Erbil2nd11 pts
Diyala13th5 pts
Erbil2nd11 pts
Diyala13th5 ptsIn the Iraqi League table, Erbil sit 2nd with 11 points from 5 games, while Diyala are 13th with 5 points from 5 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Erbil at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Diyala at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.48 | 3.79 | 6.02, which imply roughly 67.6% for a Erbil win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Iraqi League table: Erbil are 2nd (11 pts, 6-1 goals), Diyala 13th (5 pts, 9-10).
Over their last five matches, Erbil averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Diyala averaged 1.8 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Erbil or draw.
Erbil vs Diyala — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Zawra'a | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 |  Erbil | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 3 |  Al-Karma | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 |  Naft | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 |  Mosul | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 |  Al Shorta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Al-Jolan SC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Duhok | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Al Minaa Basra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Al Talaba | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Newroz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 |  Diyala | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Ghaz Al Shamal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Gharraf | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 16 |  Zakho | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Karbala | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 18 |  Al Kahrabaa | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Naft Maysan | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 20 |  Al Karkh | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.48
X
3.79
2
6.02
Double chance
1X
1.08
X2
2.33
12
1.19
Both teams to score
Yes
2.04
No
1.66
Match goals
Over 2.5
1.94
Under 2.5
1.77
Over 1.5
1.28
Under 1.5
3.09
Over 1.75
1.35
Under 1.75
2.74
Over 2
1.46
Under 2
2.38
Over 2.25
1.71
Under 2.25
1.97
Over 2.75
2.16
Under 2.75
1.57
Over 3.5
3.20
Under 3.5
1.26
Over 1
1.04
Under 1
7.00
Over 3
2.62
Under 3
1.38
Over 3.25
2.93
Under 3.25
1.31
Over 3.75
4.00
Under 3.75
1.17
Over 4
5.45
Under 4
1.08
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
8.70
Over 1.25
1.20
Under 1.25
4.00
Over 4.5
6.30
Under 4.5
1.07
Draw no bet
1
1.16
2
4.23
Asian handicap
Away 2.75
1.10
1st half
1
2.04
X
2.15
2
6.24
First team to score
Home
1.42
No Goal
8.30
Away
3.38