |  Ghaz Al Shamal | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 16 |  Al Kahrabaa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Naft Maysan | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Karbala | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 19 |  Gharraf | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 20 |  Al Karkh | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.52
X
3.01
2
2.62
Double chance
1X
1.39
X2
1.41
12
1.30
Both teams to score
Yes
1.87
No
1.79
Match goals
Over 2.5
2.22
Under 2.5
1.58
Over 1.5
1.36
Under 1.5
2.70
Over 1.75
1.47
Under 1.75
2.38
Over 2
1.63
Under 2
2.03
Over 2.25
1.90
Under 2.25
1.75
Over 2.75
2.53
Under 2.75
1.42
Over 3.5
4.00
Under 3.5
1.17
Over 1
1.06
Under 1
6.05
Over 1.25
1.22
Under 1.25
3.50
Over 3
3.28
Under 3
1.25
Over 3.25
3.58
Under 3.25
1.21
Over 4
7.40
Under 4
1.03
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
7.50
Over 4.5
7.50
Under 4.5
1.04
Over 3.75
4.60
Under 3.75
1.16
Draw no bet
1
1.79
2
1.88
Asian handicap
Home 1.5
1.08
Away 1.5
1.08
1st half
1
3.26
X
1.94
2
3.38
First team to score
Home
2.01
No Goal
6.95
Away
2.13