Al-Karma3rd11 pts
Naft5th9 pts
Al-Karma3rd11 pts
Naft5th9 ptsIn the Iraqi League table, Al-Karma sit 3rd with 11 points from 5 games, while Naft are 5th with 9 points from 5 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Al-Karma at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Naft at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.67 | 3.25 | 4.99, which imply roughly 30.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Iraqi League table: Al-Karma are 3rd (11 pts, 8-4 goals), Naft 5th (9 pts, 6-1).
Over their last five matches, Al-Karma averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Naft averaged 1.2 scored and 0.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Naft and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Al-Karma vs Naft — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Erbil | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 2 |  Al Zawra'a | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 3 |  Al-Karma | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 |  Al Shorta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 |  Naft | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mosul | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Duhok | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 |  Al-Jolan SC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Al Minaa Basra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Al Talaba | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Ghaz Al Shamal | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 13 |  Newroz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Diyala | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Zakho | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 16 |  Gharraf | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 17 |  Karbala | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 18 |  Al Kahrabaa | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Naft Maysan | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 20 |  Al Karkh | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.66
X
3.23
2
5.07
Double chance
1X
1.10
X2
1.99
12
1.26
Both teams to score
Yes
2.23
No
1.59
Match goals
Over 2.5
2.35
Under 2.5
1.52
Over 1.5
1.41
Under 1.5
2.52
Over 1.75
1.54
Under 1.75
2.22
Over 2
1.73
Under 2
1.90
Over 2.25
2.02
Under 2.25
1.67
Over 2.75
2.75
Under 2.75
1.36
Over 3.5
4.40
Under 3.5
1.14
Over 1
1.08
Under 1
5.45
Over 1.25
1.25
Under 1.25
3.28
Over 3
3.58
Under 3
1.21
Over 3.25
4.00
Under 3.25
1.17
Over 4
8.20
Under 4
1.02
Draw no bet
1
1.25
2
3.75
Asian handicap
Away 2.5
1.05
1st half
1
2.31
X
1.95
2
5.92
First team to score
Home
1.52
No Goal
6.75
Away
3.15